Intel experts share insights on tech trends for 2017 and beyond

December 30, 2016

Intel is inventing foundational technologies for amazing new experiences from merged reality to 5G communications and from autonomous driving to artificial intelligence. As 2016 draws to a close, we asked five Intel leaders, many new to the company, for their thoughts on these tech trends that will shape the future of Intel and our industry. Here are some of their insights:

In 2017, AI-powered systems will go from exploration to adoption in the enterprise

The digitization of nearly everything has produced mountains of data. More data than human beings can consume, synthesize and put to use. But, with technologies (cognitive computing and deep learning, as examples), we're gaining the ability to more effectively understand, interpret and act on all that information.

Gayle Sheppard, who joined Intel with the acquisition of cognitive computing company Saffron Technology, believes 2017 will be the year that AI-enabled decision systems move from exploration to enterprise adoption across a variety of industries. Saffron unifies what Sheppard calls "more chaotic, unstructured data" with manicured enterprise data to surface insights from patterns impossible to see before. This capability helps industries such as financial services improve the detection and prevention of fraud or helps retailers individualize product recommendations to achieve better outcomes for their customers. Artificial intelligence, she said, will ultimately give all of us intelligent assistants for our professional and personal lives.

3-D collaboration will emerge as a driving use case for AR/VR

Today, augmented and virtual reality (AR/VR) are most commonly associated with gaming or entertainment. While these uses will undoubtedly gain in popularity, another potential "killer app" for AR and VR has more in common with the rise of spreadsheets, word processing and e-mail. According to Remi El-Ouazzane, chief executive of Movidius, a company Intel acquired in 2016, workplace collaboration is likely to propel the adoption of augmented reality (or what Intel calls "merged reality").

"Companies today are bound by two-dimensional collaboration," El-Ouazzane said. But, with merged reality, "you immerse yourself in an environment where, for example, engineers at different sites around the world could walk around an engine, working together as if physically in the same place at the same time."

To get us there, computers will need to process visuals with the speed and accuracy of the human eye. That's where Movidius comes in. The company was founded with the bold vision of giving sight to machines. Its leading vision processing unit combined with Intel RealSense depth-sensing technology is a powerful combination toward realizing that vision. "In merged reality, we are confronting two worlds, the actual world we can see with our eyes and a computer-generated world. The display where those synthetic elements are rendered needs to be good enough for your brain to accept them as being real," said El-Ouazzane.

Function will overtake form in automotive

Intel is dedicated to transforming the future of driving and designing the next generation of advanced driver assist systems and solutions. Intel's General Manager of the Automated Driving Solutions Division, Kathy Winter, joined Intel from Delphi where, in 2015, she was credited with achieving the first cross-country drive by an autonomous vehicle.

In 2017, she expects more autonomous cars on the road, gathering data to pave the way for the broad adoption of safe and reliable autonomous vehicles. Winter says the technology industry is accelerating the pace of innovation in the automotive industry, and changing how we value cars.

With function trumping form, the industry is ripe for the many foundational computing and communications technologies Intel offers. Another Intel business unit with compelling technology for the future of transportation is Intel's Programmable Solutions Group (PSG), formerly Altera. PSG General Manager Dan McNamara says that because field programmable gate arrays (FPGAs) can be customized and reprogrammed on the fly, they are a great fit for many of the specialized computing tasks automated driving requires.

In 2017, he expects to begin shipping a new automotive-grade Arria 10 FPGA that offers the highest performance processing by an FPGA at 20nm and will give automakers a head start on their ADAS systems.

In 2017, 5G prototypes start to take shape

Unlocking the true potential of automated driving requires a reliable, robust and pervasive wireless network. These requirements are the basis of 5G networks, which are expected to become available starting in 2020, though trials are already underway.

Rob Topol, General Manager of 5G business and technology within Intel's Communications and Devices Group, expects these 5G trials will pick up steam in 2017. One big advancement will be the prototype devices used for testing. "You will see us move from testing with larger trial platforms, to using more mobile and segment-specific form factors," Topol said. While 5G form factors will, ultimately, be limitless, that's a sure sign of progress.

Unlike 4G wireless, which largely focused on making smartphones faster, industry leaders look to 5G to provide the higher data rates (1-20 Gbps), lower latency and capacity needed for the blossoming Internet of Things (IoT), new service models and immersive new experiences. It's an ambitious undertaking that's well underway.

Explore further: Intel to provide computing power for Delphi autonomous cars

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rderkis
not rated yet Dec 30, 2016
Forget for a moment the time frame to reach a technological milestone and concentrate on the technology itself.
If we double the present technology for self driving cars where will we be? I would guess they will be being tested everywhere. Now Quadruple our autonomous car technology, where will we be? Perhaps they will be becoming common everywhere. Now take it up to 8 times current technology. No more conventional cars on the roads? How can we imagine what 32 times our present automotive technology will be like?
Now extend that kind of thinking to all our present technology.

In 5 years we will have advanced technologically 32 times, what it is today. In 10 years over 1,000 times!
20 years > 1 mil.
That is staggering and leaves all these predictions in the dust.
Here are the facts, try to get your head around the implications.
http://theemergin...ment.pdf
BTW Most our current great thinks think this is where we will be.
gkam
1 / 5 (4) Dec 30, 2016
Faster and faster we go, with ever-increasing tunnel vision, with less and less control over direction, by now not even knowing where we are, only where we've been.

rderkis
5 / 5 (2) Dec 30, 2016
How can you predict where were going at such rates of progress. But at 69 I love it. Since you gkam have such a pessimistic view of the present why don't you embrace change?
gkam
1 / 5 (4) Dec 30, 2016
I like the progress, r, but we need mature leadership and guidance. We have a new "leader" who asks why we can't use our nuclear weapons, . . someone easily "baited with a tweet".

We may have lost the opportunity to save the climate from a new stable state. Our perturbation of the interactions between complex systems has yet to play out.

I do not doubt our abilities, I fear our dependence on emotion rather than rationality and our overwhelming hubris.

Do you think The Donald has any doubts when he goes off on something?

Start digging.
rderkis
1 / 5 (1) Dec 30, 2016
I think he is a vary shrewd negotiator(Poker player), who will not promise not to use his aces. Do you know anyone who will promise not to use their aces (even if he has no intention of using them)?
That was why he wanted us to veto the Israel/Palestine thing. The promise of no new settlements is a vary valuable ace when trying to negotiate peace.

And just out of curiosity what has the current administration fixed? Oh sure they throw band aids on problems but what have they fixed in the last 45 years?

If you looked at the rate our technology is increasing at, and understood it, you would see that in 10 years at over 1000 times what we have now, Climate will be easy to fix. As will all the other problems we currently have. Not to say there won't be new problems.
Da Schneib
not rated yet Dec 30, 2016
Standard stuff. Technology solves problems, but it brings new problems. Over time, the number and severity of problems (at least those technology can solve) decreases, but it's a slow process.

Having had Intel as a customer, and interacted with some of their engineering staff on technical problems, I have to say that there are some really sharp people working over there. And they're not the only company doing this kind of stuff, by a long shot.

I would say that we have most of the pieces we need in place to lick global warming; it's a matter of actually applying them, which is a matter of turning science into technology. Some of you may find this surprising given my political position on the subject; you shouldn't. What's needed is the will, and that's dependent upon the perception of a threat. It's the denigration of the threat that I object to.
rderkis
not rated yet Dec 30, 2016
Ray Kurzwel's study of the way and rate technology advances, greatly surprised me. I had always thought and I think even a teacher told me once, that war (or as you said threat), was the greatest motivator of technology.
I can't ignore the facts. His study's showed no change in the acceleration rate of technology growth during a war. That does not seem logical to me but fact trumps logic every time. (Unless you stick your head in the sand). :-)
Da Schneib, you say the technological advances are a slow process (Compared to our current birth age). But I say based on the studies that show the exponential growth of technology, you had better hold onto your seat.! Starting vary soon.

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