Change needed to avoid 'dire' energy future: IEA

The world faces a "dire" future unless a change of course is made to deal with surging energy demand, the IEA warned
The International Energy Agency logo is seen here. The world faces a "dire" future unless a complete change of course is made to deal with the huge problem of surging energy demand, the International Energy Agency warned on Wednesday.

The world faces a "dire" future unless a complete change of course is made to deal with the huge problem of surging energy demand, the International Energy Agency warned on Wednesday.

"Unless much stronger action is taken, global demand is set to continue on a long term upward trend with fossil fuels accounting for the bulk of the increase," the IEA said in a statement at the end of a two-day ministerial meeting in Paris.

The IEA forecasts a leap in of 35 percent over the next 25 years, with 90 percent of the rise occurring outside .

"Looking to the future, the scale and breadth of the energy challenge ahead is enormous," said the conference chair Martin Ferguson, Australia's energy minister.

Despite promising signs in the renewables sector, current development is "insufficient" to attain emission reduction targets, the IEA said.

To avoid the scenario of a 3.5 degree increase in climate temperature, the IEA recommended more investment in clean technologies as well as carbon capture and storage.

Oil, and gas in particular will continue to fuel the globe, according to the energy arm of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

" are predicted to continue to account for the majority of the increase in ," said Ferguson.

"Coal will continue to be the world’s fastest growing energy source for some time."

The IEA said the world was potentially entering a "golden age" of gas, with production set to increase by over 50 percent by 2035.

Ministers said meanwhile that nuclear energy had "a role to play" and that reducing this was likely to increase dependency on coal and gas use.

The IEA warned Tuesday that $38 trillion dollars (27 trillion euros) of investment will be needed up to 2035 to meet energy demands without a surge in prices.

The body forecasts that oil demand will rise by 1.3 million barrels to 90.5 million barrels a day in 2012, despite concerns about the state of the world economy, according to its last monthly report.

On Wednesday, the IEA said OPEC would need to maintain or increase its oil production to meet next year's increase in demand.

"There is an ample market for OPEC production at or above current levels" of 30.1 million barrels per day, said David Fyfe, director of the IEA's market and oil divisions.

The market currently remains "tightened" with the loss of a large portion of production from Libya and owing to lower than forecast production in non-OPEC countries, the expert said.

The IEA, which represents rich oil consuming countries, calls regularly on OPEC to keep oil flowing and avoid putting the brakes on growth.

The conference was attended by delegates from the 28 members of the IAE, including the United States, Japan and most of Western Europe, as well as nine partner countries, among them Russia, India, China, and for the first time, Brazil.

The meeting saw the IEA sign new cooperation agreements with India and Russia on Wednesday.

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(c) 2011 AFP

Citation: Change needed to avoid 'dire' energy future: IEA (2011, October 19) retrieved 23 July 2019 from
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Oct 19, 2011
I would love to see a graphical representation of the efficiencies of our current energy uses based on type of fuel and process used.

Then we can compare between different energy solutions and square them against the technologies available. I'm sure we'll see a strange pattern where the distribution of energy types available don't conform to the most efficient types available, but are forced along a particular monopolized supply type.

I wonder who can guess what that energy supply monopoly is?

Oct 19, 2011
The governments attending the IEA conference have a big stake in promoting the ideas presented by the conference because it means collecting revenue in the form of permits,taxes ect for unproven harm from future events that may never occur. The fleecing of the public will continue even when studies have shown that the climate and the solar output will change from time to time without man's help.

Oct 19, 2011
I've just two words for you, people. Cold fusion.
You can only admit it - or to die out. It's your own choice.

Oct 19, 2011
Build your own E-Cat. Rossi will probably never be able to get his nickel reactor into the market.

The E-Cat does something forbidden by the energy cabal and their allies in the financial cabals: Provide a cheap, abundant, and simple energy supply that will allow the masses to liberate themselves from petroleum fuels.

Micron size nickel powder can be purchased through Novamet. You can find it on Ebay. The mysterious catalyst is something of a guess, but I suspect it is micron sized iron powder added to a ratio of about 11% to the nickel powder. It may also contain titanium powder, as a Iron/Titanium powders are already a well known monoatomic hydrogen catalyst and might work.

Combine these in a copper vessel, cover with a simple resistive heater element and limit the temperature to about 400 C, pipe a water jacket around the cooper reactor vessel and pressurize the reactor with H2 at about 75 psi. If my guess is right, you should start seeing heat gain.

Oct 19, 2011
I suspect it is micron sized iron powder added to a ratio of about 11% to the nickel powder
It's pure nickel. The founder of cold fusion says so - so it must be true.


The original experiments were described with pure normal nickel, too. We shouldn't forget, the cold fusion was found accidentally.


IMO the Rossi E-Cat catalyst is normal nickel catalyst on keramic substrate, which is used for industrial hydrogenations.

Oct 19, 2011
If my guess is right, you should start seeing heat gain.
We aren't paying the scientists for ignorance of findings, but for their research. These experiments should be done at all research facilities already. We are just losing time.

Oct 19, 2011
Srksaleus and Calippa. YOu both seem to possess above regular knowledge of the Rossi E-Cat. Would love to hear more in regards to possible construction and refinement of this type of device. Please PM me with any suggestions?

Oct 19, 2011
these 'projections' are always filled with such crappy assumptions that theyre just bullshit getting paid to bullshit.

the biggest assumptions always run along the same similar line which is basically this : the trend that has brought us to this point will continue.

this is the same crap that results in people thinking the stock market can go climbing up forever. the assumptions behind that thinking are nonsense, and frequently not even really cared about as exuberant maddness of crowds sets in. people are sucked into believing things will just keep going 'up'.

just like energy consumption projections, which are modelled on bullshit assumptions about the continuity of human behavior. i have one response. that which cannot continue, will not continue---one way or another.

Oct 20, 2011
Arkaleus. Sorry bout the typo

Oct 20, 2011
This world is chock full of deserts, and these are expanding. One feature of these places is a LOT of sunlight. It should be a no! Build voltaics, build!!! FILL the Sahara with collectors manufactured from the sands of the desert from which they spring! Fill the Great American Desert as well! Fill the Gobi and China can out produce the world so bad that no one will work producing anything except in China....aww crap that would mean EVERYBODY will be out of work and living out of a stolen shoppin cart.

Oct 20, 2011
You may be right, but the secret of Rossi's catalyst includes Ni mixed with TWO other "non toxic" metals. When you think about the conditions of his operation, there are only a few elements that will fit his clues.

See here for FeTi hydride info:

There's a good reason why his reactor runs at 400 C, it's to release the hydrogen from the FeTi hydride which is in powder form with the nickel. Because the hydride releases monatomic H it must reach the micronized Ni particles immediately, so we must infer the Ni is proximal to the FeTi hydride powder.

Another clue about the catalyst is the pyrophoric runaways he reported in some tests. Oxygen or H20 contamination might cause this if using a FeTi powder with small enough grain sizes. If these failures contained TiO2 then we would know for sure. Ti ignites at 700 C.

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