Climate and drought lessons from ancient Egypt

Aug 16, 2012
The Spinx and the Great Pyramid of Giza, Egypt are pictured here. USGS and University of Pennsylvania research shows that ancient pollen and charcoal preserved in deeply buried sediments in Egypt's Nile Delta document the region’s ancient droughts and fires, including a huge drought 4,200 years ago associated with the demise of Egypt's Old Kingdom, the era known as the pyramid-building time. Photographer: Benjamin P. Horton , University of Pennsylvania

Ancient pollen and charcoal preserved in deeply buried sediments in Egypt's Nile Delta document the region's ancient droughts and fires, including a huge drought 4,200 years ago associated with the demise of Egypt's Old Kingdom, the era known as the pyramid-building time.

"Humans have a long history of having to deal with ," said Christopher Bernhardt, a researcher with the U.S. Geological Survey. "Along with other research, this study geologically reveals that the of societies is sometimes tied to at all scales – whether decadal or millennial."

Bernhardt conducted this research as part of his Ph.D. at the University of Pennsylvania, along with Benjamin Horton, an associate professor in Penn's Department of Earth and Environmental Science. Jean-Daniel Stanley at the Smithsonian Institution also participated in the study, published in July's edition of Geology.

"Even the mighty builders of the ancient pyramids more than 4,000 years ago fell victim when they were unable to respond to a changing climate," said USGS Director Marcia McNutt. "This study illustrates that water availability was the climate-change Achilles Heel then for Egypt, as it may well be now, for a planet topping seven billion thirsty people."

The researchers used and charcoal preserved in a core dating from 7,000 years ago to the present to help resolve the physical mechanisms underlying critical events in ancient Egyptian history.

They wanted to see if changes in pollen assemblages would reflect ancient Egyptian and Middle East recorded in archaeological and historical records. The researchers also examined the presence and amount of charcoal because frequency often increases during times of drought, and fires are recorded as charcoal in the geological record. The scientists suspected that the proportion of wetland pollen would decline during times of drought and the amount of charcoal would increase.

And their suspicions were right.

Large decreases in the proportion of wetland pollen and increases in microscopic charcoal occurred in the core during four different times between 3,000 and 6,000 years ago. One of those events was the abrupt and global mega-drought of around 4,200 years ago, a drought that had serious societal repercussions, including famines, and which probably played a role in the end of Egypt's Old Kingdom and affected other Mediterranean cultures as well.

"Our pollen record appears very sensitive to the decrease in precipitation that occurred in the mega-drought of 4,200 years ago," Bernhardt said. "The vegetation response lasted much longer compared with other geologic proxy records of this drought, possibly indicating a sustained effect on delta and Nile basin vegetation."

Similarly, pollen and charcoal evidence recorded two other large droughts: one that occurred some 5,000 to 5,500 years ago and another that occurred around 3,000 years ago.

These events are also recorded in human history – the first one started some 5,000 years ago when the unification of Upper and Lower occurred and the Uruk Kingdom in modern Iraq collapsed. The second event, some 3,000 years ago, took place in the eastern Mediterranean and is associated with the fall of the Ugarit Kingdom and famines in the Babylonian and Syrian Kingdoms.

"The study geologically demonstrates that when deciphering past climates, pollen and other micro-organisms, such as , can augment or verify written or archaeological records – or they can serve as the record itself if other information doesn't exist or is not continuous," said Horton.

Explore further: New signs of eruption at Iceland volcano

More information: The study, Nile delta response to Holocene climate variability, was published in the July edition of Geology.

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NotParker
1.7 / 5 (6) Aug 16, 2012
Bond Events. Every 1,470 ± 500 years.

http://en.wikiped...nd_event

4200 years ago was an important one.

http://en.wikiped...ar_event

Shelgeyr
1 / 5 (1) Aug 16, 2012
There are (largely undocumented, possibly neolithic) ruins in Egypt located too far south to really be considered part of the known ancient Kharga/Baris/Khysis area, and yet they occur within vast portions of the western desert, even away from the caravan routes. The Kharga Aquifer used to underlay this entire region.

Examples (use Google Maps/Earth and zoom in):
24.518203,30.704738 (ancient well next to ruins)
24.523928,30.704624 (only the outlines remain)
24.484776,30.706138
24.476984,30.704746
24.455565,30.692710

These remnants are by no means exclusive; ruins run all throughout this region.

I don't know when the great Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System, of which the Kharga is but a part, is commonly believed to have begun receding, but it wouldn't surprise me if it dated to this time.

It's odd that there are both brine and sweet wells in close proximity - the aquifer's internal structure must be bizarre. It's also a long way from the whales' graveyard.
NotParker
1.7 / 5 (6) Aug 17, 2012
Oh, and while some say the LIA is the last Bond Event, we could be in one now.
rubberman
5 / 5 (3) Aug 17, 2012
The LIA was only 4-300 years ago, so todays climate change doesn't fall inside the cycle, and today we are experiencing warming, Bond events are cooling.
NotParker
1 / 5 (5) Aug 17, 2012
1) The climate always changes

2) Any warming after the LIA could be just recovery from the bond event.

The anomalies for May, June and July of 1761 versus 2011.

1761 5 1.178
1761 6 2.070
1761 7 1.783

2011 5 0.842
2011 6 1.014
2011 7 1.245

http://berkeleyea...lete.txt

Definitely warmer in 1761 than 2011.

But I still think the interesting part is the lack of extreme changes in temperature in modern times versus the 1700s and 1800s.

http://berkeleyea...ison.pdf

If the data is right, we are lucky to be living in a period of calm weather compared to the past.