Antarctic Peninsula ice more stable than thought

May 2, 2017, University of Leeds
Ice speed in Western Palmer Land on the Antarctic Peninsula measured by the ESA-EU Sentinel-1 satellite mission. Credit: J. Wuite, ENVEO

Glacier flow at the southern Antarctic Peninsula has increased since the 1990s, but a new study has found the change to be only a third of what was recently reported.

An international team of researchers, led by the UK Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling at the University of Leeds, are the first to map the change in ice speed. The team collated measurements recorded by five different satellites to track changes in the speed of more than 30 glaciers since 1992.

The findings, published today in Geophysical Research Letters, represent the first detailed assessment of changing in Western Palmer Land—the southwestern corner of the Antarctic Peninsula.

The new Leeds led research calls into question a recent study from the University of Bristol that reported 45 cubic kilometres per year increase in ice loss from the sector. The Leeds research found the increase to be three times smaller.

Lead author Dr Anna Hogg, from the Leeds' School of Earth and Environment, said: "Dramatic changes have been reported in this part of Antarctica, so we took a closer look at how its glaciers have evolved using 25 years of dating back to the early 1990s."

A view of Western Palmer Land glaciers and George VI Ice Shelf from BAS Twin Otter aeroplane. Credit: Hogg/CPOM

The researchers found that between 1992 and 2016, the of most of the region's glaciers increased by between 20 and 30 centimetres per day, equating to an average 13% speedup across the glaciers of Western Palmer Land as a whole.

These measurements provide the first direct evidence that Western Palmer Land is losing ice due to increased glacier flow—a process known as dynamical imbalance.

The team also combined their satellite observations with an ice flow model using data assimilation to fill in gaps where the satellites were unable to produce measurements. This allowed the complete pattern of ice flow to be mapped, revealing that the regions glaciers are now pouring an additional 15 cubic kilometres of ice into the oceans each year compared to the 1990s.

The earlier study reported that the region was losing three times this amount of ice, based on measurements of glacier thinning and mass loss determined from other measurements. The Leeds study casts doubt on that interpretation, because the degree of glacier speedup is far too small.

Study co-author Professor Andrew Shepherd, from Leeds' School of Earth and Environment, explained: "Although Western Palmer Land holds a lot of ice—enough to raise global sea levels by 20 centimetres—its glaciers can't be responsible for a major contribution to sea level rise, because their speed has barely changed over the past 25 years. It's possible that it has snowed less in this part of Antarctica in recent years—that would also cause the glaciers to thin and lose mass, but it's a not a signal of dynamical imbalance."

A view from the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) Rothera research station, on Alexander Island at the Antarctic Peninsula. Credit: A. E. Hogg/CPOM

The greatest speedup in flow was observed at glaciers that were grounded at depths more than 300 m below the ocean surface.

Dr Hogg said: "We looked at water temperatures in front of the glaciers which have sped up the most, and we found that they flow through deep bedrock channels into the warmest layer of the ocean. This circumpolar deep water, which is relatively warm and salty compared to other parts of the Southern Ocean, has warmed and shoaled in recent decades, and can melt ice at the base of which reduces friction and allows them to flow more freely.

With much of Western Palmer Land's ice mass lying well below sea level it is important to monitor how remote areas such as this, are responding to climate change. Satellites are the perfect tool to do this.

Pierre Potin, ESA's Manager of the Copernicus Sentinel-1 Mission which was used in the study, said: "We will continue to use Sentinel-1's all weather, day-night imaging capability to extend the long term climate data record from European satellites."

Explore further: Ocean warming primary cause of Antarctic Peninsula glacier retreat

More information: Anna E. Hogg et al, Increased ice flow in Western Palmer Land linked to ocean melting, Geophysical Research Letters (2017). DOI: 10.1002/2016GL072110

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Anonym
1.9 / 5 (9) May 02, 2017
Climate scientists find Antarctica "lost" ice faster before the Paris Agreement than after it. Who'da thunkit?
Porgie
1.9 / 5 (9) May 02, 2017
Why didn't the pathetic left wing biased hate groups report that the polar ice caps gained, that's gained, 155,000 square miles of ice in 2014 and expanded again in 2015? Because they have no integrity.
greenonions1
4.5 / 5 (8) May 02, 2017
Porgie - science is not about left wing or right wing. The science community is in the midst of an ongoing debate about the mass balance of Antarctica. This debate is covered frequently on physorg - with articles like today's We obviously still have so much to learn - but the evidence supports the understanding that some areas are gaining mass, while others are losing - but on balance, Antarctica is losing ice. https://skeptical...-ice.htm It is a subject of hot debate. I don't think the problem is something about people on the "left" having no integrity. I see it more as uninformed people trying to have an opinion on something they don't understand. You clearly don't understand the basic distinction between sea ice, and land ice.
SteveS
5 / 5 (6) May 03, 2017
Why didn't the pathetic left wing biased hate groups report that the polar ice caps gained, that's gained, 155,000 square miles of ice in 2014 and expanded again in 2015? Because they have no integrity.


Maybe because year to year variability means less than the decadal trend.

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