New information helps predict future climate change impacts on global tropics

March 9, 2015
Clouds over Australia are shown. Credit: NASA

Researchers at the University of Montana, Princeton University, Stanford University and Rutgers University, among others, are collecting new measurements of tropical forests to gain a better understanding of how they respond to seasonal climate variations.

The new information helps predict how the global tropics may react to future change. These findings are detailed in a paper titled "Photosynthetic seasonality of global constrained by hydroclimate," which was published in Nature Geoscience this month.

"A better understanding of tropical forest behavior is needed because tropical forests serve as the lungs of the Earth," said UM Professor John Kimball, a contributor to the study. "Tropical forests breathe in carbon dioxide - a - and store it as vegetation biomass through photosynthesis."

According to Kimball, carbon storage is a critical ecosystem service that's vulnerable to human impacts from deforestation and climate change. Because of this, monitoring and measuring its is key to predicting how much of the global tropics are potentially vulnerable or resilient to drought and future .

The researchers took a different approach to monitoring the forest canopy structure and groundwater storage by using multiple satellite sensors, including measurements at longer microwave frequencies and gravimetric measurements.

Kimball said these longer wavelength measurements are much more accurate because they can "see" through the clouds and atmosphere - typically dense above the tropics, obscuring the view from space - but they are still sensitive to changes in vegetation on the land and water storage beneath.

The researchers' findings show that there's a distinctive rainfall threshold that explains spatial differences in vegetation seasonality across the global tropics.

Above the threshold, tropical vegetation essentially is evergreen, where its productivity responds mainly to seasonal changes in cloud cover and sunlight. Below the threshold, the vegetation productivity is constrained by limited water supplies needed to sustain its growth during the dry season.

"There is a debate as to whether the tropics have seasonality," Kimball said.

"Our findings show that there's a distinctive seasonal pulse in these forests that's defined by the amount of annual rainfall. We are still learning more about it, but this new understanding will help inform and make better predictions."

Kimball also is among a team of researchers that recently launched a NASA satellite called the Soil Moisture Active Passive, or SMAP, mission that will peer into the topmost layer of Earth's soils to measure the hidden waters that influence our ecosystem's weather and climate. He developed the science algorithms and software that will use the data collected from SMAP to estimate land-atmosphere carbon exchange, ecosystem productivity and underlying environmental controls.

Explore further: UM researcher helps NASA get the dirt on soil moisture

More information: Photosynthetic seasonality of global tropical forests constrained by hydroclimate, Nature Geoscience (2015) DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2382

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howhot2
4 / 5 (4) Mar 09, 2015
From the article;
"A better understanding of tropical forest behavior is needed because tropical forests serve as the lungs of the Earth,"
I don't think the words "LUNGS of the EARTH" could be stressed enough. This is the system that extracts CO2 from the air and exhales O2, O2 viral for life. The tropics also captures carbon (the C in CO2 is for Carbon, in-case there are deniers too dim to know what the symbol is). So the tropical forests are vital for life on earth;
carbon storage is a critical ecosystem service that's vulnerable to human impacts from deforestation and climate change.
Deniers what to kill that.

In another phy.org article I was arguing that droughts in the tropics brought about from Global Warming and the consequence of Climate-Change could really cause complications including the feedback system for CO2 sequestion (the tropical lungs) being destroyed by excess CO2 of fossil fuel combustion.

Its not a good outlook.

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