Scientists question effectiveness of nature-based CO₂ removal using the ocean

Limited understanding of basic ocean processes is hindering progress in marine carbon dioxide removal, with the on-going commercialization of some approaches "premature and misguided."

In a new paper, scientists from the University of East Anglia (UEA), the University of Tasmania's Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, and the Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations, review the climatic effectiveness of four nature-based techniques using marine biological processes.

These involve shellfish cultivation, seaweed farming, coastal blue carbon—using the restoration of seagrass, saltmarsh and mangrove forests—and increasing whale populations through rewilding.

Writing in the journal Environmental Research Letters, the researchers conclude that while these activities are highly worthwhile for their non-climatic benefits, they cannot provide a significant contribution to carbon dioxide removal (CDR) and risk being dead ends in terms of meaningful climate mitigation.

To limit warming to less than 2° C requires both emissions reductions and CDR, and a diverse range of potential approaches has been proposed to achieve billion-ton annual CO₂ removal rates within 30-50 years, with multiple techniques needed to be developed and upscaled massively to achieve that goal.

However, the researchers argue that new methods are being proposed regularly with insufficient checks or balances. This is particularly true for ocean-based CDR, now attracting greater interest as the constraints on land-based methods become apparent.

The ocean-based approaches reviewed are, in the authors' opinion, being advocated not only by scientists, but also in many cases by the private sector, without due diligence on the underpinning fundamental science.

"Proponents of these methods have an incomplete or incorrect grasp not only of how the ocean carbon cycle functions, but also the massive up-scaling needed to provide significant climatic benefits," said co-author Dr. Phil Williamson, honorary associate professor at UEA's School of Environmental Sciences.

"Such upscaling brings other ocean processes into play that could cancel out the effectiveness of the proposed CDR approach. In each case, misunderstanding and knowledge gaps affect the credibility of carbon offset schemes."

Lead author Prof. Philip Boyd, of the University of Tasmania's Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, said, "We consider that the non-climatic benefits of all these actions have potential to greatly exceed their modest, or non-existent, possible contributions to ocean-based CDR.

"Those advocating these approaches have given insufficient attention to basic constraints relating to ecosystem functioning and the ocean carbon cycle, for example, ignoring the many processes returning CO₂ to the atmosphere, as well as the challenges of implementation at climatically-significant scale, the (in)security of carbon storage and the many difficulties in reliable quantification of climatic benefits.

"There is a need for better communication of the basic criteria for CDR viability using marine processes. Safety, durability, verifiability and scalability should be used to prioritize relevant R&D funding by governments, as well as providing checks and balances for policymakers."

The authors raise concerns over the opportunity costs—the resources directed at these approaches—which they say could be better invested in reducing emissions, as well as other CDR methods, both land and ocean-based, that are more likely to be safe, sustainable, durable, verifiable, and scalable.

Dr. Williamson added, "We believe that the use of these four nature-based approaches for carbon offsets is more likely to represent greenwashing, rather than these methods becoming the 'climate heroes' that some people are claiming."