Apple watchers keen for next big thing

October 23, 2013 by Glenn Chapman
Masayoshi Son, chairman and CEO of Japan's SoftBank Corp, introduces Apple's iPhone 5c, during a press briefing in Tokyo, on September 30, 2013

As Apple polishes its culture-changing gadgets to gleam during the holiday shopping season, pressure is growing for it to deliver the next big thing.

The California tech giant known for dazzling innovation orchestrated by late legendary co-founder Steve Jobs has rolled out impressive improvements to its iPhones, iPads, and Macintosh computers since Tim Cook took over as chief in 2011.

While Apple shattered sales records with its recently released iPhone 5 and was expected to see buyers around the world snap up new iPad Air and iPad Mini tablets hitting the market next month, the company was increasingly expected to rock the world with something transformational.

"Sooner or later they are going to have to bring out a new category of devices that nobody knew they needed until Apple announced it, and they are going to have to sell millions of them," said Gartner analyst Van Baker.

"We are still waiting for that."

Baker and other analysts note that while people may be eager for Apple to wow them anew, it is premature to start thinking the pace of innovation at the company is off kilter.

Jobs introduced the iPhone about five years after Apple launched the iPod, and it was another three years before the iPad debuted in early 2010.

"Apple is still within the window of opportunity to bring something that is a completely new category," Baker said.

Apple CEO Tim Cook presents iPad Air, a new iPad mini with Retina display, at the Yerba Buena Center for the Arts in San Francisco, California, on October 22, 2013

"If they haven't done it by the end of next year, then there will be reason for people to be a little more nervous."

For now, what Apple is missing is the mastery Jobs had of managing expectations, referred to as his "reality distortion field," in a way that left the public impressed with whatever it introduced.

"Apple is good at inventing new products and at maximizing profitability of its product range over time through software innovations and clever marketing," Forrester analyst Thomas Husson said in a blog post after Apple ramped up its iPad line on Tuesday.

"Yes, at some point, the company will need to disrupt a new market once again, but today's announcement is really about making sure it maintains the premium brand experience for the holiday season when competition is heating up."

Tim Bajarin, president of Creative Strategies, believes that Apple has set the foundation for major product innovation with significant developments in chips powering its and the software they run.

Apple hasn't lost its innovative mojo, it has infused its array of products with powerful 64-bit processors and compatible software, opening the door to formidable new-generation gadgets whether they be wearable computers or something else entirely, he said.

"This year Apple was building the technology foundation to deliver what I would consider their next big thing, whether it is an iWatch, a new television platform or whatever," Bajarin added.

An employee prepares a display iPhone 5s at the Apple store, in central London, on September 20, 2013

"I think next year will be their big year for ."

Under-the-hood innovations made by Apple this year have set the stage for mobile devices that pack computing power on par with those of desktop machines.

Spending a couple of years incrementally improving popular Apple products and building a springboard for the "next big thing" has been Apple's style for quite some time, according to the analyst.

"In each of those cases when Steve (Jobs) had these iterative periods they were building new foundations of innovative technologies," Bajarin said.

"They have used the last two years to lay the next groundwork; 2014 is going to be their next big year."

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not rated yet Oct 23, 2013
"Apple is still within the window of opportunity to bring something that is a completely new category," [Gartner analyst] Baker said.

What a stupid thing to say (and a good example of why Gartner are rubbish IMHO) - there is always a window of opportunity to bring out technology in a completely new category. If not then we'd never see new categories being created as everything would be only an improvement of something already existing.

Before Apple first brought out their iPod, iPhone and iPad devices and popularised (rather than necessarily created) with each of these initial releases a new tech category, analysts like Baker and other technology-watchers didn't seem fazed that Apple were relying on incremental improvement to their existing devices.
not rated yet Oct 23, 2013
What happened to the i-Watch?

Was it a declared a failure by Apple before it was released?

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