World Bank warns global warming woes closing in

Jun 19, 2013 by Veronica Smith
A Vietnamese farmer burns rice straw on her family's harvested rice field to prepare land for the next crop, outside Hanoi on June 14, 2013. The World Bank on Wednesday warned that severe hardships from global warming could be felt within a generation, with a new study detailing devastating impacts in Africa and Asia.

The World Bank on Wednesday warned that severe hardships from global warming could be felt within a generation, with a new study detailing devastating impacts in Africa and Asia.

The report presents "an alarming scenario for the days and years ahead—what we could face in our lifetime," said World Bank President Jim Yong Kim.

"The scientists tell us that if the world warms by two degrees Centigrade (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit)—warming which may be reached in 20 to 30 years—that will cause widespread , unprecedented , and more intense cyclones," he said in a statement.

An update of the Bank's November "Turn Down the Heat" , the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Climate said there was evidence in the past seven months that previous projections for had been too low.

Now, it said, there was a growing chance that warming will reach or exceed four degrees Celsius in this century "in the absence of near-term actions and further commitments to reduce emissions."

The United Nations has proposed the goal of limiting global warming to two degrees Celsius from pre-industrial levels, setting for the first time measurable targets to curb greenhouse-gas emissions.

International negotiations are aimed at reaching an agreement on that limit by 2015, with the pact due to take effect by 2020.

In the report, commissioned by the World Bank, scientists from around the world focused on the risks of to development in Sub-Saharan Africa, Southeast Asia and , home to some of the world's poorest people.

They looked at the likely impacts from varying degrees of global warming in a range of areas, including agriculture, water resources, coastal erosion and vulnerability to flooding.

A young man walks on the beach at Grand-Bassam, a historic town 40 km east of Abidjan threatened by coastal erosion, on May 17, 2012. The World Bank on Wednesday warned that severe hardships from global warming could be felt within a generation, with a new study detailing devastating impacts in Africa and Asia.

The report noted that the current level of warming—0.8 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial levels of the 18th century—already had increased drought in Sub-Saharan Africa and in .

The impact of two-degree warming, expected by the 2040s, would have grave and sweeping consequences, it said.

Unusual and unprecedented heat extremes would hammer the three regions, cutting crop production and causing widespread food shortages.

Many regions would see 20 percent declines in water availability and, for South Asia, disturbances in the monsoon could put water and food resources "at severe risk."

Rachel Kyte, World Bank vice president for sustainable development, said the development lender has been working with some of the world's burgeoning cities to mitigate the risks of global warming, for example helping Manila and Ho Chi Minh City on flood mitigation.

She said the Bank was looking at a major initiative preparing cities to absorb investment for infrastructure projects that will help them deal with the impact of global warming, such as flood protection, and the report, by detailing risks, should encourage much-needed private investment.

"When the investment community understands risks, then they always flip that into an opportunity in terms of investment vehicles," she said in a conference call.

Kyte said there was "a fundamental shift" in thinking at the World Bank that has put climate change at the heart of its development strategy.

The World Bank doubled its investment in climate adjustment to $4.6 billion in fiscal year 2012 ending June 30 from $2.3 billion the prior year, she said.

The report stressed that the risks were rising and a solution urgent, but there was a chance to avoid the worst of the crisis.

"It is not too late to hold warming near two degrees Celsius, and build resilience to temperatures and other climate impacts that are expected to still pose significant risks to agriculture, water resources, coastal infrastructure, and human health," the report said.

"The window for holding warming below two degrees Celsius and avoiding a four degrees Celsius world is closing rapidly, and the time to act is now."

Oxfam welcomed the report but said the World Bank "must ensure its own lending meets the needs of the people who are most vulnerable to climate change."

Greenpeace pushed for the World Bank to stop funding fossil-fuels projects, which add to .

"Bold action is needed from all governments, and the must lead the way by shifting all its energy financing from fossil fuels to renewables and energy efficiency," it said.

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deatopmg
1.8 / 5 (16) Jun 19, 2013
There is simply no evidence for a 4 deg warming, just a myriad of models from consensus scientists sic who are permanently suckling from the teat of big government and multi-government organizations like the WB and IMF.
deepsand
3.6 / 5 (17) Jun 21, 2013
There is simply no evidence for a 4 deg warming, just a myriad of models from consensus scientists sic who are permanently suckling from the teat of big government and multi-government organizations like the WB and IMF.

There is no evidence to support any of your assertions.
Neinsense99
3.6 / 5 (15) Jul 01, 2013
There is simply no evidence for a 4 deg warming, just a myriad of models from consensus scientists sic who are permanently suckling from the teat of big government and multi-government organizations like the WB and IMF.

Thanks for the detailed refutation, Bunker Boy.
VendicarE
4.3 / 5 (12) Jul 01, 2013
"There is simply no evidence for a 4 deg warming" - DepTard

Yes, just as there is no evidence you will hit the ground when you are falling from a 14 story building.

The evidence only comes after your death.

Mr Anderson
4.3 / 5 (11) Jul 01, 2013
There is simply no evidence for a 4 deg warming


There is simply no evidence you exist. For all we know you're a hologram under remote control from aliens on the planet Vulcan.
Maggnus
4 / 5 (9) Jul 01, 2013
There is simply no evidence for a 4 deg warming, just a myriad of models from consensus scientists sic who are permanently suckling from the teat of big government and multi-government organizations like the WB and IMF.


WOOWOOOO! Now there's a take on the conspiracy! You've had your looney nutjob cookies today I see. What a bloody moron.
ubavontuba
1.3 / 5 (13) Jul 02, 2013
The report noted that the current level of warming—0.8 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial levels of the 18th century—already had increased drought in Sub-Saharan Africa and coastal erosion in Southeast Asia.
This is a flat out lie. Sub-Saharan African rain has been increasing for years.

http://news.natio...ara.html

...and increases in precipitation are predicted to continue:

http://www.hindaw.../453521/

...and even AGWite blogs admit it:

http://blogs.ei.c...it-last/

deepsand
3.2 / 5 (13) Jul 02, 2013
UTuba apparently doesn't understand the difference between the Sahara, the Sahel, and Sub-Saharan Africa. Either that or he's hoping that no one else here will.

And, even his cited article states that what the future holds for the Sahel is uncertain.

As is his usual, UTuba engages in intellectual fraud.
ubavontuba
1 / 5 (13) Jul 02, 2013
UTuba apparently doesn't understand the difference between the Sahara, the Sahel, and Sub-Saharan Africa.
Deepsand apparently doesn't understand the similarities between the Sahara desert and surrounding regions, the Sahel, and Sub-Saharan Africa. Maybe he thinks the Sahel is in Wisconsin?

As is his usual, UTuba engages in intellectual fraud.
As usual the pretender, deepsand, fails to understand basic science.

antigoracle
1.6 / 5 (14) Jul 02, 2013
"There is simply no evidence for a 4 deg warming" - DepTard

Yes, just as there is no evidence you will hit the ground when you are falling from a 14 story building.

The evidence only comes after your death.


Hmmm... it looks like this one left none of the AGW Alarmist cult's stupid potion for anyone else.
deepsand
3.6 / 5 (14) Jul 02, 2013
UTuba apparently doesn't understand the difference between the Sahara, the Sahel, and Sub-Saharan Africa.
Deepsand apparently doesn't understand the similarities between the Sahara desert and surrounding regions, the Sahel, and Sub-Saharan Africa. Maybe he thinks the Sahel is in Wisconsin?

No doubt UTuba thinks that conditions are uniform across the entire African continent.

We regret to inform him that he is wrong.
deepsand
3.6 / 5 (14) Jul 03, 2013
"There is simply no evidence for a 4 deg warming" - DepTard

Yes, just as there is no evidence you will hit the ground when you are falling from a 14 story building.

The evidence only comes after your death.

Hmmm... it looks like this one left none of the AGW Alarmist cult's stupid potion for anyone else.

You lack the humour to be entertaining, the knowledge to be informative, and have all the charm and attraction of a deceased rat which suffered from leprosy and incontinence.
ubavontuba
1 / 5 (12) Jul 03, 2013
UTuba apparently doesn't understand the difference between the Sahara, the Sahel, and Sub-Saharan Africa.
Deepsand apparently doesn't understand the similarities between the Sahara desert and surrounding regions, the Sahel, and Sub-Saharan Africa. Maybe he thinks the Sahel is in Wisconsin?

No doubt UTuba thinks that conditions are uniform across the entire African continent.
And again, deepsand fails to understand the similarities between the "Sahara desert and surrounding regions," the Sahel, and Sub-Saharan Africa.

At least he's getting closer, but he apparently thinks these regions encompasses all of Africa!

We regret to inform him that he is wrong.
LOL. Using self-aggrandizing plurals now?

I do not regret to inform you that you're wrong (as usual).

ubavontuba
1 / 5 (12) Jul 03, 2013
You lack the humour to be entertaining, the knowledge to be informative, and have all the charm and attraction of a deceased rat which suffered from leprosy and incontinence.
LOL. I guess you foolishly think this is clever, as you copy and paste this line incessantly.

However, your inability to form a more relevant and pertinent response, makes it appear this line applies more to you, than any other.
deepsand
3.4 / 5 (13) Jul 03, 2013
UTuba apparently doesn't understand the difference between the Sahara, the Sahel, and Sub-Saharan Africa.
Deepsand apparently doesn't understand the similarities between the Sahara desert and surrounding regions, the Sahel, and Sub-Saharan Africa. Maybe he thinks the Sahel is in Wisconsin?

No doubt UTuba thinks that conditions are uniform across the entire African continent.
And again, deepsand fails to understand the similarities between the "Sahara desert and surrounding regions," the Sahel, and Sub-Saharan Africa.

At least he's getting closer, but he apparently thinks these regions encompasses all of Africa!

We regret to inform him that he is wrong.
LOL. Using self-aggrandizing plurals now?

I do not regret to inform you that you're wrong (as usual).

UTuba obviously fails to understand the distinction between "similar" and "identical."
ubavontuba
1 / 5 (12) Jul 03, 2013
UTuba obviously fails to understand the distinction between "similar" and "identical."
Deepsand apparently fails to understand that one region can be defined using various terms.

deepsand
3.3 / 5 (12) Jul 04, 2013
UTuba obviously fails to understand the distinction between "similar" and "identical."
Deepsand apparently fails to understand that one region can be defined using various terms.

Irrelevant to the fact that your citing matters re. precipitation in the Sahara or Sahel are of no material import to drought in Sub-Saharan Africa.
ubavontuba
1 / 5 (12) Jul 05, 2013
UTuba obviously fails to understand the distinction between "similar" and "identical."
Deepsand apparently fails to understand that one region can be defined using various terms.

Irrelevant to the fact that your citing matters re. precipitation in the Sahara or Sahel are of no material import to drought in Sub-Saharan Africa.
deepsand still fails to understand where the Sahel is. Perhaps he thinks it's in Australia?

Neinsense99
3.5 / 5 (11) Jul 05, 2013
UTuba obviously fails to understand the distinction between "similar" and "identical."
Deepsand apparently fails to understand that one region can be defined using various terms.

Irrelevant to the fact that your citing matters re. precipitation in the Sahara or Sahel are of no material import to drought in Sub-Saharan Africa.
deepsand still fails to understand where the Sahel is. Perhaps he thinks it's in Australia?
Yes, the Sahel is south of the Sahara. Barely. So are a lot of things, like lakes, rivers, rain forest, etc. You're nitpicking part of his comment out of context, and constructing a straw man with that 'Australia' suggestion. FYI - http://www.britan...38/Sahel
deepsand
3.5 / 5 (13) Jul 05, 2013
UTuba knows what the Sahel is; he simply steadfastly refuses to acknowledge that it is not Sub-Saharan Africa as most, including the authors of the article in question, use the term.

In short, he is just engaging in his usual sophistry.
ubavontuba
1 / 5 (12) Jul 05, 2013
deepsand still fails to understand where the Sahel is. Perhaps he thinks it's in Australia?
Yes, the Sahel is south of the Sahara. Barely. So are a lot of things, like lakes, rivers, rain forest, etc. You're nitpicking part of his comment out of context, and constructing a straw man with that 'Australia' suggestion. FYI - http://www.britan...38/Sahel
"The Sahel is the ecoclimatic and biogeographic zone of transition, in Africa, between the Sahara desert to the north and the Sudanian Savannas to the south, having a semi-arid climate. It stretches across the north of the African continent between the Atlantic Ocean and the Red Sea. The Arabic word sāḥil (ساحل) literally means "shore, coast" as describing the appearance of the vegetation of the Sahel as a coastline which delimits the sand of the Sahara."

http://en.wikiped...ki/Sahel

There's an illustration, and everything. Maybe even deepsand might even begin to understand.

deepsand
3.8 / 5 (10) Jul 05, 2013
Notice how UTuna avoids the definition of "Sub-Saharan Africa."

Notice how he avoids the fact that the article is not speaking of the Sahel.

See the UTuba sophist dance.
ubavontuba
1 / 5 (12) Jul 05, 2013
Notice how UTuna avoids the definition of "Sub-Saharan Africa."

Notice how he avoids the fact that the article is not speaking of the Sahel.

See the UTuba sophist dance.
Rain and vegetation look okay:
http://earthobser...2_M_NDVI

Most of the driest areas significantly greening:

http://cdn.physor...reen.png

deepsand
3.5 / 5 (11) Jul 06, 2013
See the UTuba sophist twist and turn away from the fact that his citations are immaterial to the droughts cited by the article here presented.

No doubt he'd argue that the weather/climate in New England is representative of that in the Gulf Coast states if it suited his purposes.
TheGhostofOtto1923
4.6 / 5 (9) Jul 06, 2013
This is a flat out lie. Sub-Saharan African rain has been increasing for years.
Perhaps not.

"Today, however, the region is rife with conflict. On the surface, the fighting is over differences in culture and religion, but at the core, the disputes are over the dwindling supply of water and land. While low rainfall in the Sahel has always meant competition for good crop- and pastureland, in the past different groups found ways to share, resolving land disputes at traditional meetings of elders and offering restitution to victims of violence. But the drying trend that began in the late 1960s and plunged the region into drought in the '70s and '80s increased competition and tension. Herders and farmers became desperate as they lost their animals and used up reserves of seeds, food, and cash."

-From your same reference source, nat geo.
VendicarE
5 / 5 (6) Jul 06, 2013
My, my... UbVonTard caught in yet another lie.

Lying is his only means of argument.
ubavontuba
1 / 5 (11) Jul 06, 2013
See the UTuba sophist twist and turn away from the fact that his citations are immaterial to the droughts cited by the article here presented.
What droughts? This claim is immaterial. This is only a speculation on supposed future droughts. Africa isn't suffering from any unusual drought activity (periodic drought is a normal occurrence in Africa, as with most anywhere).

No doubt he'd argue that the weather/climate in New England is representative of that in the Gulf Coast states if it suited his purposes.
The long term weather changes in the Sahel is a climate change that's been going on for quite some time now. A a result, there's no "increased desertification" going on. In fact, quite the opposite. The Sahara is shrinking.

How is this not good news?
VendicarE
4.4 / 5 (7) Jul 06, 2013
Yadda, Yadda, Yadda...

"What droughts? This claim is immaterial." - UbVontard

UbVonTard gets caught telling yet another lie and then typically spends his time spinning yarn after yarn attempting, and failing to prove that he never actually told a lie/

What a Low Life moron.

TheGhostofOtto1923
4.4 / 5 (7) Jul 06, 2013
What droughts? This claim is immaterial. This is only a speculation on supposed future droughts. Africa isn't suffering from any unusual drought activity (periodic drought is a normal occurrence in Africa, as with most anywhere).
-As is periodic greening.
A a result, there's no "increased desertification" going on. In fact, quite the opposite. The Sahara is shrinking
-But who knows if this is periodic or not? Per your link

"Images taken between 1982 and 2002"

-20 years is not 'long-term'. The sahara has been desert for 5-6k years. And

"At present (2000 AD), we are in a dry period, but it is expected that the Sahara will become green again in 15000 years (17000 AD)"
VendicarE
4.2 / 5 (5) Jul 06, 2013
Documenting the brain death of American Conservatives.

http://www.youtub...lE#at=41
deepsand
3.2 / 5 (9) Jul 07, 2013
See the UTuba sophist twist and turn away from the fact that his citations are immaterial to the droughts cited by the article here presented.
What droughts? This claim is immaterial. This is only a speculation on supposed future droughts. Africa isn't suffering from any unusual drought activity (periodic drought is a normal occurrence in Africa, as with most anywhere).

Which word(s) did yo not understand?.

No doubt he'd argue that the weather/climate in New England is representative of that in the Gulf Coast states if it suited his purposes.
The long term weather changes in the Sahel is a climate change that's been going on for quite some time now. A a result, there's no "increased desertification" going on. In fact, quite the opposite. The Sahara is shrinking.

How is this not good news?

Which has nothing to do with Sub-Saharan Africa.