UN: El Nino unlikely to hit by end of 2012

Nov 22, 2012
A boy walks in front of flooded houses in rural Colombia after the El Nino effect caused rivers to overflow. The UN's weather agency says there is little chance the devastating El Nino will return before the end of 2012.

There is little chance the potentially devastating El Nino weather phenomenon will return before the end of the year, the UN's weather agency said.

"Model forecasts and expert opinion suggest that the likelihood of El Nino conditions developing during the remainder of 2012 is now low," the said in its latest update.

Despite a slight warming of in the tropical Pacific ocean in August and early September—an element to El Nino's development—other factors, including wind and cloud patterns had failed to respond.

The El Nino phenomenon occurs every two to seven years.

It causes a major shift in rainfall, bringing floods and mudslides to usually arid countries in western South America, drought in the western Pacific and a change in the nutrient-rich ocean currents that lure fish.

El Nino last occurred from June 2009 to May 2010, WMO said.

Explore further: Historic climate data provided by Mediterranean seabed sediments

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User comments : 3

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VendicarD
5 / 5 (2) Nov 22, 2012
No ElNino and still the year will end with the earth being the 5th to 7th warmest year on record.
Sherrin
1 / 5 (1) Nov 23, 2012
El Nino usually means drought for Australia, so this is GOOD news.
Howhot
1 / 5 (1) Nov 27, 2012
El Nino usually means drought for Australia, so this is GOOD news.


You mean La Nina. Or is that El Nino in the Northern hemisphere makes drought in the Southern hemisphere or is it visa-versa... Or is it La Nina in the Northern hemisphere makes it rain in the southern hemisphere. It so confusing, I don't think the AGW skeptics even know.

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