UN: El Nino unlikely to hit by end of 2012

Nov 22, 2012
A boy walks in front of flooded houses in rural Colombia after the El Nino effect caused rivers to overflow. The UN's weather agency says there is little chance the devastating El Nino will return before the end of 2012.

There is little chance the potentially devastating El Nino weather phenomenon will return before the end of the year, the UN's weather agency said.

"Model forecasts and expert opinion suggest that the likelihood of El Nino conditions developing during the remainder of 2012 is now low," the said in its latest update.

Despite a slight warming of in the tropical Pacific ocean in August and early September—an element to El Nino's development—other factors, including wind and cloud patterns had failed to respond.

The El Nino phenomenon occurs every two to seven years.

It causes a major shift in rainfall, bringing floods and mudslides to usually arid countries in western South America, drought in the western Pacific and a change in the nutrient-rich ocean currents that lure fish.

El Nino last occurred from June 2009 to May 2010, WMO said.

Explore further: El Nino may soon return: UN weather agency

add to favorites email to friend print save as pdf

Related Stories

Forecasters say El Nino may be developing

Jun 08, 2009

(AP) -- A new El Nino could be approaching. Sea-surface temperatures have been warming in the tropical Pacific Ocean, suggesting the potential for the development of the El Nino climate phenomenon this summer, according ...

El Nino phenomenon to die out by mid-year

Mar 30, 2010

Weather experts said Tuesday that El Nino, the weather anomaly that wreaks havoc around the Pacific and east Africa, has peaked and would disappear by mid-year.

El Nino To Affect Weather In Colorado And Western U.S.

Dec 01, 2006

Colorado's late fall snowstorms could disappear by mid-December due to the influence of an El Niño event in the tropical Pacific Ocean, said Klaus Wolter, a University of Colorado at Boulder and National Oceanic and Atmospheric ...

Recommended for you

Strong earthquake at exceptional depth

21 hours ago

This morning at 05:45 CEST, the earth trembled beneath the Okhotsk Sea in the Pacific Northwest. The quake, with a magnitude of 8.2, took place at an exceptional depth of 605 kilometers. Because of the great ...

Marine forecasting on the horizon for Indian Ocean Rim

21 hours ago

Nearly all of the member countries of the Indian Ocean Rim Association for Regional Cooperation (IOR-ARC) will attend the week-long workshop to further cooperation and understanding on international ocean ...

Russia evacuates drifting Arctic research station

May 23, 2013

Russia has ordered the urgent evacuation of the 16-strong crew of a drifting Arctic research station after ice floe that hosts the floating laboratory began to disintegrate, officials said Thursday.

User comments : 3

Adjust slider to filter visible comments by rank

Display comments: newest first

VendicarD
5 / 5 (2) Nov 22, 2012
No ElNino and still the year will end with the earth being the 5th to 7th warmest year on record.
Sherrin
1 / 5 (1) Nov 23, 2012
El Nino usually means drought for Australia, so this is GOOD news.
Howhot
1 / 5 (1) Nov 27, 2012
El Nino usually means drought for Australia, so this is GOOD news.


You mean La Nina. Or is that El Nino in the Northern hemisphere makes drought in the Southern hemisphere or is it visa-versa... Or is it La Nina in the Northern hemisphere makes it rain in the southern hemisphere. It so confusing, I don't think the AGW skeptics even know.

More news stories

Galaxies fed by funnels of fuel

(Phys.org) —Computer simulations of galaxies growing over billions of years have revealed a likely scenario for how they feed: a cosmic version of swirly straws.

Source of life running out: water scientists

The majority of people on Earth people will face severe water shortages within a generation or two if pollution and waste continues unabated, scientists warned at a conference in Bonn Friday.

Dark, massive asteroid to fly by Earth on May 31

It's 1.7 miles long. Its surface is covered in a sticky black substance similar to the gunk at the bottom of a barbecue. If it impacted Earth it would probably result in global extinction. Good thing it is ...

Drones may violate international law

(Phys.org) —As President Obama gives a speech on national security—including defending U.S. use of drones to combat terrorism—Leila Sadat, JD, international law expert and professor of law at Washington University in ...