Chinese firms accelerate in race toward driverless future

April 23, 2016 by Julien Girault
Chinese Internet giant LeECO Holdings Ltd unveils its internet electric battery driverless concept car 'LeSEE', during a launch event in Beijing, on April 20, 2016

Chinese manufacturers and Internet giants are in hot pursuit of their US counterparts in the race to design driverless cars, but the route to market is still littered with potholes.

While Google has been working on autonomous vehicles for at least six years, with the likes of BMW, Volvo and Toyota in its wake, more recently Chinese businesses have entered the race, from Internet search giant Baidu to manufacturer Changan.

Last week, ahead of the Beijing Auto Show opening on Monday, two self-driving Changan cars made a mountainous 2,000 kilometre (1,200 mile) journey from Chongqing in the southwest to the capital in the country's first long-distance autonomous vehicle test.

Another Chinese Internet giant, LeECO, is also venturing into autonomous technologies, unveiling Wednesday in Beijing an electric car that can park itself and be summoned to its owner's location via smartphone.

And late last year Baidu tested China's first locally designed driverless vehicle, a modified BMW, with a 30 kilometre ride through the streets of Beijing.

Despite China's relatively late entry to the field, analysts believe the country could become a key market for driverless vehicles thanks to a more favourable regulatory and consumer environment.

An Internet electric battery driverless concept car 'LeSEE' is seen during a launch event in Beijing on April 20, 2016

The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) forecasts that global sales of driverless cars will reach 12 million by 2035, with more than a quarter sold in China.

Vehicles which automatically adjust their routes in response to real-time traffic information could solve chronic gridlock in China's major cities, BCG's Xavier Mosquet told AFP.

"If they believe this would ease traffic, Chinese authorities will do all they can to promote the development of this technology and then its use," he said.

Robot taxis

Public concerns over the safety of are far lower than elsewhere, according to a survey by Roland Berger consultants in 2015, which found 96 percent of Chinese would consider an autonomous vehicle for almost all everyday driving, compared with 58 percent of Americans and Germans.

In a country notorious for accidents, the promise of better safety through autonomous technologies could also be appealing.

A 2015 survey found 96% of Chinese would consider an autonomous vehicle for almost all everyday driving, compared with 58% of Americans and Germans

The ultimate prize, say analysts, will be when mass transport firms such as taxi-hailing giant Uber, or its Chinese rival Didi, can deploy huge fleets of robot taxis.

"The real payoff for truly driverless technology will come when cars on the road are no longer owned by people, but are owned by fleet management services," said Bill Russo, managing director of the consultancy firm Gao Feng.

"That's where you want to think about taking the driver out of the equation. Mobility on demand is hugely popular here."

In the Roland Berger survey, 51 percent of Chinese car owners said they would prefer to use robot taxis rather than buy a new vehicle themselves, compared with 26 percent of Americans.

With a ready market, China may soon become the top location for companies to refine driverless technology.

Swedish manufacturer Volvo, owned by China's Geely since 2010, this month announced plans to test drive up to 100 of its vehicles on Chinese roads this year.

Swedish manufacturer Volvo, owned by China's Geely since 2010, has announced plans to test drive up to 100 of its driverless vehicles on Chinese roads in 2016

Changan, a partner of Ford, is set to roll out commercial autonomous vehicles for motorways from 2018, while mass production of driverless city cars is projected to begin in 2025.

'Does the car choose?'

Baidu, meanwhile, says it will launch self-driving buses by 2018, which will operate on fixed routes in select cities in China.

Like Google, the Internet giant already owns detailed roadmaps and has experience in electronic security, and a company spokeswoman told AFP it had had "very positive feedback" from the government.

But analysts are more cautious, predicting slow-moving autonomous vehicles will not appear in towns until at least 2020.

Production costs were still too high to make a robot taxi fleet viable, BCG's Mosquet said.

"There are still many questions to be resolved" before fully can be put into public use, said Jeremy Carlson, a senior analyst for IHS.

He pointed to "chaotic traffic situations" on roads shared with cyclists and pedestrians, and less-than-adequate infrastructure.

Technology will be the first to see solutions, he said, but that still left regulation and issues around liability and insurance to be addressed.

For some, there are moral dilemmas as well.

"If you have someone jumping out in front of an autonomous car, does the car have to choose between killing that person, or swerving and crashing and killing the passenger?" asked Robin Zhu, senior analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein.

"If your car could choose to kill you, would you get in it?"

Explore further: China tech giant Baidu to develop driverless car

Related Stories

Where we are on the road to driverless cars

November 5, 2015

Who doesn't like the idea of getting in your car, sitting back finishing off your coffee and reading the paper while the vehicle whisks you to your destination? We're not quite there yet, but what is available are technologies ...

Recommended for you

New technique spots warning signs of extreme events

September 22, 2017

Many extreme events—from a rogue wave that rises up from calm waters, to an instability inside a gas turbine, to the sudden extinction of a previously hardy wildlife species—seem to occur without warning. It's often impossible ...

5 comments

Adjust slider to filter visible comments by rank

Display comments: newest first

BSD
5 / 5 (1) Apr 23, 2016
Electric propulsion is more urgent than driverless cars. We have them already, you just need to look at driverless vehicles every time you go driving yourself.
abkennedy820
not rated yet Apr 24, 2016
I understand driverless cars are part of future but I'll also urge the leaders to force a law which these cars have to pass theory and practical driving exams, otherwise it will be driving illegally as the leaders have forced humans to do.
If it doesn't take these tests, now you reminding us that " The common law right to travel" does take place in our society?
Duude
5 / 5 (1) Apr 24, 2016
"Public concerns over the safety of driverless cars are far lower than elsewhere, according to a survey by Roland Berger consultants in 2015, which found 96 percent of Chinese would consider an autonomous vehicle for almost all everyday driving, compared with 58 percent of Americans and Germans."

No big surprise there. If you've driven on a Chinese highway you will soon believe there are no rules of the road. What with that, a driverless car has to be better than a Chinese man behind the wheel.
rrrander
not rated yet May 01, 2016
The Chinese are totalitarians. Of course they'd go for something that puts the control of just one more thing in the hands of the STATE.
TheGhostofOtto1923
3 / 5 (2) May 01, 2016
If the technology were given free reign then roads would quickly become unsafe for human drivers. AI cars would learn from experience and improve their performance. They would also share this knowledge with others.

This self-reinforcing loop would have vehicles driving inches from each other, taking unanticipated routes, and making (to us) irrational maneuvers.

This could be the most breathtaking emergence of AI that we could imagine. And what better place for it to happen but in China where lawlessness is respected and individual freedom and lives a little less so?

AI self-regulating transportation systems would save in energy and improve efficiency enormously thereby reducing pollution and congestion on overcrowded roads. So in China they may be irresistible.

These systems might begin determining when people and goods travel, altering work schedules and production. They might begin to determine the best locations for future development. They may redesign cities.

Please sign in to add a comment. Registration is free, and takes less than a minute. Read more

Click here to reset your password.
Sign in to get notified via email when new comments are made.