Study finds geoengineering technique would not stop sea level rise

Study finds geoengineering technique would not stop sea level rise
The margin of the Greenland Ice Sheet in summer 2011. Credit: Patrick Applegate

Albedo modification, an emerging technology with the potential to offset some aspects of climate change, shouldn't be counted on as a short-term solution to stop rising global sea levels, according to a new study from Penn State geoscientists.

"In the short term, the first few decades to the first century after you start doing albedo modification, it's not as effective in avoiding rise from the Greenland Ice Sheet as you might think," said Patrick Applegate, a research associate in Penn State's Earth and Environmental Systems Institute. "The rate of sea-level rise goes down, but sea-level rise from the doesn't stop."

Researchers used computer model experiments to test how the Greenland Ice Sheet would react to albedo modification, also called solar radiation management geoengineering, a proposed technology to cool down the Earth's temperature by reflecting some sunlight away from the planet. They found the ice sheet might contribute to sea-level rise for decades to centuries after albedo modification began.

The findings, published this week in the journal Environmental Research Letters, provide a nuanced picture of how albedo modification might affect future , and build on a previous study that looked at the effect of albedo modification on the Greenland Ice Sheet over a much longer period of time.

"There has been one other study that used broadly similar methods, but they looked at really long timescales," Applegate said. "Many people are also interested in what happens over the next few decades or centuries, so we zoomed in on shorter time scales for our study. And there you get a very different answer."

The researchers looked at a three-dimensional ice sheet model that included some important feedbacks.

One such feedback is the size of the ice sheet itself. The Greenland Ice Sheet is like a tall, white mountain. Its height means it's much colder at the top of the ice sheet than at sea level. If the ice sheet has already partly melted when albedo modification begins, the cold area at the top might be smaller, making it harder to save the ice sheet by reducing temperatures.

The Greenland Ice Sheet contains enough ice to raise global sea level by about 24 feet if the sheet were to melt entirely. If that were to happen, many people who live near present-day sea level would be at risk of being displaced by flooding.

"Albedo modification is not something that can be done locally. That means the world community has to make some kind of analysis of the costs versus the benefits of albedo modification," Applegate said. "We argue that the benefits may be smaller than we thought."


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Journal information: Environmental Research Letters

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Aug 18, 2015
The idea that geo-engineering is possible, while it does get grants, is preposterous. the Earth is far to large, and the climate far to powerful in unknown ways.

Give a monkey a brain, and he'll swear he's the center of the universe.

Aug 18, 2015
"Give a monkey a brain, and he'll swear he's the center of the universe."
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You seem to have done it on brainstem alone.

Aug 18, 2015
The climate changes -- the sea level rises and falls on time scales measured in decades and centuries.

Don't invest long term in coastal properties. No one will drown if they start walking now. .

Aug 18, 2015
"Give a monkey a brain, and he'll swear he's the center of the universe."
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You seem to have done it on brainstem alone.

Tell us what it feels like to drop out of college.

Also, please stop linking to bi-curious websites. I'm not saying that what you do there is bad, I'm just not interested.

Thanks.

Aug 18, 2015
"Give a monkey a brain, and he'll swear he's the center of the universe."
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You seem to have done it on brainstem alone.

It's a pity you can't grow a brainstem.

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