Scientist's formula backs Germany to win soccer World Cup

Apr 21, 2010
The FIFA World Cup trophy is displayed during a tour in Santiago, February 2010. A university professor has developed a mathematical formula which, he claims, shows Germany will win the 2010 World Cup in South Africa this June.

A university professor has developed a mathematical formula which, he claims, shows Germany will win the 2010 World Cup in South Africa this June.

Germany face Australia, Serbia and Ghana in Group D, but Metin Tolan, a physic professor at the University of Dortmund, is convinced German captain Michael Ballack will be lifting the World Cup following the final on July 11.

The scientist has written a formula based on trigonometry which analyses all Germany's results from previous World Cups and predicts a winner for this year's tournament.

Having won the World Cup three times, in 1954, 1974 and 1990, Germany's average finishing place at previous tournaments is 3.7 and Tolan says his formula shows this will be Germany's year to lift the trophy.

"It is very simple, all my calculations prove this," he told Germany magazine "Zeit Wissen".

"The last time we won the World Cup was back in 1990 and there have been four tournaments since," explained Tolan.

"The average finishing place of the Germany team is 3.7 and the German team wins the title every fourth or fifth World Cup.

"Nobody can beat us this year and you can already put the champagne on ice."

Tolan already predicted Germany would win the last World Cup, which they hosted in 2006, but unfortunately for his theory, the home nation was beaten by eventual winners Italy in the semi-finals.

"My formula gave the winner for the following World Cup, this is why it works this time for sure," he explained undeterred after Jurgen Klinsmann's side beat Portugal 3-1 to finish third at the last World Cup.

But Tolan's equations could also help Germany's arch-rivals England, who were dumped out of the last after being beaten on penalties by Portugal, as Fabio Capello's side have a history of struggling with spot-kicks.

"The weakest kicker should take the first penalty, then the second-weakest and so on," he said.

"Then you have the greatest chance of scoring as many goals as possible."

Explore further: Researchers help Boston Marathon organizers plan for 2014 race

add to favorites email to friend print save as pdf

Related Stories

Spammers take advantage of World Cup

Jun 19, 2006

The World Cup is a field day for beer advertisers, travel agents, and now, it seems, junk e-mailers: soccer spam has popped up in almost every language.

Robot footballers wow crowd in Germany

Mar 02, 2010

Forget Cristiano Ronaldo, Wayne Rooney or Lionel Messi. With less than 100 days to the World Cup, it was four pint-sized robots that wowed crowds in Germany Tuesday with their footballing skills.

Recommended for you

Newlyweds, be careful what you wish for

13 hours ago

A statistical analysis of the gift "fulfillments" at several hundred online wedding gift registries suggests that wedding guests are caught between a rock and a hard place when it comes to buying an appropriate gift for the ...

Can new understanding avert tragedy?

16 hours ago

As a boy growing up in Syracuse, NY, Sol Hsiang ran an experiment for a school project testing whether plants grow better sprinkled with water vs orange juice. Today, 20 years later, he applies complex statistical ...

Crowd-sourcing Britain's Bronze Age

16 hours ago

A new joint project by the British Museum and the UCL Institute of Archaeology is seeking online contributions from members of the public to enhance a major British Bronze Age archive and artefact collection.

Roman dig 'transforms understanding' of ancient port

16 hours ago

(Phys.org) —Researchers from the universities of Cambridge and Southampton have discovered a new section of the boundary wall of the ancient Roman port of Ostia, proving the city was much larger than previously ...

User comments : 1

Adjust slider to filter visible comments by rank

Display comments: newest first

random
4 / 5 (1) Apr 21, 2010
The only science I see in this article is a throwaway line referencing a mysterious 'formula based on trigonometry.' This website needs an entertainment section.

More news stories

Newlyweds, be careful what you wish for

A statistical analysis of the gift "fulfillments" at several hundred online wedding gift registries suggests that wedding guests are caught between a rock and a hard place when it comes to buying an appropriate gift for the ...

Can new understanding avert tragedy?

As a boy growing up in Syracuse, NY, Sol Hsiang ran an experiment for a school project testing whether plants grow better sprinkled with water vs orange juice. Today, 20 years later, he applies complex statistical ...

Roman dig 'transforms understanding' of ancient port

(Phys.org) —Researchers from the universities of Cambridge and Southampton have discovered a new section of the boundary wall of the ancient Roman port of Ostia, proving the city was much larger than previously ...

Crowd-sourcing Britain's Bronze Age

A new joint project by the British Museum and the UCL Institute of Archaeology is seeking online contributions from members of the public to enhance a major British Bronze Age archive and artefact collection.

Hackathon team's GoogolPlex gives Siri extra powers

(Phys.org) —Four freshmen at the University of Pennsylvania have taken Apple's personal assistant Siri to behave as a graduate-level executive assistant which, when asked, is capable of adjusting the temperature ...

Better thermal-imaging lens from waste sulfur

Sulfur left over from refining fossil fuels can be transformed into cheap, lightweight, plastic lenses for infrared devices, including night-vision goggles, a University of Arizona-led international team ...