A Super Solar Flare

May 07, 2008
A Super Solar Flare
Sunspots sketched by Richard Carrington on Sept. 1, 1859. Copyright: Royal Astronomical Society

At 11:18 AM on the cloudless morning of Thursday, September 1, 1859, 33-year-old Richard Carrington—widely acknowledged to be one of England's foremost solar astronomers—was in his well-appointed private observatory. Just as usual on every sunny day, his telescope was projecting an 11-inch-wide image of the sun on a screen, and Carrington skillfully drew the sunspots he saw.

On that morning, he was capturing the likeness of an enormous group of sunspots. Suddenly, before his eyes, two brilliant beads of blinding white light appeared over the sunspots, intensified rapidly, and became kidney-shaped. Realizing that he was witnessing something unprecedented and "being somewhat flurried by the surprise," Carrington later wrote, "I hastily ran to call someone to witness the exhibition with me. On returning within 60 seconds, I was mortified to find that it was already much changed and enfeebled." He and his witness watched the white spots contract to mere pinpoints and disappear.

It was 11:23 AM. Only five minutes had passed.

Just before dawn the next day, skies all over planet Earth erupted in red, green, and purple auroras so brilliant that newspapers could be read as easily as in daylight. Indeed, stunning auroras pulsated even at near tropical latitudes over Cuba, the Bahamas, Jamaica, El Salvador, and Hawaii.

Even more disconcerting, telegraph systems worldwide went haywire. Spark discharges shocked telegraph operators and set the telegraph paper on fire. Even when telegraphers disconnected the batteries powering the lines, aurora-induced electric currents in the wires still allowed messages to be transmitted.

"What Carrington saw was a white-light solar flare—a magnetic explosion on the sun," explains David Hathaway, solar physics team lead at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama.

Now we know that solar flares happen frequently, especially during solar sunspot maximum. Most betray their existence by releasing X-rays (recorded by X-ray telescopes in space) and radio noise (recorded by radio telescopes in space and on Earth). In Carrington's day, however, there were no X-ray satellites or radio telescopes. No one knew flares existed until that September morning when one super-flare produced enough light to rival the brightness of the sun itself.

"It's rare that one can actually see the brightening of the solar surface," says Hathaway. "It takes a lot of energy to heat up the surface of the sun!"

The explosion produced not only a surge of visible light but also a mammoth cloud of charged particles and detached magnetic loops—a "CME"—and hurled that cloud directly toward Earth. The next morning when the CME arrived, it crashed into Earth's magnetic field, causing the global bubble of magnetism that surrounds our planet to shake and quiver. Researchers call this a "geomagnetic storm." Rapidly moving fields induced enormous electric currents that surged through telegraph lines and disrupted communications.

"More than 35 years ago, I began drawing the attention of the space physics community to the 1859 flare and its impact on telecommunications," says Louis J. Lanzerotti, retired Distinguished Member of Technical Staff at Bell Laboratories and current editor of the journal Space Weather. He became aware of the effects of solar geomagnetic storms on terrestrial communications when a huge solar flare on August 4, 1972, knocked out long-distance telephone communication across Illinois. That event, in fact, caused AT&T to redesign its power system for transatlantic cables. A similar flare on March 13, 1989, provoked geomagnetic storms that disrupted electric power transmission from the Hydro Québec generating station in Canada, blacking out most of the province and plunging 6 million people into darkness for 9 hours; aurora-induced power surges even melted power transformers in New Jersey. In December 2005, X-rays from another solar storm disrupted satellite-to-ground communications and Global Positioning System (GPS) navigation signals for about 10 minutes. That may not sound like much, but as Lanzerotti noted, "I would not have wanted to be on a commercial airplane being guided in for a landing by GPS or on a ship being docked by GPS during that 10 minutes."

Another Carrington-class flare would dwarf these events. Fortunately, says Hathaway, they appear to be rare:

"In the 160-year record of geomagnetic storms, the Carrington event is the biggest." It's possible to delve back even farther in time by examining arctic ice. "Energetic particles leave a record in nitrates in ice cores," he explains. "Here again the Carrington event sticks out as the biggest in 500 years and nearly twice as big as the runner-up."

These statistics suggest that Carrington flares are once in a half-millennium events. The statistics are far from solid, however, and Hathaway cautions that we don't understand flares well enough to rule out a repeat in our lifetime.

And what then?

Lanzerotti points out that as electronic technologies have become more sophisticated and more embedded into everyday life, they have also become more vulnerable to solar activity. On Earth, power lines and long-distance telephone cables might be affected by auroral currents, as happened in 1989. Radar, cell phone communications, and GPS receivers could be disrupted by solar radio noise. Experts who have studied the question say there is little to be done to protect satellites from a Carrington-class flare. In fact, a recent paper estimates potential damage to the 900-plus satellites currently in orbit could cost between $30 billion and $70 billion. The best solution, they say: have a pipeline of comsats ready for launch.

Humans in space would be in peril, too. Spacewalking astronauts might have only minutes after the first flash of light to find shelter from energetic solar particles following close on the heels of those initial photons. Their spacecraft would probably have adequate shielding; the key would be getting inside in time.

No wonder NASA and other space agencies around the world have made the study and prediction of flares a priority. Right now a fleet of spacecraft is monitoring the sun, gathering data on flares big and small that may eventually reveal what triggers the explosions. SOHO, Hinode, STEREO, ACE and others are already in orbit while new spacecraft such as the Solar Dynamics Observatory are readying for launch.

Research won't prevent another Carrington flare, but it may make the "flurry of surprise" a thing of the past.

Source: Trudy Bell & Dr. Tony Phillips, Science@NASA

Explore further: Storms threaten second launch try to space station

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EarthScientist
1 / 5 (2) May 07, 2008
What triggers flares? Energetic components that travel on the hydrogen and oxygen lines of the cymatic grid and have the periodicities that are all of the predictable perturbations that effect anything on the grid field.

Cometary showers are simply just crystalline core components from a planetary explosion long ago that returns with also that same predictability on the Oxygen cymatic lines produced by the different planet spheres for our geometric components of our cymatic grid field.

Not dirty snowballs boys,crystalline ammonia core components energized on that oxygen line as crystalline ammonia draws energy to it ,when energized by aetheric energy and reasonates at a lower tone .

That low tone of the core is the process of gravity,the grid field has a higher pitch tone.

So,I say again come and get me NSA for snitching.
earls
4 / 5 (3) May 08, 2008
I don't think you need to worry about the NSA as your communication skills are mediocre at best.

Granted, I "get" what you're saying, and some of your ideas maybe valid, but you seriously lack the ability to accurately and effectively share your ideas.

If cometary showers are predictable, I would be interested in seeing your calendar of future cometary events... For any or all planets.

Or future solar flare activity...
EarthScientist
1 / 5 (1) May 09, 2008
Earls,Try not to throw so many stones,your glass house is also not perfect,diagnose your own commentary.

The periodicities are known for most influxes of cometary showers or energetic components.The 10.5,300,500 1050 are ones that I am aware of as major systemic anomalies,although there are others.

The system explosion 28 thou ago has provided us with a lot of spread out componentry along with long range componentry that comes to us such as the 1050 that has to come through the sector connectors(Black holes to you) there are 4,by the way 2 in and 2 out that provide the gas and process tones flows.
EarthScientist
1 / 5 (3) May 09, 2008
The 1050 is the flow return that we have now been experiencing for the last 30 or so years and has heated our magma and created the higher energy weather that everyone know we also get when the 10.5 comes through.So this year,we have the 10.5 and the 1050 engaging the earths grid.

The 1050 will get much worse when the "Ball" comes through,and then we will be cooler as the ball"pulls" some of our grid energy to it as it passes.And so ,that ball has a large number of components that are core components,(crystalline ammonia) that draws energy from the oxygens lines that those components can run on .

Now,Im sure many will not accept our process,but I believe I have been clear enough.

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