Researchers Say Outlook Indicates Active 2008 Hurricane Season

Apr 09, 2008
Hurricane Katrina in the Gulf of Mexico

According to researchers at North Carolina State University, the 2008 hurricane season looks to be an active one; however, the number of storms that will have the potential to make landfall is close to that for an average year.

According to Dr. Lian Xie, professor of marine, earth and atmospheric sciences at NC State, and graduate student Elinor Keith, the outlook for 2008 is for an active season, with the possibility of 13-15 named storms forming in the Atlantic Basin, which includes the entire Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea.

Of those named storms, 6-8 may grow strong enough to become hurricanes. The southeastern coast of the U.S. could see 1-2 named storms make landfall, and there is a better than 50 percent chance that at least one of the storms will be a hurricane.

The Gulf of Mexico is most likely to see storm activity this year, as Xie's research indicates that 2-4 named storms, including one hurricane, are likely to make landfall along the Gulf Coast.

Xie's methodology evaluates data from the last 100 years on Atlantic Ocean hurricane positions and intensity, as well as other variables including weather patterns and sea surface temperatures, in order to predict how many storms will form and where they will make landfall.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

Source: North Carolina State University

Explore further: Study shows air temperature influenced African glacial movements

add to favorites email to friend print save as pdf

Related Stories

Model now capable of street-level storm-tide predictions

Mar 25, 2014

The water that surged into the intersection of New York City's Canal and Hudson streets during Hurricane Sandy—to choose just one flood-ravaged locale—was ultimately driven ashore by forces swirling hundreds ...

New satellite movie shows massive Eastern US cool down

Mar 13, 2014

Three days of satellite imagery from NOAA's GOES-East satellite were compiled into an animation that showed the progression of the storm system that drastically changed temperatures in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern U.S. ...

Recommended for you

Image: Grand Canyon geology lessons on view

4 hours ago

The Grand Canyon in northern Arizona is a favorite for astronauts shooting photos from the International Space Station, as well as one of the best-known tourist attractions in the world. The steep walls of ...

First radar vision for Copernicus

5 hours ago

Launched on 3 April, ESA's Sentinel-1A satellite has already delivered its first radar images of Earth. They offer a tantalising glimpse of the kind of operational imagery that this new mission will provide ...

User comments : 8

Adjust slider to filter visible comments by rank

Display comments: newest first

Modernmystic
2.3 / 5 (7) Apr 09, 2008
Think we'll hear about it if it turns out to be a normal season like last year?
mikiwud
3 / 5 (6) Apr 09, 2008
I've said what I was told to,can I have my grant now please?
out7x
2.2 / 5 (6) Apr 10, 2008
What criteria? The lottery?
SDMike
3.4 / 5 (5) Apr 10, 2008
Sigh. Here we go again. I wonder if they changed their software from LAST spring or if they just rebooted?
Rick69
3 / 5 (6) Apr 10, 2008
If they keep guessing this every year, they will eventually be correct and then the media will make a big to do about it and as mikiwud states, they will get a big grant.
HeRoze
not rated yet Apr 17, 2008
Rick69- Bingo. I'm setting up a wet-sock and barometer in the backyard. My application for federal funding of studying the increased huricane activity for 2009 is in works. Mine is tied directly to man-made global warming, and the cover has a picture of a young person holding a puppy. The puppy is panting - planting a subliminal message about the affects of GW.
Bazz
not rated yet Sep 25, 2008
They seem to be more accurate than expected so far, it may exeed thier predictions.
Modernmystic
not rated yet Sep 25, 2008
Yep, a pretty average season so far.

More news stories

China says massive area of its soil polluted

A huge area of China's soil covering more than twice the size of Spain is estimated to be polluted, the government said Thursday, announcing findings of a survey previously kept secret.

A sharp eye on Southern binary stars

Unlike our sun, with its retinue of orbiting planets, many stars in the sky orbit around a second star. These binary stars, with orbital periods ranging from days to centuries, have long been the primary ...