Researchers Say Outlook Indicates Active 2008 Hurricane Season

Apr 09, 2008
Hurricane Katrina in the Gulf of Mexico

According to researchers at North Carolina State University, the 2008 hurricane season looks to be an active one; however, the number of storms that will have the potential to make landfall is close to that for an average year.

According to Dr. Lian Xie, professor of marine, earth and atmospheric sciences at NC State, and graduate student Elinor Keith, the outlook for 2008 is for an active season, with the possibility of 13-15 named storms forming in the Atlantic Basin, which includes the entire Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea.

Of those named storms, 6-8 may grow strong enough to become hurricanes. The southeastern coast of the U.S. could see 1-2 named storms make landfall, and there is a better than 50 percent chance that at least one of the storms will be a hurricane.

The Gulf of Mexico is most likely to see storm activity this year, as Xie's research indicates that 2-4 named storms, including one hurricane, are likely to make landfall along the Gulf Coast.

Xie's methodology evaluates data from the last 100 years on Atlantic Ocean hurricane positions and intensity, as well as other variables including weather patterns and sea surface temperatures, in order to predict how many storms will form and where they will make landfall.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

Source: North Carolina State University

Explore further: NASA sees developing Tropical Storm Halong causing warning

add to favorites email to friend print save as pdf

Related Stories

NASA's HS3 mission spotlight: The HIRAD instrument

6 hours ago

The Hurricane Imaging Radiometer, known as HIRAD, will fly aboard one of two unmanned Global Hawk aircraft during NASA's Hurricane Severe Storm Sentinel or HS3 mission from Wallops beginning August 26 through ...

Hurricane Imaging Radiometer prepared for deployment

Jul 23, 2014

The Hurricane Imaging Radiometer, known as HIRAD, will fly aboard one of two unmanned Global Hawk aircraft during NASA's Hurricane Severe Storm Sentinel or HS3 mission from Wallops beginning August 26 through ...

3-D hurricane view of Arthur reveals rain towers

Jul 09, 2014

While Hurricane Arthur was still a hurricane, the new Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Core Observatory flew over the storm last week and captured its structure in 3-D. This was a good test of the ...

Recommended for you

Huge waves measured for first time in Arctic Ocean

16 hours ago

As the climate warms and sea ice retreats, the North is changing. An ice-covered expanse now has a season of increasingly open water which is predicted to extend across the whole Arctic Ocean before the middle ...

New research reveals Pele is powerful, even in the sky

22 hours ago

One might assume that a tropical storm moving through volcanic smog (vog) would sweep up the tainted air and march on, unchanged. However, a recent study from atmospheric scientists at the University of Hawai'i ...

Image: Wildfires continue near Yellowknife, Canada

22 hours ago

The wildfires that have been plaguing the Northern Territories in Canada and have sent smoke drifting down to the Great Lakes in the U.S. continue on. NASA's Aqua satellite collected this natural-color image ...

User comments : 8

Adjust slider to filter visible comments by rank

Display comments: newest first

Modernmystic
2.3 / 5 (7) Apr 09, 2008
Think we'll hear about it if it turns out to be a normal season like last year?
mikiwud
3 / 5 (6) Apr 09, 2008
I've said what I was told to,can I have my grant now please?
out7x
2.2 / 5 (6) Apr 10, 2008
What criteria? The lottery?
SDMike
3.4 / 5 (5) Apr 10, 2008
Sigh. Here we go again. I wonder if they changed their software from LAST spring or if they just rebooted?
Rick69
3 / 5 (6) Apr 10, 2008
If they keep guessing this every year, they will eventually be correct and then the media will make a big to do about it and as mikiwud states, they will get a big grant.
HeRoze
not rated yet Apr 17, 2008
Rick69- Bingo. I'm setting up a wet-sock and barometer in the backyard. My application for federal funding of studying the increased huricane activity for 2009 is in works. Mine is tied directly to man-made global warming, and the cover has a picture of a young person holding a puppy. The puppy is panting - planting a subliminal message about the affects of GW.
Bazz
not rated yet Sep 25, 2008
They seem to be more accurate than expected so far, it may exeed thier predictions.
Modernmystic
not rated yet Sep 25, 2008
Yep, a pretty average season so far.