Astronomers say asteroid might collide with Earth— in 2032

Oct 17, 2013 by Sergei L. Loiko
Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech

Ukrainian astronomers say an asteroid might collide with Earth in a couple of decades, a Russian news service reported Thursday.

Space watchers from the observatory in the Crimean peninsula said they discovered an asteroid about 1,345 feet in diameter, which they call 2013 TV135, that is approaching Earth at a potentially dangerous trajectory, RIA Novosti said.

The calculated the date of a potential collision as Aug. 26, 2032, the news service said, but they acknowledged that the odds of an impact as 1 in 63,000.

The force of such a possible collision could be the equivalent of setting off about 2.5 megatons of TNT, RIA Novosti reported.

The discovery, which was made Saturday, was confirmed by two Russian observatories and by Italian, British and Spanish astronomers, RIA Novosti reported.

"A 400-meter is threatening to blow up the Earth," Russian Vice Premier Dmitry Rogozin, in charge of his nation's space research, wrote Wednesday on his Twitter account. "Here is a super target for the national cosmonautics."

Meanwhile, divers working Wednesday in Chebarkul Lake in Russia's Ural Mountains raised what could be a large piece of the meteor that exploded over the region in February.

That strike from caused some damage and injuries to hundreds of people, mainly from shattered window glass.

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User comments : 7

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Dichotomy
1.5 / 5 (11) Oct 17, 2013
1 in 63,000.... I suppose we could be that unlucky but seriously, unless this risk is something like 1 in 10 or 1 in 100 it isn't really worth reporting.
LarryD
3 / 5 (2) Oct 17, 2013
Well I hope they have a set up like in the movies, plotting its course with a person sitting there reporting its strike probability....for the next 19 years!
cantdrive85
1.9 / 5 (9) Oct 17, 2013
Ahhhhhhhhhhhh shi....!!

Wait, 1in 63,000?
Eh?
alfie_null
not rated yet Oct 18, 2013
"about 1,345 feet in diameter"

Excruciating precision.

FWIW, 400 meters is closer to 1312 feet.
s-l-y
2 / 5 (3) Oct 18, 2013
Whats wrong with you guys with your ridiculous discriditing small details. Since it is 10 times the previous 2012 Russian rock size desaster, hope it would not fall anywhere in your your state. Do you at least have a famally you care. Have you ever bought a lottery ticket, if so compare those odds. If airplane stats were as close, would you say hey don't bother us unless it is 1/10...?
Sinister1811
2 / 5 (4) Oct 20, 2013
Where's Bruce Willis when you need him?
LarryD
3.7 / 5 (3) Oct 20, 2013
Where's Bruce Willis when you need him?

Got an oil well to dig!

Whats wrong with you guys with your ridiculous discriditing small details. Since it is 10 times the previous 2012 Russian rock size desaster, hope it would not fall anywhere in your your state. Do you at least have a famally you care. Have you ever bought a lottery ticket, if so compare those odds. If airplane stats were as close, would you say hey don't bother us unless it is 1/10...?

Well my post still stands;

Well I hope they have a set up like in the movies, plotting its course with a person sitting there reporting its strike probability....for the next 19 years!


because at the moment that is ALL we CAN do! Apparently NASA is going to do just that. The problem is that since it has only recently been discovered more observations are required to calculate its orbital properties more accuarately.

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