N. Zealand sceptics defy 'Moonman' quake prophecy
Geologists, engineers and like-minded sceptics will meet in earthquake-devastated Christchurch Sunday to mock "junk science" predictions another major tremor will hit the city this weekend.
Geologists, engineers and like-minded sceptics will meet in earthquake-devastated Christchurch Sunday to mock "junk science" predictions another major tremor will hit the city this weekend.
Ken Ring, a quasi-mystic mathematician known as the "Moonman", claims he predicted last month's 6.3-magnitude quake by studying the moon and has warned another tremor will rock New Zealand's second-largest city on March 20.
So far 166 people have been confirmed killed in February's disaster, although police have said they expect the figure to rise to more than 200.
New Zealand Skeptics spokeswoman Vicki Hyde said many in Christchurch were taking Ring seriously and her organisation had organised a "non-event" lunch on the day to try to set their minds at ease.
"At times like these, we think it's irresponsible to allow anyone to exploit the understandable anxieties of Christchurch residents," she said, accusing Ring of seeking "opportunistic publicity".
Hyde said prominent sceptics, including members of the scientific community who have attacked Ring's theories, would attend the lunch in a historic stone building on a Christchurch hilltop.
Environment Minister Nick Smith, who holds a PhD in geo-technical engineering, described the lunch as a public service event.
"The last thing needed by thousands of traumatised people in Canterbury, including elderly and children, is junk science and made-up predictions of future major quakes," he said.
In response to the attacks, Ring has said will make no public comment until after March 20.
His theories centre on the fact that moon is now unusually close to the Earth, exerting a strong gravitational pull.
(c) 2011 AFP
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Mar 14, 2011
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Mar 14, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
Mar 14, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
Answer: I would rather have someone tell me to keep my head up and not happen than have somebody tell me NOT to keep my head up and it happens. So I guess you know where I stand with YOUR little 'contribution' to the scheme of things .. eh ..
Mar 14, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
Mar 14, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (3)
One success would prove little, especially when you consider that aftershocks are hardly a rarity after an earthquake. If they could establish a track record that would be another matter... I'm surprised Moonman didn't warn the Japanese. Seems almost criminally negligent.
Mar 14, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
unless it were some "scientist" who's prediction proved correct...
Mar 14, 2011
Rank: 1.3 / 5 (3)
that's the problem with society, so many people think that we are safe here on Earth, when in reality we have all the chance of being killed every day by thousands of different things. It will only take one to do the job.
Mar 14, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
Perhaps the Moonman is right, perhaps he is wrong. Either way, judging him before the event occurs is doing EXACTLY the same as what he is doing, so perhaps doing one's own research, and sharing the results instead of throwing words may be more beneficial for all of us.
I thank Moonman for sticking his neck out and reputation on the line to warn us. I haven't heard ANY predictions from any of the official Geological Institutions responsible for monitoring earthquake activity prior to the Christchurch and Japanese earthquakes either.
Mar 14, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
Mar 15, 2011
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http://arxiv.org/...12v3.pdf
Mar 15, 2011
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They both make fuzzy predictions using uncertain methods, and both have failed to prove their methods valid.
Mar 19, 2011
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Mar 30, 2011
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