Financial markets are more efficient than some speculators may want to believe. When it comes to predicting the performance of markets, everyone wants an edge—an advantage that sets them apart from the competition. Getting ...
Economics & Business
Mar 29, 2022
1
6
International finance markets lagged behind punters having a flutter when it came to getting the Brexit result right on EU referendum night, according to research.
Economics & Business
Jan 11, 2019
0
80
Today, in Nature Human Behavior, a collaborative team of five laboratories published the results of 21 high-powered replications of social science experiments originally published in Science and Nature, two of the most prestigious ...
Social Sciences
Aug 27, 2018
0
67
New research shows that Twitter activity can help predict the result of football matches when combined with betting market prices.
Economics & Business
Oct 13, 2017
0
3
There's a problem with the wisdom of crowds.
Social Sciences
May 02, 2017
0
3
Ask economists whether prediction markets or prediction polls fare better, and they'll likely favor the former.
Social Sciences
Mar 24, 2017
0
12
As network anchors and pundits appeared stunned at Donald Trump's Electoral College victory Tuesday night, it was obvious much political polling data had missed the mark.
Economics & Business
Nov 11, 2016
3
3
One experimental result doesn't mean much in science. To truly know whether a result is valid, it needs to be reproduced in the same way over and over again. Yet research that may not be reproduced often finds its way into ...
Social Sciences
Nov 09, 2015
1
51
Could the wisdom of crowds locate missing Flight MH370? Perhaps with a sufficient number of experts, each bringing a little knowledge of the ocean, currents, wreck salvage, and so forth, the lost aircraft could be found by ...
Other
Aug 04, 2015
0
20
(Phys.org)—A small team of researchers with members from Universidad de Granada and Princeton University has found that adding some uncertainty to computer models meant to predict catastrophes such as stock market crashes, ...
