Climate change could spur Mexican migration to US: study

Jul 26, 2010
A Mexican farmer works at his plot of corn in Puebla state, Mexico, in 2007. Global warming could drive millions more Mexicans into the United States in search of work by 2080 due to diminishing crop yields in Mexico, a study released Monday showed.

Global warming could drive millions more Mexicans into the United States in search of work by 2080 due to diminishing crop yields in Mexico, a study released Monday showed.

"Depending on the warming scenarios used and adaptation levels assumed... is estimated to induce 1.4 to 6.7 million adult Mexicans (or two percent to 10 percent of the current population aged 15-65 years) to emigrate as a result of declines in agricultural productivity alone," the study said.

Researchers led by Michael Oppenheimer of the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs at Princeton University estimated the sensitivity of migration to climate change and predicted the number of Mexicans who would migrate under a range of different climate and crop yield scenarios.

In the worst-case scenario would occur if temperatures were to rise by one to three degrees Celsius (1.8 to 5.4 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2080, if farming methods had not been adapted to cope with global warming and if higher levels of atmospheric had not spurred plant growth. This would mean crop yields in Mexico would fall by 39 to 48 percent, the study said.

"In that case, the increase in Mexico's emigration as a share of population would be between 7.8 percent and 9.6 percent," said the study, which was published in the .

"Using today's population of 70 million as the base for the age 15-65 year population in Mexico, this percentage increase corresponds to an additional 5.5 to 6.7 million emigrants," it said.

The study focused on Mexico because it is "one of the biggest migrant-source countries, because there exists state-level data on emigration, and because it has undergone diverse degrees of climate variability across regions."

But the findings are relevant to the many countries in Africa, south Asia, and Latin America, and even to Australia, where the authors of the study predict migration will become a "significant issue" as climate change drives temperatures up and down.

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Feldagast
1 / 5 (1) Jul 26, 2010
No problem send us your population and those wealthy elite remaining in Mexico can buy our crops at a 1000% markup.
gwrede
3.3 / 5 (7) Jul 26, 2010
Too bad the hoards of Mexicans are only considered cannon-fodder. Everybody seems to forget that if it weren't for them, a lot of swimming pools would look filthy, millions of white kids would have to spend the afternoon alone at home, many career Caucasian white women would have to leave the office early to fetch the laundry, the groceries, the kids, and the dog.

What the hell do you people think?? OOhhhh, Mexicans... scareeeeee!

----

Suppose we start thinking rationally, for a moment, at least: the climate is changing, right? Can we do anything about it in the short term (who cares whose fault it was, ours or God's)?

Given this case, what should an intelligent nation do?? Yes, it should prepare for the immediate future. Period.

That means, if we think the climate is getting warmer [ran out of characters, see next post]...
gwrede
3.9 / 5 (7) Jul 26, 2010
then we should FIRST prepare for it, and then MAYBE LATER figure out ways to undo it, to win from it, to turn it to profit, or whatever.

"Mexicans"... Oh my God.

What the united nations should do is, figure out ways to PREPARE for what's coming.

In a place where the temperature is expecected to rise, seek crops you can sow the next year. If the humidity is going to rise, find out what crops will thrive then. (Is this really rocket science??) And, get them, in time.

And DO this, instead of WHINING about it. Our climate change is going to be so slow that this crop-swapping will work. Had we been struck by a comet, then we'd have about two weeks to change the world.

Geez, am I the only one with a brain here????
Ravenrant
3.7 / 5 (3) Jul 27, 2010
The sad truth is that there are a variety of reasons driving mexicans north, not just climate change. Their population growth driven by their religious beliefs is another, their desire for wealth, etc. And all are getting worse.

If we don't stop all immigration from mexico immediately, the US will become a majority mexican population because they have even less a concept of birth control than we do. It will then become a suburb of mexico. This countries survival and identity will be destroyed. Like it or not this country was founded by western europeans, that's our identity and that's how it should stay.

We need to stop almost ALL immigration. If you think that's a strange idea try and emmigrate out of the US and see how welcoming other countries are.
vanderMerwe
3 / 5 (4) Jul 27, 2010
LOL! The warmists are really getting desperate. They're trying to punch every button they can think of to get their crackbrained policy demands past us. :-)
Arkaleus
1 / 5 (4) Jul 27, 2010
We need to start thinking intelligently about population migration and the evolution of empires and peoples. The people of the Americas are destined to become a single people - that is the precedent and the inevitability of proximity. Our cultures are similar enough and our languages compatible enough to facilitate fusion.

What needs to be corrected is the balance of power and the forces in "control" of the migration. Instead of a one-way migration to the USA from the south, there needs to be a southward push of settlers and developers to the open places below the equator.

A wise leadership in the USA will organize the Hispanic population and push southward militarily and economically, re-directing the force of migration back to new opportunities in their native lands. The stupid policies of past American presidents and their secret arrangements will end in massive failure. It's time to push south, America, and remove the corruption standing in the way in the south.
knikiy
3 / 5 (2) Jul 27, 2010
The only force that is truly in control is Nature. You can deny that there is global warming, or start learning Spanish.
Ravenrant
3 / 5 (2) Jul 30, 2010
We need to start thinking intelligently about population migration and the evolution of empires and peoples. The people of the Americas are destined to become a single people ...


I agree, I just don't want it to be Mexican. I don't think this country can handle such a huge influx of a high quality culture like theirs.
Skeptic_Heretic
3 / 5 (2) Jul 30, 2010
I don't think climate change was needed here. This article appears to be propaganda designed to inspire fear in American xenophobes.

"Don't waste electricity or the Latinos will come get you!"
Javinator
4 / 5 (4) Jul 30, 2010
I don't think climate change was needed here. This article appears to be propaganda designed to inspire fear in American xenophobes.

"Don't waste electricity or the Latinos will come get you!"


Judging from some of the above comments it's working.
Modernmystic
1.8 / 5 (5) Jul 30, 2010
The only force that is truly in control is Nature. You can deny that there is global warming, or start learning Spanish.


Because they can't learn English...
Skeptic_Heretic
3.7 / 5 (3) Jul 30, 2010
Because they can't learn English...
People in the US barely speak English. The words may be the same but the usage and context is entirely out of wack. Just watch Marjon's posts.
CarolinaScotsman
3 / 5 (2) Jul 31, 2010
If we can't scare 'em with more heat and rising oceans, tell 'em the Mexicans are coming. How about this headline, "Global Warming May Cause Off-the-Wall Predictions".
stanfrax
not rated yet Aug 02, 2010
it doesnt matter about different beleifs - its nurtured - it doesnt matter about culture - its nutured - all our internal organs are the same - were all the same speaces - stop the planet i want to get off

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