Efficacy of pre-event planning will be key as Florence hits, urban planner says

September 14, 2018 by George Diepenbrock, University of Kansas
Credit: CC0 Public Domain

A University of Kansas urban planning researcher who has researched long-term risks and natural disasters in the North Carolina region is available to discuss the potential effects of Hurricane Florence, which is expected to hit the East Coast in coming days.

Ward Lyles, assistant professor of in the School of Public Affairs & Administration, has published numerous journal articles on reducing risks from natural hazards, the use of social network analysis to examine the role of planners in local planning efforts and evaluating the content of planning documents. Lyles also grew up in Durham, North Carolina, and earned his doctorate from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

Hurricane Florence is predicted to slam into the North Carolina coast late this week and turn inland, which would likely smash the state with a life-threatening storm surge, catastrophically high winds and large amounts of rain in a region that is mostly already saturated.

Lyles, who has conducted research on hazard pre-disaster planning and reducing long-term risk in Onslow and New Hanover counties in North Carolina as well as other coastal locations at risk for large storms like hurricanes Florence, Harvey, Irma and Maria. He is also part of a research team with Elaina Sutley, KU assistant professor of civil, environmental & architectural engineering, studying the relationship of pre-disaster planning and post-disaster recovery, specifically focusing on Hurricane Matthew and now Hurricane Florence.

"Coastal North Carolina is very attractive for vacation and retirement development, alongside its historic agricultural and military sectors. Over the last few decades it has seen a sustained boom of development," Lyles said. "Where and how development occurs, for example, in or out of the floodplain, can make a huge difference in human suffering and property damage. This event may help us better understand how pre-event planning to reduce risks does or does not pay dividends. What we'll be watching closely in the coming days and month is if these communities take a recovery approach that re-creates the risks of the past or if they chart a more sustainable path forward."

Explore further: Florence approaches US, set to become 'extremely dangerous' storm

Related Stories

Video: Staring down Hurricane Florence

September 13, 2018

"Ever stared down the gaping eye of a category 4 hurricane? It's chilling, even from space," says European Space Agency astronaut Alexander Gerst (@Astro_Alex), who is currently living and working aboard the International ...

US braces for 'major' hurricane Florence

September 10, 2018

The eastern United States braced Monday for the impact of "major" hurricane Florence as it threatened catastrophic flooding in areas already soaked by heavy rain.

Recommended for you

The unintended consequences of dams and reservoirs

November 14, 2018

An international team of drought scientists reports that many dams and reservoirs can paradoxically worsen water shortages they're intended to alleviate. The study is published in Nature Sustainability.

Carbon goes with the flow

November 13, 2018

Many people see the carbon cycle as vertical—CO2 moving up and down between soil, plants and the atmosphere.

Long-term study shows atmospheric biome fluctuates by season

November 13, 2018

A team of researchers with the LTER Environmental Monitoring Observatory in the AigĂĽestortes National Park in Spain has found that there is seasonal variation in atmospheric microbes. In their paper published in Proceedings ...


Please sign in to add a comment. Registration is free, and takes less than a minute. Read more

Click here to reset your password.
Sign in to get notified via email when new comments are made.