How will climate change affect your livelihood?

Scientists cut grapes in a French vineyard as part of a global warming program to develop solutions for wine production
Scientists cut grapes in a French vineyard as part of a global warming program to develop solutions for wine production

As the reality of global warming starts to hit home, people may ask: "How will it affect my livelihood?"

Well, that depends.

On your profession, your age, and exactly where you live, among other things.

Here, then, are a few scenarios for a climate-altered future, when rising temperatures are closing in on the threshold of two degrees Celsius (3.6 degree Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels which scientists warn we should not cross.

The year is 2030.

The coffee farmer

You are a 60-year old coffee farmer in Nicaragua, selling to an organic wholesaler.

Global demand has soared and commodity prices tripled since 2015, but business is not so good. Scorching temperatures have decimated your output, even after you sold your land to purchase a higher-altitude parcel in search of cooler climes.

Not only yields are down, but also the quality of your beans.

Small consolation that many of your 20-million fellow coffee growers around the world are in similarly dire straits.

The high-flying lawyer

You are a 39-year old real estate lawyer in West Palm Beach, Florida.

You are flush and life is sweet, despite your million-dollar house having been swept away three years earlier by Hurricane Hillary.

Sea levels have only risen 14 centimetres (5.5 inches) in the last 15 years, but Hillary's tide-enhanced storm surge caused $500 billion dollars/euros in damages.

Since Washington cancelled federal flood insurance for properties under a metre (three feet) above sea level, you have more clients than you can handle.

File picture shows earth movers building protective berms on Compo Beach in Westport, Connecticut ahead of approaching Hurricane
File picture shows earth movers building protective berms on Compo Beach in Westport, Connecticut ahead of approaching Hurricane Sandy

They are suing claiming bankruptcy to avoid having to pay out, and though your clients may only get 20 cents for every policy-insured dollar, you still get your fees.

The Indonesian fisherman

You used to work fishing boats out of Surabaya, a port city in Java, but are now unemployed.

The bottom fell out of the local industry in the mid-2020s. Intensive harvesting had already caused several species to collapse, including bigeye and yellowfin.

But then, as oceans warmed, other species—Pacific bluefin, crevalle jack, scad—moved to cooler waters beyond the reach of local vessels.

No other species have come to replace them.

The Alpine hotelier

You own a ski-resort hotel in the French Alps at an altitude of 1,280 metres (4,199 feet).

Since 2020, for two years out of three you have had to manufacture snow to ensure the season. In 2022 and 2028 it was so warm that even artificial flakes couldn't keep the lifts going.

The silver lining: summer tourism has picked up as people seek alternatives to the scorching heat waves that regularly hit the Mediterranean basin.

The Sahel subsistence farmer

Ten years ago, you replaced your millet crop with genetically-modified, drought-resistant sorghum as desertification creeps up on you in the northeastern corner of the Mopti region of Mali.

Climate change could put an end to some winter activities
Climate change could put an end to some winter activities

That was a good move. But as the local climate gets drier by the year, you wonder how long you and your family can hold out.

You have resolved: When the goats die, you will join the other villagers who have already fled to the capital Bamako.

The Tasmanian winegrower

Parts of the island—Australia's southernmost inhabited outpost—now rival France's fabled Burgundy region as the lead grower of the fabled pinot noir and chardonnay grapes. Tassie's Champagne-style wine wins big awards too.

Oh what a difference an extra two degrees can make!

Wine exports from Tasmania's Tamar Valley are soaring with grape-growing temperatures now in the ideal range —what they were in northern France, now too hot, a mere 15 years ago.

A child cools off in a fountain in Madrid as the world breaks new heat records in July 2015
A child cools off in a fountain in Madrid as the world breaks new heat records in July 2015

The future

You are a seven-year-old only child living with your professional-class parents in a 23rd-story Shanghai apartment.

You were not even born when 195 nations struck a deal in Paris in December 2015, vowing to slash carbon pollution by a large enough margin to keep in check.

They failed, and Earth is on track for warming of 4C by 2100.

You'll be 77 when you greet the 22nd century. Good luck getting there.


Explore further

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© 2015 AFP

Citation: How will climate change affect your livelihood? (2015, August 29) retrieved 19 September 2019 from https://phys.org/news/2015-08-climate-affect-livelihood.html
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Aug 29, 2015
Please will you drop the non-science about global warming and get back to real science!

Aug 29, 2015
What a POS article. Really? This article will do nothing productive except generate site-hits as the regular suspects check the site every 3 minutes to see what their favorite villain has written.

I'll tell you what articles like this will do to my livelihood. California, the vanguard of saving the world in this AGW fantasy, will cut my gas use by 50%.

CA SB 350:
http://focus.sena...050.html

That means I won't be able to go to work.

Also, due to insane environmental "measures", industry is leaving California, taking jobs with them.

That means, my neighbors can't work.

Climate change is doing a great job re-distributing wealth.


Aug 29, 2015
This is just obvious Denier-bait.

Aug 29, 2015
And then the site's pathological liar and resident insane liberal shows up to shit on the thread. Perfect.

Aug 29, 2015
We have only had a handful of smog warning days for decades and now fracking is giving us energy independence and an end to the oil wars.
And don't forget that your science gods gave us germ warfare and 34 years of "could be" the end of days from CO2. The same vague science that liberals exaggerated so as to blame republicans and fear monger our children.

Aug 31, 2015
Why does this site bring out the emotionally-challenged like denglish and otto and Estevan? From what part of maladjustment do they float up to the surface?

Are they here because this is where they can hide, as opposed to other places where they may have to take responsibility for their words?

How do we get rid of them?

Aug 31, 2015
How do we get rid of them?


Why you don't try that piper-Skippy trick and go over to the Tea-Party-Skippy place and see if they will follow you over there and like it? It's called the Bully-Puppet-We-Hate-Obama forum or something like that. Want me to postum up the link? It's a real hoot of a place.

Oh yeah, I almost forget. glam-Skippy, if you do try to take on those couyons, don't mention my name because if you do they won't let you in. I got banded from there about 12 or 11 times back during the election for saying nice things about Obama. That make them see red.

Oh yeah, another thing I almost forget. You got to start out easy and sneaky, like a reasonable low key middle of the political road Skippy. If you jump right in with the good stuffs, they'll start crying baby foul and do like they did to me, slam the door right in your face and sticking your foot in don't help much because they got the deck stacked up against us.

Aug 31, 2015
Well, gosh-a-roonie, Ira, let's all pretend we is some goobers using silly words and ethnic phrases, shall we?

I do not know what the heck you are babbling about in a thread intended for discussion of climate change.

Aug 31, 2015
I do not know what the heck you are babbling about in a thread intended for discussion of climate change.


That's easy for me to tell you. I was responding to this postum,,,,,

Why does this site bring out the emotionally-challenged like denglish and otto and Estevan? From what part of maladjustment do they float up to the surface?

Are they here because this is where they can hide, as opposed to other places where they may have to take responsibility for their words?

How do we get rid of them?


That is what the heck I was babbling about and what I wrote had just as much to do with the climatical things as what you wrote.

You asked how to get rid of them, and I gave an answer to the question. So there you go glam-Skippy, I was babbling about your babble about how to get rid of somebody.

Aug 31, 2015
I do not know why you decided to attack me long ago. The idea of the Fascist otto, perhaps.

Do you see what he has done to you? He got you to side with a hate-spouting lover of authority and attack a liberal environmentalist, concerned about your own Gulf.

Aug 31, 2015
I do not know why you decided to attack me long ago.


Oh non, of course you do not.

And I did not tell you 50 or 49 times exactly how you were attracting my attention? I even ask you dozens and more dozens of times to let it go and walk away so I would move along.

But non Cher, you just knew you were too smart for ol Ira-Skippy. You just knew you were the glibby witty one who could slay all the beasts in the swamp with your bare hands. Don't try to put if off on otto-Skippy, you get all the credit for my attentions all by your self.

Do you see what he has done to you?


He done nothing to me Cher. I am the independent operator. I come here alone and I will leave here alone too.

He got you to side with a hate-spouting lover of authority and attack a liberal environmentalist, concerned about your own Gulf.


Bull-Doo-Doo on that Skippy. YOU got me going, all by your self. Mr-Take-Responsibility-Skippy, it's on you, not otto-Skippy.

Aug 31, 2015
Okay, so he didn't talk you into it, you have the same character?

Let's talk about what climate change is doing to the Gulf, aided by Big Oil, and what they have done to the Mississippi.

Aug 31, 2015
Let's talk about what climate change is doing to the Gulf, aided by Big Oil, and what they have done to the Mississippi.


Skippy, if you want to do something about the problems we have with that, come on down and get in the trenches with us. Silly sloganeering is what the new-agey brainy "liberals" do to feel good like they are doing some real work.

Your sloganeering is about the same quality of Sarah Palin's so I really do wish you would pass on us for a cause, trust me, you are not helping. I still think there is a possibility that you might be the Tea-Skippy stalking horse, yeah, your help is that helpful.

Aug 31, 2015
Why are you here? Can't you find another old woman with whom to gossip? This is a technical site.

Go to facebook or twitter, or People magazine, something on your emotional level.

Aug 31, 2015
Okay, so he didn't talk you into it, you have the same character?

Let's talk about what climate change is doing to the Gulf, aided by Big Oil, and what they have done to the Mississippi.
Why? we have to assume that you make up facts about that the same way you lie about your past.

People cant discuss anything with a psycho who insists that the things that pop out of his imagination are true.

Your word is trash here george.

This is your own fault.
I do not know why you decided to attack me long ago
Well this is because you lie to yourself with the same ease as you lie to everybody else.

Youve convinced yourself that youre so smart that you can make up all sorts of bullshit and that people here are too dumb to realize it.

Actually the situation is just the opposite.

But as a psychopath you are totally incapable of admitting you are wrong and that the people here are too smart to be fooled for very long.

Aug 31, 2015
Well, gosh-a-roonie, Ira, let's all pretend we is some goobers using silly words and ethnic phrases, shall we?
Doesnt matter what the delivery is, right is right and wrong is wrong.

This is why disclosing your real name doesnt make the shit you post any less wrong.

If anything it makes people more wary of someone who would actually be dumb enough to try it.

And continue to insist that it does day after day, week after week, despite the peoples disgust.

Aug 31, 2015
Kudos to this website for yet another fine article. You are hereby given our highest medal, "The 97% Undeniable Truth Award".

Your Servant,

Commendant Ninety Seven,

The Ministry of Truth

Aug 31, 2015
Our highly trained group of "Peers" are reviewing this article at this very moment and plan to release it as a "Peer Reviewed" paper as we speak.

Commendant 97

Aug 31, 2015
166, if you have nothing to say, . . don't say it.

Sep 01, 2015
"166, if you have nothing to say, . . don't say it."

Does that apply to your PC drivel also Gcam?

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