Debunking false beliefs requires tackling belief systems

Understanding how beliefs are formed and why they can be resistant to counter evidence is important in today's polarized world, as views sharply diverge on issues ranging from vaccines to climate change.

The playbook of forecasting US Treasury bond returns

Interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP), the difference between implied (forward-looking) and realized (backward-looking) variances of interest rates, measures compensation for risk for exposure to volatility in the interest-rate ...

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