New simulations provide mathematical support for the theory that the spread of political ideas across international borders may have a big impact on election outcomes, and that small actions boosting a minority idea can gradually ...
Social Sciences
May 29, 2024
0
15
With over half the world's population heading to the polls in 2024, disinformation season is upon us—and the warnings are dire. The World Economic Forum declared misinformation a top societal threat over the next two years ...
Political science
Feb 18, 2024
0
55
During a 2016 campaign stop in Iowa, then-Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump pronounced, "I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody, and I wouldn't lose any voters, OK?"
Social Sciences
Aug 4, 2022
0
8
Forecasting elections is a high-stakes problem. Politicians and voters alike are often desperate to know the outcome of a close race, but providing them with incomplete or inaccurate predictions can be misleading. And election ...
Mathematics
Oct 28, 2020
0
11
Pre-election polls are not becoming less reliable, said a study Monday addressing public distrust stemming from surprise results in Britain's 2015 general election and the 2016 US presidential vote.
Social Sciences
Mar 12, 2018
0
133
A new study reveals social media may highlight intergroup polarization of voter opinion more adequately than traditional polls when predicting election outcomes.
Social Sciences
Feb 6, 2018
0
18
Bad weather affects U.S. voter turnout and election outcomes with past research demonstrating that the Republican Party has the advantage. A new study by researchers at Dartmouth College and The Australian National University ...
Social Sciences
Jan 11, 2018
1
10
Donald Trump's surprising election as president of the United States was viewed by some people as evidence that electoral polling no longer works, but researchers report they have developed models using global polling data ...
Social Sciences
Feb 2, 2017
7
162
A provocative new study shows that big data-derived models developed and trained based on people's television viewing behavior in "safe" U.S. states can be used to forecast the presidential election outcomes in "swing" states. ...
Computer Sciences
Nov 17, 2015
0
32
2015 has been a year of electoral polling failure and it could have major implications on election outcomes, say QUT economics researchers.
Economics & Business
Jun 10, 2015
0
8
