Why is it so cold in Australia right now? And how long will it last? A climate scientist explains

These temperatures are well below average, even for the middle of winter.

So why is it so cold? And how long is the chill going to last?

An Antarctic blast

Much of southeastern Australia is currently under a cold air mass that has come from the south.

This is because a low pressure system that brought heavy rain, , and even a possible tornado to South Australia, has moved eastwards.

Air moves clockwise around low pressure systems in the Southern Hemisphere, so low pressure over Tasmania and the Tasman Sea means we have strong southerly and south-westerly winds over Victoria and New South Wales.

As the low pressure moves east, and troughs have crossed the region. This has led to most of southeast Australia experiencing rain or snow.

While a high pressure system briefly dominates our weather on Thursday, a new low brings cold and again through the weekend. Another is forecast to cross Tasmania, Victoria and southern New South Wales on Friday night.

The sun rises over Lake Crackenback on a cold morning in New South Wales. Credit: Shutterstock

Temperature failed to reach double digits over swathes of southeast Australia on Monday. Credit: Bureau of Meteorology

This weather map for 4am on May 31 shows the low pressure to the southeast of Australia and cold fronts and troughs crossing the region. Credit: Bureau of Meteorology

Daily maximum temperature anomalies relative to 1900-2021 for the same calendar date. May 30-31 are based on observed data while June 1-7 are based on forecast data. The 1900-2021 climatology is calculated from the Melbourne Regional Office (1900-2013) and Olympic Park (2014-) observations collected by the Bureau of Meteorology. Note, the Olympic Park site is slightly cooler on average than the Regional Office. Author provided

Colder than average daytime temperatures are forecast over much of the continent this winter. Credit: Bureau of Meteorology

The seasonal outlook is for a wet winter over most of Australia too. Credit: Bureau of Meteorology