Climate change made historic Brazil floods twice as likely: Scientists

Three months' worth of rain was dumped on the southern state of Rio Grande do Sul over two weeks in an "extremely rare event, expected to occur only once every 100-250 years," according to a study published by the World Weather Attribution (WWA) group.

The flooding in late April and early May submerged cities, farms and an international airport, affecting more than 90 percent of the vast state, an area equivalent to that of the United Kingdom.

The disaster left 172 people dead and displaced around 600,000.

"The researchers estimated that made the event more than twice as likely and around six to nine percent more intense," the WWA said in a statement.

On top of that, the El Niño phenomenon made rainfall between three and 10 percent more intense, said the global network of scientists that assesses the link between and climate change.

"The scary thing about these floods is that they show us that the world needs to be prepared for events so extreme, they are unlike anything we've seen before," said Maja Vahlberg, climate risk consultant at Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre.

Regina Rodrigues, a researcher at the Federal University of Santa Catarina, said the disaster showed that even when El Niño was in a weakening phase, as it currently is, it could be extremely dangerous

Two men paddle a canoe made of zinc tiles and styrofoam down a flooded street in the Vila Farrapos neighborhood in Porto Alegre, Brazil, on May 29, 2024.

An aerial view shows the flooded tarmac of Salgado Filho International Airport in the city of Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul state, Brazil, on May 20, 2024.

An aerial view shows a flooded area of Santa Rita neighborhood in the city of Guaiba, Rio Grande do Sul state, Brazil, on May 20, 2024.

People displaced by the floods are seen in a shelter run by the Gaucha Foundation for Work and Social Action (FGTAS), in Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul State, Brazil, on May 18, 2024.