The number of stressors operating above high levels is an important independent factor for multiservices when compared with individual stressors. The relative importance of the multistressors index (number of stressors surpassing a given threshold) compared with individual factors to assess multiservices. a, A qualitative assessment of variable importance by showing results from a multimodel inference approach. Lists of the best generalized linear models out of all potential combinations of environmental stressors are given for Global #1a and Global #2. The R2s of the saturated models (those from which variable importance was calculated) were 0.3834 for Global #1 and 0.5905 for Global #2. If the variable (columns) was included in the model (is significant), this is shown with a colored box (green for multistressors, red for climatic individual stressors, blue for soil-related stressors and yellow for other forms of human influence). Effect sizes of each variable can be seen in Supplementary Table 6. The Bayesian information criterion (BIC) indicates the suitability of the model (the lower the better) and delta indicates the difference of BIC with respect to the best model (<4 indicates similar performance to the best model). The weight of the models is also represented in the table and indicates how each of the best models would contribute to an average model (results in Supplementary Table 7). b, A quantitative assessment of variable importance using a variance partitioning scheme. The pie charts indicate the percentage of explained variance of multiservices (R2) that is associated with each predictor. Credit: Nature Climate Change (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01627-2

By statistically analyzing data from around the world, scientists have determined that multiple natural and human stressors are reducing levels of biodiversity and soil functioning in soil ecosystems. The number and specific combination of those stressors are determining factors in this interaction. This is the conclusion that has been reached by an international team of scientists led by Matthias C. Rillig, a biology professor at Freie Universität.

The results of their study have now been published in Nature Climate Change, titled "Increasing the Number of Stressors Reduces Soil Ecosystem Services Worldwide."

To survive, soils and around the world must contend with a wide range of natural and human stressors. These include droughts, warming, and exposure to harmful chemical substances, including microplastics. It is not only the type of stressor, but also the number of them (in particular, those caused by ) that have a negative effect on various processes in the .

"Our earlier laboratory-based studies have shown that an increased number of global change factors led to a reduction in soil processes such as decomposition, soil aggregation, and soil respiration, as well as to a reduction in the biodiversity of the soil," says Professor Rillig, lead author of the study and head of the research team, which also included Spanish ecologist Dr. Manuel Delgado-Baquerizo.

The research team analyzed two global standardized field surveys on soils and a range of natural and known to affect soil ecosystems.

"Our study evaluated soil ecosystems by categorizing fifteen ecosystem variables into six main types of ecosystem services: organic-matter decomposition, soil biodiversity, pathogen control, plant productivity, water regulation, and nutrient cycling. For the purposes of the study, we defined seven important environmental variables as stressors. These were chosen based on their potential to cause when they reach high levels: aridity, temperature, seasonality, salinity, distance from neutral pH, levels of heavy metals, and human influence. We also took the level of pesticides and microplastics in the soil into account, as data were available on these for a subset of locations in one of the global field surveys," explains Rillig.

In order to investigate the number of stressors as parameters in the study, data from the global field surveys first had to be converted into a variable that reflected the number of factors. To do so, the researchers counted the number of environmental stressors that passed a given threshold value.

The number of stressors was considered to have passed a threshold when these exceeded 75 percent of maximum stressor levels. The investigation demonstrated that an increased number of factors above a certain threshold reduced the soils' capacity to support ecosystem services.

"This increasing number of threshold-exceeding stressors could explain soil reactions that, to date, could not be attributed to the type of stressors alone," says Rillig. Additionally, the results of the study demonstrated that "humans must reduce their impact on ecosystems by decreasing the number of factors that negatively affect soil processes and soil biodiversity."

The combination of human influences collectively affects soil processes and soil ecosystem biodiversity. "If the extent of this problem, i.e., the number of stressors that exceed a critical threshold, is not reduced, we run the risk of losing important ecosystem services," says Rillig.

At the same time, Rillig notes that the study took a primarily observational approach. This means that the researchers were able to discover patterns but could not draw any direct conclusions regarding causality. Additional research will be required to explain the connection between the number of and the ecosystem's reaction. The effects of multiple concurrent factors on other types of (for example, aquatic systems) could also provide a potential future avenue of study.

More information: Matthias C. Rillig et al, Increasing the number of stressors reduces soil ecosystem services worldwide, Nature Climate Change (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01627-2

Soils worldwide suffer from the combined effects of multiple global change factors, Nature Climate Change (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01628-1 , www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01628-1

Journal information: Nature Climate Change