New study helps improve accuracy of future climate change predictions

New NUI Galway study helps improve accuracy of future climate change predictions
Image taken from the Spanish research vessel BIO Hesperides in the Southern Ocean. Credit: NUI Galway

New research published by NUI Galway's Centre for Climate & Air Pollution Studies (C-CAPS) has shone light on the impact of clouds on climate change. The study has raised serious doubts of the likely impact of human-led interventions involving methods of cloud 'brightening' to counteract climate change. The new study has been published today in the Nature's journal Climate and Atmospheric Science.

The study looks into , with one of the most important types of elements in clouds thought to be sulphate. Clouds, which are made of many droplets of condensed water on air particles, cool the by reflecting sunlight. According to recent theories, more air pollution serves as condensation points for cloud droplets leading to more solar reflectance. This has led many to believe that fossil fuel emissions and other air pollutions may off-set global warming through cloud 'brightening'.

The Galway study found the addition of a small amount of sea-salt can dampen the effect of clouds becoming brighter as a result of increased sulphate in the atmosphere. Professor Colin O'Dowd, Director of C-CAPS and Established Chair of Atmospheric Physics, said: "The study backs up our previous thinking that sea-salt will factor out other substances and cause competition between potential nuclei influencing cloud reflectance. This means that recent theories that increased sulphate production can decrease the impact of need to be reconsidered. Science is clearly pointing to the fact that carbon-based is hurting our environment and there's only one pathway to solve this—less fossil fuel and no interference with nature."

Researchers from NUI Galway joined the Spanish research vessel BIO Hesperides circling Antarctica's Southern Ocean, known as the world's cleanest laboratory. The purpose of the expedition was to examine how the world's atmosphere is functioning in a pollution free environment.

Lead author Dr. Kirsten Fossum commented: "Clouds, particularly those overlying dark ocean surfaces, are the Earth's key climate regulators, accounting for half of global reflectance. Pollution-induced changes to cloud reflectance, represent the single biggest uncertainty in predicting future climate change. The large area covered and systematic evidence from the cruise to Antarctica provided the vast sample of clean air needed to conclusively support this study."

The study was funded by SFI and the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness. The Antarctic cruise that led to this study was organised by the Institut de Ciéncies del Mar (CSIC), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.

The researchers behind the study run the Mace Head Air Pollution and Climate Laboratory on the west coast of Ireland where they study the cleanest air in Europe and in the northern hemisphere. The team also recently released a unique smartphone app, known as StreamAir, it provides real-time weather forecasting and highlights key drivers of air and climate disruption through air quality indications.


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More information: Kirsten N. Fossum et al. Sea-spray regulates sulfate cloud droplet activation over oceans, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2020). DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-0116-2
Provided by National University of Ireland Galway
Citation: New study helps improve accuracy of future climate change predictions (2020, April 8) retrieved 30 May 2020 from https://phys.org/news/2020-04-accuracy-future-climate.html
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