Dramatic warming projected in world's major cities by 2050

By the year 2050 the climate of Paris will be similar to current conditions in Canberra
By the year 2050 the climate of Paris will be similar to current conditions in Canberra

By the year 2050, London's climate will resemble Madrid's today; Paris will be more like Canberra; Stockholm like Budapest and Moscow like Sofia, according to a new analysis published Wednesday that relied on optimistic projections.

The changes will be even more dramatic for the world's major tropical cities like Kuala Lumpur, Jakarta, and Singapore which will experience unprecedented climate conditions, resulting in and intense droughts.

The study was carried out by scientists from ETH Zurich and published in PLOS ONE on Wednesday.

Researchers examined the climate of the world's 520 using 19 variables that reflect variability in temperature and precipitation.

Future projections were estimated using established modeling that was intentionally optimistic, meaning it assumed would stabilize by the middle of the century through the implementation of green policies, with a mean global temperature increase of 1.4 Celsius.

The team then compared climate similarity of current and future cities to one another, and the results make for dire reading.

Across the , cities in 2050 will resemble places that are over 1,000 kilometers (600 miles) further south towards the equator.

Those closer to the equator won't see drastic warming but will likely have more extremes of drought and rainfall.

Overall, 77 percent of the world's cities will experience a "striking change" in climate conditions, while 22 percent will experience "novel" conditions—ie something that has never before been encountered.

In Europe, summers and winters will get warmer, with average increases of 3.5 celsius and 4.7 celsius, respectively.

While the modeling used in the analysis is not new, the purpose of the paper was to organize that information in a way that will inspire policy makers to act.

"The point of this paper is to try to allow everyone to get a better grasp on what's happening with climate change," lead author Jean-Francois Bastin told AFP.

Bastin, who is from Belgium, added it was not certain that by 2060 his country would experience sub-zero temperatures in winter, a necessary condition for wheat seeds to become activated.

As summer temperatures surge, more people in northern Europe will purchase , adding to the strain on electric grids and possibly creating a , he added.

"It's been more than 30 years that most of us have agreed that there is a which is caused by human activity, but still we fail to really transform that in to global actions," he said.


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Journal information: PLoS ONE

© 2019 AFP

Citation: Dramatic warming projected in world's major cities by 2050 (2019, July 10) retrieved 20 September 2019 from https://phys.org/news/2019-07-world-major-cities.html
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Jul 10, 2019
Ok, so banks will only give out 29 year mortages in Miami soon? They still give out 30 year mortgages there today. ... Alarmist frauds.

Jul 10, 2019
So will the storms in July stop in Lousiana and Floriduh? Not to mention the toxic algae in Mississipi. Or the floods in the central US.

Jul 10, 2019
Oh, and then there's the heatwaves in Europe and India.

Maybe you forgot.

Jul 10, 2019
Need to reduce the structures made of cement and coal tar/bitumen. Even if we stop CO2/CH4-related warming completely, the earth will continue to warm due to numerous other human activities underway on massive scales, contributing to global warming/imbalance of nature.

Jul 10, 2019
I'd bet 20 years from now, all this AGW hysteria will look really stupid (considering models of the Sun suggest we're likely entering a multi-decade little ice age), perhaps to the point of making web sites promoting AGW hysterial go out of business.

Jul 10, 2019
Since it hasn't stopped for the last hundred years or so, I'm going with "Not bloody likely."

Jul 10, 2019
Things are better than ever before in human history, and these frauds constantly tell us how fcked up everything is. Just alarmist frauds.

Jul 10, 2019
I'd bet 20 years from now, all this AGW hysteria . . .


I'll bet 20 years from now you will be in special place in hell set aside for Deniers like you, right next to level that holds the child molesters.

Hypocrites in Miami are already installing pumps to keep sea water from backing up through the sewers into the streets. If it is all fake and nothing has changed, why spend money on pumps?

https://www.busin...s-2018-4

Regarding temperature records, don't forget Anchorage, Alaska, which hit 90 goddamn degrees F for the first time in human history!

https://www.smith...0972575/

Jul 10, 2019
It's really gettin' good and started now. Chennai is out of water. India had a record heat wave, Europe is having a record heat wave, we had record floods in the US Midwest, poison algae is hitting Mississipi. Anchorage hit 90F fer cryin' out loud. How long can you deny? Are you stoned or stupid?

Jul 11, 2019
Anchorage hit 90F fer cryin' out loud. How long can you deny? Are you stoned or stupid?


91.6 in Anchorage Alaska today.

Warming denialists = Dumbest people who have ever existed.

Jul 11, 2019
Things are better than ever before in human history, and these frauds constantly tell us how fcked up everything is. Just alarmist frauds.


We are making great time on our trip to Florida said the driver right before the crash.

The stupid people in the car were confused at how it could be possible given their trip so far had never been better.


Jul 11, 2019
Ok, so banks will only give out 29 year mortages in Miami soon?


As long as suckers like you are on the hook for the money, they couldn't care less how much money you lose.

You are what is known as a "stupid sucker".

Jul 11, 2019
".. sub-zero temperatures in winter, a necessary condition for wheat seeds to become activated."

So how do places like Australia manage to grow so much wheat when they rarely experience sub zero temperatures.

Jul 11, 2019
The fact is, there is no real interest in "climate change".
Those who really care, who place a premium on something like the earth's environment, would show it by, among other things, not being content with an "explanation" they are ordered to believe, especially when there are anomalous points to consider. But those who claim to care about "climate change" absolutely refuse to examine or discuss the matter of chemtrails. They won't even say the word!
Among other things, chemtrails caused the number of tornadoes to cease being a nearly constant 180 a year and skyrocket to eight or nine times that number now! Chemtrails became visible when the air became saturated with chemical in 1997. There are absolutely no photographs of skies filled with chemtrails before 1997!
Not to discuss chemtrails is to admit not caring about "climate change".

Jul 11, 2019
So how do places like Australia manage to grow so much wheat when they rarely experience sub zero temperatures.

Look up 'winter wheat' and 'spring wheat' lupus.


Jul 11, 2019
Anchorage hit 90F fer cryin' out loud. How long can you deny? Are you stoned or stupid?


91.6 in Anchorage Alaska today.

Warming denialists = Dumbest people who have ever existed.

It's beyond amusing when these Chicken Shites float up from their cesspool of ignorance to confirm what jackasses the AGW Cult takes them for.

1934 : 100 Degrees In Alaska
https://realclima...-alaska/

Jul 11, 2019
It's beyond amusing when these Chicken Shites float up from their cesspool of ignorance to confirm what jackasses the AGW Cult takes them for.
1934 : 100 Degrees In Alaska
https://realclima...-alaska/

Ahhh, thought so; realclimatescience.com is a dark money funded webblog run by "Steven Godard" aka real name is Tony Heller, a climate change skeptic, and all-around rightwing flake-a-zoid! The temperature records from Alaska in 1934 are unreliable so take it with a grain-of-salt. 1934 was a hot year across most of North America. But also, Global Warming is 'GLOBAL' in scope and so is the problem of human fossil fuel usage that is the cause. Records are broken now more often that not.

It's a shame that you an the other skeptics are so gullible and brainwashed to swallow the crap that fake mr. Steven Goddard espouses. Such a waste of human potential.


Jul 12, 2019
Antigoracle and all his sockpuppets fiercely boasting about how incompetent and utterly stupid he is, It's like he has this need to do everything conceivably possible to make himself look utterly beyond ludicrous to the world.. and i can say with full confidence, he is definitely doing well in doing so. LoL

Jul 12, 2019
The fact is, there is no real interest in "climate change".
Those who really care, who place a premium on something like the earth's environment, would show it by, among other things, not being content with an "explanation" they are ordered to believe, especially when there are anomalous points to consider. But ....


This puppet of his clearly very dumb and ignorant, i think his head is so thick the channels in his ear never grew through to his brain... No wonder he understands so little when listening to science videos...but monkey signs and bananas gets a firm reaction...

Jul 12, 2019
Things are better than ever before in human history, and these frauds constantly tell us how fcked up everything is. Just alarmist frauds.


Lol... Old fart C (antigoracle sockpuppet) can't stop the voices in his head telling him to post the uttermost and dumbest comments conceived in existence.

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