Pump meltwater back on Antarctica? Do you have 850,000 wind turbines?

March 11, 2016 by Stacy Morford, Columbia University
Antarctica viewed from space. Credit: NASA

With sea levels rising and Antarctica's temperatures well below freezing, some people have raised the question: What would happen if we took water out of the oceans and pumped it onto the icy continent to freeze?

A group of scientists put that question to the test in a new study that explores the physical possibility and economic feasibility of geoengineering climate solutions in the future.

The results offer a warning about the costs that today's greenhouse gas emissions may be creating for future generations.

The Antarctic is constantly flowing toward the ocean, so the scientists used an ice dynamics simulation to calculate how far inland the would have to be sent to prevent it from re-entering the ocean for 1,000 years. The result: about 700 kilometers, and it would have to be on East Antarctica—the West Antarctic Ice Sheet would be too unstable.

What would it take to actually do that?

  • Pumping enough water to prevent 3 mm of per year—close to the current rate—would require 90 of the largest pump stations currently under construction in New Orleans, each pumping about 360 cubic meters of water per second, the authors write.
  • The energy required just to pump that much ocean water 700 km inland would exceed 7 percent of the current global primary energy supply, the scientists found.
  • It would take an estimated 850,000 wind turbines of 1.5 MW running on full capacity to meet that need.

There also many questions about the impact this kind of geoengineering project would have on the continent. The water would be saltwater, and it would have to be turned to snow before being returned to the surface to avoid increasing surface melting. The effects of such a "salt-ice" layer within an ice sheet are currently unknown, as are the effects of the heat from pumping all that water, the authors write. The measures would certainly put the ecosystems of Antarctica and of the surrounding ocean at risk, the authors write.

"The magnitude of is so enormous, it turns out it is unlikely that any engineering approach imaginable can mitigate it," said co-author Anders Levermann, a scientist at Columbia University's Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, which led the study.

"Even if this was feasible, it would only buy time—when we stop the pumping one day, additional discharge from Antarctica will increase the rate of sea-level rise even beyond the warming-induced rate. This would mean putting another sea-level debt onto ," Levermann said.

A separate study released last month explored the likely effects of climate change looking out 10,000 years and highlighted the challenges ahead. Even if emissions are stopped today, sea level will continue to slowly rise an estimated 2 meters for every 1°C that global temperatures warm over pre-industrial times. If governments follow through on their current promises to reduce , much of Bangladesh and several megacities—including Shanghai and New York—would still be at least partially submerged over time.

The other authors of the new study, appearing in the EGU journal Earth System Dynamics, were lead author Katja Frieler and Matthias Mengel of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.

Explore further: The warmer the higher: Sea-level rise from Filchner-Ronne ice in Antarctica

More information: K. Frieler et al. Delaying future sea-level rise by storing water in Antarctica, Earth System Dynamics (2016). DOI: 10.5194/esd-7-203-2016

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Save_energy
not rated yet Mar 11, 2016
Back in the day we used to do calculations like that on beer-mats in the pub, if we'd submitted a paper as poor as that, (except on April 1st) it would have been publicly ripped to shreds verbally & physically & the possibility of being sent down.
Squirrel
not rated yet Mar 12, 2016
Assumes you need to think in a 1000 year time scale and so 700 kilometers inland. But it would be part of a number of schemes (space reflectors, land use change, direct removal of atmospheric CO2), many of which would take centuries to get going but once in action could take over. The advantage of pumping with an eye for say 50 years and a 20th of that 700 kilometers is that it could be started tomorrow with today's technology. In 50 years the water leaks back but then any such effects will be counteracted by technologies created and implemented in the breathing space it has given.

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