High aftershock risk for Haiti in next 30 days: USGSJanuary 22, 2010 in Earth / Earth Sciences
Earthquake-hit Haiti faces a high risk of possibly damaging aftershocks for at least 30 days and is set to suffer further tremors for months or even years to come, the US Geological Survey said Friday.
The capital Port-au-Prince was hit by two fresh aftershocks on Friday, 10 days after the initial 7.0-magnitude quake killed at least 75,000 people and left half a million others homeless.
"The aftershock sequence of the magnitude-7 earthquake that struck near Port-au-Prince, Haiti, on January 12, 2010, will continue for months, if not years," the USGS warned in a bulletin on its website.
"The frequency of events will diminish with time, but damaging earthquakes will remain a threat."
There was only a three percent chance of another 7.0-magnitude quake in the next 30 days but there was a 25 percent chance of at least one 6.0-magnitude tremor and a 90 percent likelihood of at least one 5.0-magnitude quake.
Any aftershock above 5.0-magnitude will be widely felt and "has the potential to cause additional damage, particularly to vulnerable, already damaged structures," the USGS said.
Nearly 50 aftershocks have rocked Haiti since the initial earthquake, the strongest being a 5.9-magnitude tremor on Wednesday.
The strongest of Friday's new shocks was of magnitude 4.4, the USGS said.
(c) 2010 AFP
"High aftershock risk for Haiti in next 30 days: USGS" January 22, 2010 http://phys.org/news/2010-01-high-aftershock-haiti-days-usgs.html