New model to measure disease burden of postmenopausal osteoporosis

Sep 08, 2010

An article just published in the scientific journal Osteoporosis International introduces a validated new model that can be used to describe the current and future burden of postmenopausal osteoporosis in different national settings.

The model, published by researchers from the UK on behalf of the International Foundation's Committee of Scientific Advisors, was developed and validated using Swedish data. It can be used to forecast the incidence and prevalence of fractures not only by age and calendar year, but also by BMD category. It provides a high degree of accuracy, as the predictions of fracture rates for all fracture sites were within a 5% margin of error compared with published data when averaged across ages.

The incidence of osteoporotic fractures increases markedly with age and, given the rapidly ageing populations in many countries of the world, there is a real need to predict the future burden of fractures. For example in Europe, where the proportion of the population aged 65 or over will increase from 17% in 2008 to 30% in 2060, a serious increase in the number of osteoporotic fractures is expected. Even more marked increases are projected in other regions of the world, particularly in Asia where a 7.6-fold increase in elderly people is predicted between 2000 and 2050.

The new model provides a potentially powerful tool to inform decision making. Early diagnosis and effective fracture prevention strategies could translate into huge cost savings for health care systems around the world.

Explore further: NY and NJ say they will require Ebola quarantines

More information: Development and validation of a disease model for postmenopausal osteoporosis. A. Gauthier, J.A. Kanis, M. Martin, J. Compston, F. Borgström, C. Cooper, E. McCloskey, On behalf of the IOF Committee of Scientific Advisors. DOI: 10.1007/s00198-010-1358-3

Provided by International Osteoporosis Foundation

not rated yet
add to favorites email to friend print save as pdf

Related Stories

Osteoporosis care at risk in the United States

Nov 12, 2008

The reimbursement cuts run contrary to existing federal initiatives already in place to increase fracture prevention efforts and improve the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of osteoporosis.

Recommended for you

NY and NJ say they will require Ebola quarantines

10 hours ago

The governors of New Jersey and New York on Friday ordered a mandatory, 21-day quarantine for all doctors and other arriving travelers who have had contact with Ebola victims in West Africa.

WHO: Mali case may have infected many people

14 hours ago

The World Health Organization says a toddler who brought Ebola to Mali was bleeding from her nose during her journey on public transport and may have infected many people.

Two US nurses are declared cured of Ebola

15 hours ago

Two American nurses were declared cured of Ebola on Friday, and one was healthy enough to leave the hospital and meet President Barack Obama for a hug.

User comments : 0