Models for a more effective response to climate change

Aug 05, 2013
Models for a more effective response to climate change
Credit: Shutterstock

There is now widespread acceptance that the climate is changing due to human-related greenhouse gas emissions. Climate change will affect all sectors of society and the environment at the local, national and global scales.

Consequently, decision-makers, planners, the private sector and citizens need, more than ever, to be able to access reliable science-based information to help them respond to the risks of .

The overall aim of the EU-funded CLIMSAVE project, ('Climate change integrated assessment methodology for cross-sectoral adaptation and vulnerability in Europe'), is to help in the assessment of the impact of climate change over a range of environmental and economic areas in different regions.

Led by the Chancellor, Masters and Scholars of the University of Oxford, the project is putting science in the service of stakeholders and policy-makers. Specifically, CLIMSAVE is:

  • analysing policy and governance responses;
  • identifying vulnerable hotspots;
  • analysing the cost effectiveness of different adaptation measures;
  • investigating uncertainty to help in the assessment of policy options;
  • integrating stakeholder input through participatory scenarios.

The project is making its findings accessible and useful to the widest possible audience through a user-friendly, interactive web-based platform.

The CLIMSAVE platform takes into account the interconnected nature of different sectors. It helps stakeholders examine and better understand and identify vulnerabilities in agriculture and forestry, biodiversity, coasts, and urban development.

The platform can also be used to investigate possible climate and socio-economic scenarios and the negative and positive effects on ecosystem services. The platform has already been tested and applied in two case studies: a local one, in Scotland, and a pan-European one.

CLIMSAVE partners believe their new platform will allow users to explore and discover where, when and under what circumstances particular actions may be of benefit to societies. It will also help stakeholders to explore and understand the interactions between different sectors, rather than viewing their own sector in isolation.

The platform further highlights the cost-effectiveness and cross-sectorial impact of different adaptation options. The aim is to provide policymakers with the best information to help them develop robust responses to climate change.

The platform will be made publicly available in October 2013, at CLIMSAVE's web site and via a link on the EU's Climate Adaptation Platform.

Explore further: Climate change increases risk of crop slowdown in next 20 years

More information: www.climsave.eu

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User comments : 8

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NikFromNYC
1.8 / 5 (21) Aug 05, 2013
"There is now widespread acceptance that the climate is changing due to human-related greenhouse gas emissions. Climate change will affect all sectors of society and the environment at the local, national and global scales."

SPOT THE SCAM: skeptics fully agree with these statements since they are generically true for anyone who isn't nuts enough to deny the high school physics greenhouse effect.

THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM: all climate alarm is based upon a highly speculative 3X amplification of normal greenhouse warming by how water vapor acts in super computer models.

THE REAL RISK: since such massive amplification is falsified by our two decade warming pause, natural cycles still control climate swings, caused mostly by chaotic ocean currents that dominate heat content of the biosphere, arrogant lack of preparation for a quite likely colder future along with billions spent on boondoggles is sad folly combined with an artificial energy rationing recession and obsolete antibiotics.
BobSage
1.6 / 5 (21) Aug 05, 2013
"There is now widespread acceptance that the climate is changing due to human-related greenhouse gas emissions."

Yes, and there is widespread lack of acceptance as well. So why does this article lead with one and not the other?

And where does the "now" come in? Has something changed recently? In fact, acceptance of CO2 being the culprit has decreased as more data and more research comes in.

And the phrase "climate change" is misleading. True, the average global temperature is higher now than 100 years ago. But it stopped going up 12 years ago. So, yes, the world is dealing with a higher temperature and there have been environmental reactions to that. But the temperature has stopped going up. So if climate change is caused by temperature increase, climate change is no longer happening.
runrig
4.1 / 5 (9) Aug 05, 2013
Yes, and there is widespread lack of acceptance as well. So why does this article lead with one and not the other?

Because "acceptance" or its lack is NOT the same as "scientific acceptance" with regard to a scientific question as those that do not accept, either use mythic science or none at all. The scientific consensus exists nonetheless.

And where does the "now" come in? Has something changed recently? In fact, acceptance of CO2 being the culprit has decreased as more data and more research comes in.

No it hasn't - the (scientific) acceptance increases with new research that is featured here.

And the phrase "climate change" is misleading. True, the average global temperature is higher now than 100 years ago. But it stopped going up 12 years ago. .....

Climate requires a certain time period to show through overlying cycles such as ENSO/PDO/Solar. 30 years is the norm. It is a complex system and will never exhibit a monotonous trend without temporary pause.
runrig
5 / 5 (8) Aug 05, 2013
all climate alarm is based upon a highly speculative 3X amplification of normal greenhouse warming by how water vapor acts in super computer models.

Really Nik: If you say so....

http://www.nasa.g...ing.html

Scientists using AIRS data have removed most of the uncertainty about the future role of water vapor. Temperature and water vapor observations have corroborated climate model predictions that rising carbon dioxide levels will lead to warming and increased water vapor. The increased water vapor greenhouse effect will roughly double the warming effect of carbon dioxide alone. The AIRS data are the strongest observational evidence to date showing the response of water vapor to a warming climate. These studies demonstrate that if greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase the earth's climate is virtually certain to warm by several deg C in the next century -- unless a strong, negative, and as yet unknown feedback mechanism emerges
hopper
1.3 / 5 (18) Aug 05, 2013
These studies demonstrate that if greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase the earth's climate is virtually certain to warm by several deg C in the next century
...........
The problem here is that the economist is now reporting that "climate sensitivity" to carbon dioxide-- is much less than previously reported by the IPCC for example as late as 2007
http://www.econom...ormation

here the economist charts show that climate models have way overestimated warming over last 15 years
http://www.econom...missions
Egleton
3 / 5 (13) Aug 06, 2013
Go find your own planet to experiment with. I am taking this one for my grandkids.

Males over-estimate their abilities. It is just so Macho. Just re-read the above posts to check the veracity of that.
Thank God that the testosterone is weaker. I can think clearly now. And I am thinking that some are self-centered and have very poor self control.
Nope, Sorry Macho Duck. It is not all about you.
Shelgeyr
1.1 / 5 (15) Aug 07, 2013
You know, I've heard about this "CLIMSLAVE" ('Climate change integrated assessment methodology for cross-sectoral legislated adaptation and vulnerability in Europe') project, and I'm not in favor of it.
Howhot
4 / 5 (7) Aug 09, 2013
"CLIMSLAVE". Basically it's the game "SimCity" put to environmental changes. Just a lot more sophisticated. In the right hands, and with reasonable models, it might be useful. Abused it could be tool against humanity.