Massive volcanic eruption puts past climate and people in perspective

Nov 05, 2012
This shows the bipolar matching of volcanic acidity spikes (sulphate) in Greenland and Antarctic ice cores at around the Toba eruption. Credit: Niels Bohr Institute

The largest volcanic eruption on Earth in the past millions of years took place in Indonesia 74,000 years ago and researchers from the Niels Bohr Institute can now link the colossal eruption with the global climate and the effects on early humans. The results are published in the scientific journal Climate of the Past.

The volcano Toba is located in Indonesia on the island Sumatra, which lies close to the equator. The colossal , which occurred 74,000 years ago, left a crater that is about 50 km wide. Expelled with the eruption was 2,500 cubic kilometers of lava – equivalent to double the volume of . The eruption was 5,000 times larger than the Mount St. Helens eruption in 1980 in the United States. Toba is the largest volcanic eruption on Earth in the last 2 million years.

The threw huge clouds of ash and sulphuric acid into the atmosphere and up into the stratosphere, from where it spread across the entire globe in both the northern and southern hemispheres and fell down as .

Traces of acid rain in the ice caps

"We have now traced this acid rain in the ice caps on Greenland and Antarctica. We have long had an idea of at what depth the Toba eruption could be found in the , but we found no ash, so we could not be sure. But now we have found the same series of acid layers from Toba in the and in the ice cap in Antarctica. We have counted the annual layers between acid peaks in ice cores from the two ice caps and it fits together," explains Anders Svensson, Centre for Ice and Climate at the Niels Bohr Institute at the University of Copenhagen.

"This means that we can compare the ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica with a annual accuracy and thus combine our knowledge of in the northern and southern hemispheres," emphasizes Anders Svensson.

There has been much speculation about how such a huge eruption affected the climate. The giant clouds of sulphur particles that are thrown up into the stratosphere form a blanket that shields from the sun's radiation and this causes the Earth to cool. But how much and for how long? Modelling has shown that such an enormous eruption could cause a cooling of up to 10 degrees in the global temperature for decades..

"In the temperature curves from the ice cores we can see that there is no general global cooling as a result of the eruption. There is certainly a cooling and large fluctuations in temperature in the northern hemisphere, but it becomes warmer in the , so the global cooling has been short," says Anders Svensson.

Consequences for man

But the eruption may still have had major consequences for nature, the environment and humans in large areas of Asia, where a clear layer of ash from the eruption has been found.

The eruption occurred at a fateful time in human history, around the time when there was a mass exodus of our ancestors, Homo sapiens, from Africa to Asia and researchers believe that early people living as far as 2000 km away in eastern India were affected by the eruption, which raged for weeks.

Archaeologist, however, strongly disagree about what the consequences of the Toba eruption were for people living in the areas of Asia that were affected by the eruption. Speculation ranges from almost no effect to total or partial extermination of the population in large areas. Material from this period is too old to be dated using the carbon-14 method and the Toba ash layer is therefore a very important reference horizon.

"The new precise location of the Toba eruption in the ice cores will place the archaeological finds in a climatic context, which will help to shed light on this critical period of human history," says Anders Svensson.

Explore further: ESA image: Mumbai acquired by ALOS

More information: Climate of the Past: www.clim-past-discuss.net/8/5389/2012/

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Tausch
1 / 5 (1) Nov 05, 2012
Global forensic fingerprints with a twist:

"In the temperature curves from the ice cores we can see that there is no general global cooling as a result of the eruption. There is certainly a cooling and large fluctuations in temperature in the northern hemisphere, but it becomes warmer in the southern hemisphere, so the global cooling has been short," says Anders Svensson.


Sanescience
3 / 5 (2) Nov 05, 2012
I do not wish this on humanity. But intellectually it would be interesting to see how something like that would be handled by the modern world. If food production was significantly reduced I'm guessing not so well. And probably plenty of nut jobs would say were being punished by god(s).

That said it is nice that geoscience has advanced enough that we are pretty sure nothing of this kind is in our near future.
dschlink
1 / 5 (1) Nov 05, 2012
There is strong genetic evidence (lack of diversity) that the human race suffered a severe die-off at that time. Some scientists estimate the number of survivors could have been under 1000 world-wide.
Shakescene21
1 / 5 (1) Nov 05, 2012
That said it is nice that geoscience has advanced enough that we are pretty sure nothing of this kind is in our near future.


The Yellowstone supervolcano is about due for an eruption,as measured on a geological timescale. Hopefully that won't be for another 10,000 years. Geoscientists are hoping we will have 10 to 100 years of warning signs before the big blowoff.
Torbjorn_Larsson_OM
not rated yet Nov 06, 2012
@ dschlink: No, there isn't any such uneqivocal evidence, as witnessed by your lack of references. The population models out of sequencing Neanderthals and Denisovans et cetera shows other bottleneck times, IIRC.

And now we know why that could be, no global climate effects.

In any case, this is debated just as the post describes.
triplehelix
1 / 5 (2) Nov 06, 2012
"Modelling has shown that such an enormous eruption could cause a cooling of up to 10 degrees in the global temperature for decades.."

"In the temperature curves from the ice cores we can see that there is no general global cooling as a result of the eruption."

Self admittance that climate models are massively ineffective and inaccurate? Kudos for admitting it, but I am sure this model will still be used to propel more climate change idiocy.

Classic science experiment, you have a petrit dish, on it is banana, apple, and pear. A bacterium grows. What food source does it grow on? You separate the 3 variables to find out.

You CANT do this with our planet, as we only have one, and we cant suspend its functions for our experimental whim, you have no control samples, and worse, every experiment with climatology has data with thousands of unknown variables unnaccounted for or innaccurately accounted for, as shoddy moeels show. Im not a skeptic, just admit the data ISNT definitive!
rubberman
1 / 5 (1) Nov 07, 2012
Im not a skeptic, just admit the data ISNT definitive! -TH

Yes, there are hundreds to thousands of unknown variables of the climate system when modelling. However, models are based on the observations we make. If the world had been cooling at an alarming rate (geologically speaking) our models would project future cooling based on THAT data. Focusing on nothing but the data (observational evidence) and what we know of the physics involved. We can project the continued trend of an overall increase in global temperatures to continue....no models required.