Massachusetts butterflies move north as climate warms (w/ Video)

Aug 19, 2012
The Giant Swallowtail, a southern butterfly historically only seen as an occasional stray in New England, has been present in conspicuously high numbers in Massachusetts in recent years, with scores of reports in 2011 and 2012. It may now be breeding in the commonwealth. This individual was photographed August 15, 2012 in Westport MA (Photo credit: Frank S. Model).

The authors of a Harvard study published today in Nature Climate Change gathered their data from an unlikely source—the trip accounts of the Massachusetts Butterfly Club. Over the past 19 years, the amateur naturalist group has logged species counts on nearly 20,000 expeditions throughout Massachusetts. Their records fill a crucial gap in the scientific record.

Observations of the Zabulon Skipper, another southern butterfly historically rare in Massachusetts, have increased by 18 fold in the past 19 years. This individual was photographed August 15, 2012 in Westport MA (Photo credit: Frank S. Model).

Once analyzed, the data show a clear trend. According to Greg Breed, lead author on the study and a post-doctoral fellow at the Harvard Forest in Petersham, Mass., "Over the past 19 years, a warming climate has been reshaping Massachusetts butterfly communities." Subtropical and warm-climate species such as the giant swallowtail and zabulon skipper—many of which were rare or absent in Massachusetts as recently as the late 1980s—show the sharpest increases in abundance. At the same time, more than three quarters of northerly species—species with a range centered north of Boston—are now declining in Massachusetts, many of them rapidly. Most impacted are the species that overwinter as eggs or small larvae: these overwintering stages may be much more sensitive to drought or lack of snow cover.

The study creates new questions for managing threatened species. "For most butterfly species, seems to be a stronger change-agent than habitat loss. Protecting habitat remains a key management strategy, and that may help some butterfly species. However, for many others, habitat protection will not mitigate the impacts of warming," says Breed. He points to the frosted elfin, a species that receives formal habitat protection from the state. This southerly distributed butterfly is now one of the most rapidly increasing species in Massachusetts, with an estimated 1000% increase since 1992. Some of this increase may be due to habitat protections, Breed allows. But over the same period, atlantis and aphrodite fritillaries, historically common summer in Massachusetts, have declined by nearly 90%—yet these northerly species remain unprotected.

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The kind of information collected by the Mass. Butterfly Club is becoming increasingly valuable to scientists and land managers alike. Elizabeth Crone, senior ecologist at the Harvard Forest and another co-author on the study, notes, "Careful datasets from amateur naturalists play a valuable role in our understanding of dynamics. Scientists constantly ask questions, but sometimes the data just isn't there to provide the answers, and we can't go back in time to collect it. This study would not have been possible without the dedication and knowledge of the data collectors on those 19,000 club trips."

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Shootist
1.7 / 5 (6) Aug 19, 2012
Massachusetts butterflies move north as climate warms


Are there 300 year old dairy farms in Greenland? There were. It is too cold.

Are there 300 year old vineyards in Nova Scotia and Scotland? There were. It is too cold now for vineyards, but it was warmer 1000 years ago. It was, in fact, warmer 2000 years ago. And the warmer than today weather lasted for centuries.

"The polar bears will be fine". - Freeman Dyson (is smarter than you are. And that's a fact, too).
Vendicar_Decarian
5 / 5 (1) Aug 20, 2012
No. There were no dairy farms in Greenland 300 years ago.

"Are there 300 year old dairy farms in Greenland?" - ShooTard

You have been told this repeatedly, but you are apparently incapable of learning.

""The polar bears will be fine". - Freeman Dyson" - ShooTard

That is Alzheimer talking there ShooTard.
Vendicar_Decarian
5 / 5 (1) Aug 20, 2012
Vinyards are not uncommon in the UK.

http://www.ukvines.co.uk/

"Are there 300 year old vineyards in Nova Scotia and Scotland?" - ShooTard