Ocean climate change damage to cost $2 trillion

Mar 21, 2012
A 2009 file photo released by the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority in Australia showing a section the Great Barrier Reef. A new study estimates that climate change could result in annual costs of nearly $2 trillion in damages to the world's ocean systems.

Greenhouse gases are likely to result in annual costs of nearly $2 trillion in damage to the oceans by 2100, according to a new Swedish study

The estimate by the Stockholm Environment Institute is based on the assumption that climate-altering continue their upward spiral without a pause.

Warmer seas will lead to greater acidification and oxygen loss, hitting fisheries and , it warns.

and storms will boost the risk of flood damage, especially around the coastlines of Africa and Asia, it adds.

Projecting forward using a business-as-usual scenario, the Earth's will rise by four degrees Celsius (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit) by the end of the century, says the report, "Valuing the Ocean."

On this basis, the cost in 2050 will be $428 billion annually, or 0.25 percent of global domestic product (GDP).

Environmental activists and fishermen in Senegal stage a rally to draw attention to the problems of the country's fisheries sector. A new study warns that warmer seas resulting from current climate change projections will lead to greater acidification and oxygen loss, hitting fisheries and coral reefs.

By 2100, the cost would rise to $1,979 billion, or 0.37 percent of output.

If emissions take a lower track, and warming is limited to 2.2 C (4 F), the cost in 2050 would be $105 billion, or 0.06 percent of worldwide GDP, rising to $612 billion, or 0.11 percent, by 2100.

"This is not a scaremongering forecast," says the report.

It cautions that these figures do not take into account the bill for small island states swamped by rising seas. Nor do they include the impact of warming on the ocean's basic processes, such as nutrient recycling, which are essential to life.

"The ocean has always been thought of as the epitome of unconquerable, inexhaustible vastness and variety, but this ‘plenty more fish in the sea' image may be its worst enemy," notes the report.

Explore further: Food shortages could be most critical world issue by mid-century

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gregor1
1.3 / 5 (15) Mar 21, 2012
"The estimate by the Stockholm Environment Institute is based on the assumption that climate-altering carbon emissions continue their upward spiral without a pause."
No. It's based on the assumption that the upward spiral of carbon dioxide emissions will affect the climate as the models predict. This is looking rather unlikely as there has been no warming for 15 years in defiance of these very models
Vendicar_Decarian
1.2 / 5 (47) Mar 21, 2012
Gregor, you were just caught in a lie in another thread where you claimed that the global mass balance for glaciers was increasing.

Do you wan't to get caught telling yet another lie?

Shelgeyr
1.6 / 5 (14) Mar 21, 2012
Vendicar is lying about Gregor being "caught in a lie".

This is due to Scott being too, ah, insufficiently educated, perceptive, cognitive, or swift, to comprehend that physorg.com board software can (and did) mess up a link without any help from Gregor. Or he's disingenuous and crooked enough to actually know that, and make the false accusation anyway.

He then flies off and advertises his lack of understanding by spamming unrelated threads with accusations that one would be tempted to call "baseless" except they're actually based on his own error, not Gregor's.

It's called "opening your mouth and removing all doubt".

Sadly, he won't change. He's been doing this for at least 15 years (at a glance), all over the place:

http://liberating...tt-nudds

This is deep, long-term crazy.
djr
5 / 5 (8) Mar 21, 2012
gregor - you state that there has been no warming for 15 years. I think you are incorrect - unless you mean like - just in your front room or something. Would you check out the data and graphs on this site - http://data.giss....aphs_v3/ and let us know how you can possibly say that there has been no warming since 1997. Thanks. David.
Cave_Man
5 / 5 (7) Mar 21, 2012
gregor - http://data.giss....aphs_v3/ and let us know how you can possibly say that there has been no warming since 1997. Thanks. David.


Nice one david, glad to see someone still exists in reality.

I've seen skeptics say all that nasa data is from satellites which use inferior telemetry or logistical standpoint, it's amazing the ways people will try to think their way out of a box.

It's obvious that we are changing and destroying the surface and atmosphere of our planet at an ever increasing rate and that we have already passed thresholds some would consider "extremely disastrous".

To put it in perspective we may be at the start of a release of methane on a scale that has not happened since the end-permian era. There's no telling what effects it may have. Here's hoping we aren't about to become dinosaurs. See the 6th paragraph:
http://en.wikiped...on_event
Howhot
5 / 5 (7) Mar 21, 2012
Keep posting @dir. That is a great link. These deniers are purposely here to stir the debate, delay and defer regulation, and cause fights where they can. And unfortunately there are here.

Chin-up, and fight on.
deepsand
2.9 / 5 (10) Mar 22, 2012
Anyone have any idea of the tuition costs at the paleoconservatards' schools for denialist trolls?

Or, is it PIK? :lol:

Vendicar_Decarian
0.6 / 5 (39) Mar 22, 2012
ShelgeyrTard wishes to support Gregor's lie. So be it.

Gregor claimed that the mass balance of the worlds glaciers was increasing.

That is a lie.

Monitoring of glacial mass balance has been ongoing for quite a while. The latest Glacial Mass Balance Bulletin provides a definitive summary of current conditions.

All charts shown on pages 8 through 13 of the Global Mass Balance Bulletin show, with one exception, dramatic declines in glacial mass.

http://www.wgms.c...bb11.pdf

Gregor is therefore a liar, and ShelgeyrTard - also a chronic liar here - is doing nothing but lying by proxy.
djr
4.3 / 5 (7) Mar 22, 2012
"These deniers are purposely here to stir the debate" Thanks Howhot. I am not sure why they are here. There is certainly a pattern - attack any article that mentions global warming, or alternative energy - and lie if you have to. When presented with data - the silence is deafening. Recently Rygg acknowledged that his mission was to "sound the alarm". Interesting choice of words. I suspect it is mostly a religious issue - people who are grounded in an obsolete world view - who see that reality/science is making them irrelevant - and so they troll the science boards having a tantrum - like the witch doctor who sees his authority being challenged by modern medicine. Rational discourse is worthless - look at the silence when Gregor's ridiculous claim that there has been no warming for 15 years is refuted. The screaming matches that break out are probably not productive - but calmly refute their nonsense with facts - and eventually they may slide into obscurity.
jet
1 / 5 (7) Mar 22, 2012
easier to make the present warmer...

But then again, since there was not little ice age according to mann (see hocky stick) the past is so fragile as to be a mere fiction I would think.

Oh by the way as I do believe in the fact of the LIA I understand it is warmer now.. and good thing too.
Howhot
5 / 5 (7) Mar 22, 2012
people awho are grounded in an obsolete world view


Yeah I agree; these guys do have an obsolete world view, they would prefer earth dead to the dollar.

Vendicar_Decarian
0.6 / 5 (39) Mar 23, 2012
Mann has never claimed that there was never a little ice age.

He claims that the evidence shows that it was largely regional.

And he is right.

Why do you feel a need to lie about it?

"But then again, since there was not little ice age according to mann (see hocky stick) the past is so fragile as to be a mere fiction I would think." - jeTard

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