Belgium to switch off nuclear, operator sees blackout ahead
October 31, 2011 by Christian Spillmann
A cooling tower of the Electrabel's nuclear power plant is seen in March 2011 in Tihange. As Belgium becomes the latest European nation to agree to switch off nuclear power, operator Electrabel warned Monday of high costs, environmental fallout and increased dependency on foreign suppliers.
As Belgium becomes the latest European nation to agree to switch off nuclear power, operator Electrabel warned Monday of high costs, environmental fallout and increased dependency on foreign suppliers.
Six parties currently working on a coalition programme that will form the basis of a new Belgian government in the weeks to come, agreed on Sunday to switch off the country's seven nuclear plants from 2015.
But a timetable for shutdown, along with a plan to shift into renewable energy sources, still needs to be worked out, with the government-elect giving itself six months from inauguration day to fine tune how to deliver power to the country's 10 million people.
A front-page cartoon in the Flemish daily De Standaard on Monday showed four pairs of eyes in the dark with one of the blacked out faces saying, "I think Electrabel is trying to make a message heard."
"A decision on the future of nuclear energy is an eminently political one in which Electrabel has no influence," said the operator, a subsidiary of French energy giant GDF-Suez that runs six of the Belgian nuclear plants.
But it added in a statement that the consequences could be dire.
Already a net importer of electricity, Belgium could become increasingly dependent on its neighbours, increase its carbon footprint by replacing nuclear with thermal energy, and be forced to considerably hike the price of electricity for consumers.
"On a question such as this which is fundamental to the national economy, it is essential that clear decisions be taken and communicated," it said.
Operators needed clear guidelines "to programme their activities and investments ... to prepare projects that Belgium will need to ensure security of supply."
Shrugging off nuclear fears following Japan's Fukushima disaster, the Czech Republic has decided to press ahead on nuclear to assure energy independence, while coal-dependent Poland remains determined to make its nuclear debut.
Italy and Switzerland meanwhile have put nuclear power plans on ice, while Germany switched off several reactors in the wake of the Japanese disaster and has since passed legislation to phase out nuclear energy by 2022.
Belgium's seven reactors provide 55 percent of the country's energy needs.
Under the Sunday deal clinched by the country's probable next premier, French-speaking Socialist Elio Di Rupo, the government-to-be would confirm a 2003 law scheduling a shutdown for the seven reactors as they reach 40 years of operational life, between 2015 and 2025.
The seven plants comnbined produce 5.7 GW, a little more than the 5 GW produced by gas and coal plants.
Wind energy totalled 911 MG last year but authorities hope to boost that to 6.3 GW by 2020.
"If we fail to see sufficient alternatives by 2015, we might face a blackout," De Standaard warned.
(c) 2011 AFP
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Oct 31, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (16)
Pretty much sums up the depth of the stupidity in this decision. It's the "lets make our energy decisions on the Jane Fonda model" of governance.
Oct 31, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (6)
Oct 31, 2011
Rank: 1.9 / 5 (9)
Oct 31, 2011
Rank: 2.9 / 5 (10)
When u politicize everything - you become blind to the facts. Latest data is showing that wind power is currently the cheapest form of energy - (see http://cleantechn...tricity/
Replacing nukes with cheaper wind over the next couple of decades - especially if you have coal and gas to provide base load may make sense to them. I personally hope we keep developing newer nuclear technology - think it will be a big part of our future. Wish we could extract the politics from all of these important conversations - and make the best decisions based on the facts. I know - dream on fool...
Oct 31, 2011
Rank: 2.5 / 5 (6)
belgium is just getting on board the train that is in the station. once the solar/wind/renewable train leaves the station it's going for a long journey forward for hundreds of years. and it hasn't even really taken off yet. it's just getting the engine warmed up before leaving the station.
Oct 31, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Oct 31, 2011
Rank: 3.4 / 5 (5)
Oct 31, 2011
Rank: 3.9 / 5 (11)
Hard to tell what is more amusing. The fact that you suggested that I was politicizing this thing, when it is clearly a 100% political decision based in no way on anything other than the emotion of fear (did you not realize the timing is no coincidence?) OR
The fact that you then launch into this wind power idea. Without looking at the numbers, I'm confident that, if you dumped half the population of Belgium into the ocean, you STILL wouldn't have enough energy to meet current and future demands with wind power. And you can forget about any other larger country.
Oct 31, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (9)
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1.8 / 5 (10)
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 3.6 / 5 (8)
Nuclear is as safe as renewables per MWh produced. And yeah, it is a choice of second-rate economies, because they cannot afford to waste money on expensive renewables.
Until renewables can reliably power modern post-oil economy, and do it for a good price, nuclear is here with us to stay.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 4.3 / 5 (6)
http://depletedcr...il-fuel/
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 4.6 / 5 (7)
Nowhere did he say he did not look at the numbers, rather he was saying you did not look at the numbers. Also he is right about the viabilaty of green energy as technology wise its both too expensive and not really good enough.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (7)
You don't get a second chance. You must stand by the link and always support the contents. Worst than marriage - where 'irreconcilable differences' result in the divorce of persons.
Divorcing conviction is not an option for humans.
Now I must post this link to all your comments - no matter what you say and what the future brings. Make it ceremonious.
Declare your conviction, your life, your obligations, your children, and for better or worst, your marriage to the link.
Not stand by me.
Stand by link.
Link written in concrete.
Never cheats on you. Remains valid forever, regardless what discoveries or what new improvements in energy sources bring.
Most important always reference the link. You will see in two hundred years, right or wrong, your link remains true to you.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (5)
Refrain from the spokesperson role. It is bad enough you can not speak for yourself.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 3.2 / 5 (6)
Arghh! You mean there actually is a gas even more lethal than CO2 when it comes to global warming? There must be urgent action taken to strictly control all sources of this "water vapor" . Why the battle against global warming demands it.
NOT.
BTW kaasinees, what exactly do you suggest ? Building hundreds of coal-fired plants is better for the environment because the nuclear plants emit water vapor?
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 4.3 / 5 (6)
The neighbors next door though, can't afford the cost of 'green' power (its already risen significantly here this year, due to investment in renewable sources)- so they will suffer, sadly.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 4.8 / 5 (4)
Besides, new Gen IV high temperature reactors wont need cooling towers at all, since they can use closed cycle Brayton turbines (which are also more efficient).
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (3)
From Nerdguy "The fact that you then launch into this wind power idea. Without looking at the numbers, I'm confident that, if you dumped half the population of Belgium into the ocean, you STILL wouldn't have enough energy to meet current and future demands with wind power. And you can forget about any other larger country.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 3.2 / 5 (5)
Variability is an issue - currently it seems we can incorporate about 40% onto the grid. As I said - I am a supporter of new nuclear technology - but the decisions should be made on the basis of the facts - not disinformation. The other benefits of alternatives - money does not go to foreign countries, reduced pollution, distributed power, long term cost stability.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (4)
The French half would be a good choice and would you ensure you take all the bureaucratic's from Brussels and dump them too ... please.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (5)
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (3)
Energy storage can mitigate this, but renewables need FAR more energy storage than nuclear for a given kWh, fraction of grid supply, and desired energy stability.
Not even talking about Gen IV reactors such as LFTR, which can have inherent load following, thus producing not only cheap, abundant and reliable electricity independent of external environment, but high quality of it (even small grid instabilities can wreak havoc on some sensitive appliances).
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 4.5 / 5 (8)
FURTHER:
Population of Belgium = 10,788,760 - Worldbank
Average number of person per household, Belgium = 2.4 - NationMaster.com
Households in Belgium = 4,495,317 - basic math
One wind turbine, on average, adequate for 350 homes - djr's source
Thus, 12,843 turbines would be needed TODAY. - basic math
From various sources, I've estimated a number well under 500 (perhaps closer to 350, but I don't have all freakin day to count them) available currently.
Now that I've done your homework, and shown that there is NO way wind is a viable source for the near term or even the next decade or more, do any of you hopeless idealists (denialists of fact?) have anything to add?
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 4.5 / 5 (8)
As per the above, I took your source and used it to present a logical conclusion using the numbers you gave me as a base. While I'm certain this likely won't dispel your nuclear phobia, I would request that you refrain from labeling as "misinformation" anything that you just don't like or agree with, and as "willfully ignorant" facts that you simply deny.
As for my earlier comments, I stand by them. Nuclear is a very viable source. Fear is the primary motivator for radical decisions to drop it.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 4.5 / 5 (8)
By your (ill)logic, the safest source would perhaps be campfires?
But let's try logic for a moment. Yes, fear of, as you put it "wasting away into a skeleton" would be extraordinarily irrational. There are many more legitimate fears to keep you up at night.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (3)
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (3)
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (4)
http://cleantechn...-energy/
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (4)
You've jumped around a whole bunch on this. And, it's difficult to see from the amount of time you put into pushing wind power how you can claim you are some sort of moderate who is all for nuclear among other sources.
The real giveaway is your very first post. You seem to think that anyone mentioning the "Jane Fonda" model is "politicizing". Indeed, the reverse is true, and I was merely pointing it out.
As they say in Texas, I don't have a dog in this hunt. Not much in Belgium affects me on a personal level. But, I do hate to see irrational fear-mongering as the basis for a decision on a country's future energy plans.
It is good to see that you've come around to my way of thinking.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 4.2 / 5 (5)
Oh, and, had I actually said that "renewables are not a cheap and viable energy source", it would make actual sense for you to point it out. But, seeing as how I did not, and would not, your point fails. You are simply interested in seeing your own words printed across the screen. This meeting is adjourned. Toodles.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 2 / 5 (4)
eCat
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
LOL! You are cruel, sir. And clearly masochistic. Like throwing a piece of raw meat into a den of lions.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
While I believe that it is fair to engage in a spirited debate of one's claims, I do not believe it is reasonable for you to "put words in my mouth" as it were.
So, let's just stick to the facts, shall we?
Fact: it is fear, and only fear, that has led to countless decisions to turn off/shut down/cancel nuclear power generation.
And, I maintain that these fears are unwarranted.
You see, logic and fact will prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that every energy source has the potential to create problems, to cause deaths, to wreck economies, etc. None are perfect. None are, at this stage of our technological progress, much better than others. All have tradeoffs. Those are my points.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 4.2 / 5 (5)
Are the children of Chernobyl suffering? If so, how? Be specific. Then compare the total number of those suffering to some other specific energy source. How many suffer life-altering asthma problems due to coal, for example?
Finally, ask yourself "why" the Chernobyl victims are suffering. Are they suffering because of the tool that was put into place to provide them power? Or are they suffering due to the mismanagement of said tool by human beings? There is much information to suggest the latter.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (4)
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
Wrong analogy, it compares per TWH deaths, which is a relevant comparison.
I dont think so, there is little potential for improvement in this area. People are going to have accidents and be irresponsible.
Not true, it is nuclear where great progress in safety can be made, there are plenty of actual engineering schemes to make nuclear power plants safer.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
Coal IS the only serious alternative to nuclear, at least in coming decades. Belgium, and other countries are not going to replace missing nuclear capacity with renewables anytime soon.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (4)
Last I saw, I didn't say it was. Can you not stick to the topic for a short time?
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Please demonstrate the general human populations that have been wiped out by wave, wind and solar power.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Again, per TWh measure. Renewables produce negligible amount of energy, thus the number of deaths associated with them is also overall negligible. That does not make them harmless.
Falling wind turbines may very well be more dangerous than modern nuclear. You are engaging in irrational fear-mongering.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
That's laughable. Simply combine solar installation with shingle, skylight, roof rot or sealing jobs. Zero added danger! Can't do that with nuclear's dedicated, deadly design
You can make bomb squads safer too, Still fundamentally unsafe work.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Its the general population that is going to be dying en masse from installing and maintaining dangerous large-scale renewable installations with a tendency to fall on their heads. Not to mention deaths from the industry making these.
Its still not going to install itself, people will spend more time on the roof, and inevitably, fall to their deaths. Think of the children!
Again, you are forgetting that modern nuclear power designs are fundamentally safe. Contrary to inherently deadly renewables.
But, I grant you that old nuclear is almost as deadly as renewables.. :p
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Turbines tend to be in remote areas. I fail to see much danger in wind turbines installed in the Himalayas. But you can certainly measure stray isotopes there from reactor blowups. And yeah, propeller heads casually mucking around with the most deadly substances known to man gives me pause
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
There is. Renewables are an intermittent energy source, dependant on local weather, thus incapable of base load power without expensive storage facilities and/or long distance smart grids. Renewable advocates always seem to omit these things from their cost calculations. Nuclear does not need storage and smart grids for electricity stability.
Nov 01, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (4)
Yeah, it all boils down to feeling. People FEEL nuclear is dangerous, usualy irrationally so.
I am not here to bash renewables, just teasing you a bit.
In reality, as electricity demands skyrocket and fossil fuels will get progressively more expensive, I consider a huge nuclear renaissance to be crucial to cover the difference, along with renewables. And it will also be a step forward both in terms of safety and cleanliness over fossil fuels.
Nov 06, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (4)
Nov 07, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Nov 07, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
To his point re: tsunamis. Imminently appropriate. The point being that accidents happen, man-made and natural. Deaths occur, whether you have nuclear or not. Nuclear is not the boogeyman.
Every type of energy production has advantages and disadvantages. Your problem, kochevik, lies in your failure to look past your irrational fears to that core fact. Logic, try it.
Nov 07, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
Nov 07, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Are you really foolish enough to believe that people do not die from all types of natural and man-made disasters? Or are you too fixated on your ingrained fear to have a logical thought?
In any case, as is abundantly clear, ALL types of energy production have advantages and disadvantages. Nuclear has been, and will remain, a safe, cost-effective solution for some time.
Nov 07, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
That's it, DoE. That's the bottom line for you. Do it. And you shall receive the blessings of God, Universe, and humanity.
Nov 07, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
I've not seen so much hippy rambling since the last Woodstock documentary on TV. Most of those stoners made as much sense as you.
Nov 08, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
I hate it when former residents of Chernobyl quibble over hippies. You overdosed while living there.
Nov 08, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
*hit happens ==> Danger is realtive ==> Nuclear is safe
Nov 08, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
Surprisingly, you pretty much got it right. Such is life.
Nov 08, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
Are you implying danger is not relative?