Global warming continues as greenhouse gas grows
June 28, 2011 By RANDOLPH E. SCHMID , AP Science Writer
(AP) -- A study released Tuesday says the world's climate is not only continuing to warm, it's adding greenhouse gases even faster than in the past.
In fact it's been more than 300 months since the average global average temperature was below average.
The annual State of the Climate report said 2010 was tied with 2005 as the hottest year on record, worldwide and added that the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide increased faster than it has in recent decades.
Peter Thorne of North Carolina's Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites called the finding "a clear and unmistakable signal from the top of the atmosphere to the depths of the oceans.'
©2011 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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Jun 28, 2011
Rank: 4.1 / 5 (9)
Jun 28, 2011
Rank: 3.9 / 5 (7)
Jun 28, 2011
Rank: 2.2 / 5 (14)
What is the 'normal' temperature of the earth?
Jun 28, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (12)
Not Hot.
Jun 28, 2011
Rank: 2 / 5 (23)
Jun 28, 2011
Rank: 1.9 / 5 (18)
This ridiculous result is based on modelling not measurement.
Jun 28, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (12)
Well, let's look at Venus as an example, where temperatures are well over 400 degrees celcius due to a runaway GREENHOUSE EFFECT. And Venus's atmosphere consists of Carbon Dioxide, which explains its extreme temperature.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 2.1 / 5 (14)
The solar constant on Venus is twice that of Earth's.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 3.6 / 5 (17)
And without a greenhouse effect the surface temperature of Venus relative to the earth would be proportional to the forth root of 2, or about 18% warmer.
Yet the surface of Venus (K) is twice the temperature of the earth.
And that additional 80% increase in the surface temperature is a direct result of the CO2 enhanced greenhouse effect at work on Venus.
You poor, ignorant, Tard you.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 2.7 / 5 (12)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 2.5 / 5 (8)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 2.2 / 5 (10)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1.4 / 5 (9)
Two days ago I used an example that Vendi would call someone a Tard within the next month and only now does light convey the confirmation BUT I had the information (knew) well before the light arrived.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1.8 / 5 (12)
Sinister, you just have to face up to the fact that Vendi is more popular than you!
Vote Vendi for POTUS
PS: Do I get a Nobel prize for proof of FTL communication?
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (6)
Thanks for another downrating, trollface. And no, you don't get the nobel prize for your predictions either.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (4)
PS: thanks for the 1 - thats heaps better than no rating at all :)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 4.9 / 5 (7)
The causal loop can probably traced back when Venusian plate tectonics ceased to operate, which resulted in CO2 from volcanic emissions to accumulate in the atmosphere (not being able to be recycled, as on Earth). This growing accumulation eventually caused the runaway greenhouse effect we see today. But also, without plate tectonics Venus cannot dissipate heat from its mantle easily.
Therefore, CO2 isn't the only contributor to the planet's current conditions.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1.3 / 5 (12)
Hey, lets not consider all the factors ... just trot out the CO2 mantra.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1.4 / 5 (9)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (9)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (4)
Luckily we know better... the balance of the planet is getting worse, its getting hotter and colder, harsher winters, harsher summers, one day its 10 degrees the next day its 30 degrees -celcius.
It means the sinks/buffers of the planet are "sick/broken", the ocean, forests, the air etc. are all "sick".
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 2.8 / 5 (13)
No, the Greenhouse Effect on Venus is the adverse result of its thick Carbon Dioxide atmosphere, as well as the fast moving Sulfuric Acid clouds that choke the planet. You're wrong. This is why Venus has hotter temperatures than Mercury, despite being further away from the Sun.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1.3 / 5 (12)
Water vapor is the most important gas to retain heat. But it cannot be easily modeled, it is not well mixed, therefore, its not a factor in the GCMs.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1.8 / 5 (9)
2) From the first sentence of the first paragraph on the NOAA page:
and from the first sentence of the second paragraph:
Global average for May and the previous two months was about .5 C above average for the century. That places it somewhere in the middle between average and record highs, and not in agreement with AGW theory which predicts accelerating temperature rise.
Note: the above is based on the GHCN temperature record. I personally believe the satellite records are better, such as UAH records.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1.9 / 5 (8)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1.5 / 5 (6)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (5)
Thank you sir
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (7)
What if the facts don't fit your world view frenchie?
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (9)
. . . of the 1970's
www.time.com/time...,00.html
Measurements showed the Suns violently unstable neutron core gave birth to the Solar System 5 Gyr, including all the material that comprises us and planet Earth [1-4].
Emissions from the solar core still bath us with the photons, particles and fields (sunlight, heat and energy) that sustain us.
Despite an illusion of power and self-importance, mankind is totally dependent on the forces of Nature. That unpalatable truth is the conclusion of my 50 year research career.
With kind regards,
Oliver K. Manuel
1. Nature 262, 28 (1976)
www.nature.com/na...8a0.html
2. Science 195, 208 (1977)
www.omatumr.com/a...enon.pdf
3. Nature 277, 615 (1979)
www.nature.com/na...5a0.html
4. Journal of Fusion Energy 21, 193-198 (2002)
http://arxiv.org/.../0501441
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 2 / 5 (8)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (6)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
Now I have to resign myself to the fact that incomplete and insufficient data supports a knowledge of an undeniable change in climate that predicts hot or cold. A prediction that effectively bars any solutions, or preparations to adapt.
Since I am not human, I will ask you humans:
What are you going to do?
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 2.6 / 5 (7)
The NOAA documents I referenced are here:
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/
Here's a recent discussion from a well respected weather expert on the PDO and AO, published by Penn State U:
http://www.statec...-792940/
And here's the link to the U of Washington Polar Ice page:
http://psc.apl.wa...anomaly/
The rate of loss went from 3.6 to 2.8, which means that it was 29% overstated before the latest update. I guess I overstated the change when I said nearly half, but it's still a big change. Sorry for the exageration.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 2.1 / 5 (7)
One more comment about the UofW ice estimates: They are based on a model that attempts to guess the thickness of the ice based on the extent of the ice. Everyone knows that isn't a great way to go about things, but it's the best we've got right now. That model will become obsolete soon though, since CryoSat-2 began collecting data back in October. CryoSat-1 exploded on launch, so we've never had any real measurements of total ice volume before. They just do spot checks a few times a year in a few places, but it is so dynamic that measuring ice thickness from on the ground is like trying to catch air in your hand. The whole northern ice cap moves around the Arctic Sea like an icecube in a cocktail glass, so measuring by spot checks is virtually meaningless.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 4.2 / 5 (5)
Here is a link to an interactive site that lets you look over data from your choice of time intervals. Using the tool provides a rapid response to GSwift7s second source (Bastardi) by showing that the time interval he used as analogous to the present was, in fact, short and a small deviation compared with the temperature change over the past 30 years. You can use the tool for both Global and US changes. Bastardi used US as his metric not global.
http://www.climat...tPresent
As for the idea that the Earth will be cooling soon (30 years), that is a safe bet to make since most of us will not be here (although my grand kids will), Bastardi will certainly not be here. If change becomes a moving target with cooling just out of reach, there will never be any evidence that will convince those who say we will turn the corner in 15 years. Just like the prediction of the end of the world, you can just move the date.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
Again I want to emphasize that links rock! Its good to have a healthy conversation w/out the trolls.
Edit: @Rygg - if facts dont coincide with my worldview, i'll probably adjust my way of thinking. Unlike yourself where you'd just change the facts. Gswift7 is articulate/intelligent enough to have a decent conversation with. You are not neither. Cheers
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Good to see you again.
The Bastardi piece is only talking about extreme weather events, and the fact that regional weather patterns similar to those we are seeing now have happened before in the US, independent of long term trends in temperature or ocean heat content. The point is that the recent spate of extreme weather is not unprecedented, and that relative conditions, not absolute conditions, tend to cause extreme weather events. Your NOAA page does not address any of the points Bastardi was making. To the contrary, your NOAA reference acts to further amplify his points, since prolonged periods of extreme weather have happened before, even in the absence of global warming trends. Your NOAA page does not even mention the PDO or AO or their effects on storm intensity. Maybe I'll look up the ACE records later, but I'm feeling too lazy right now.
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
I agree that Bastardi is talking about severe weather but he links it to the heating and cooling of the oceans. He also predicts cooling.
"If you knew about the climate and nation's weather the way I have to, you would see the links between what happened from 1925 to 1950 and what is going on now. During that time, we were in a warm version of the Pacific Ocean, the Atlantic turned warm, and the weather went haywire."
"The Earth has been going through 30 years of a warm Pacific Ocean; that reversed in 2007 and, lo and behold, weather similar to the last time it happened showed up."
"...into what I referred to on national TV more than three years ago as "the Triple Crown of Cooling" and you have the recipe for what could be a rapid planetary cool-down beyond the forecast..."
Continued (I hate the character limit)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Jun 29, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
The solution is to address the predication.
The predication suggests two outcomes: warming and cooling.
What solution is to be acted upon now? And for what outcome?
Jun 30, 2011
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (6)
300/12 = 25 Years fools. One quarter Century.
R2
Jun 30, 2011
Rank: 2 / 5 (3)
For Howhot: What is the solution to be acted on now?
Specify and spell it out for us.
Commit yourself to a statement that leaves no room for interpretation or misunderstanding. Skip the derogatory.
Jun 30, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (4)
You are still missing his point. He is saying that when the PDO and AO change phase together it causes a bout of extreme weather. It's not about total ocean heat content. It's about regional conditions relative to other nearby regional conditions. You are saying that the change in the early 1900's was small and short, and that ocean heat content records don't go back that far.
You are looking at the wrong metric. Here's a graph of what he is talking about:
http://www.climat...rage.gif
The PDO is not the same thing as ocean heat content. Nice try with the straw man again though.
Jun 30, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (6)
So that is 300 months / 12 months/year = 25 years since there was a below normal average global temperature. Now that said, atmospheric CO2 levels are accelerating (due to developing countries bringing on new coal plants) and it is has been shown that global average temperatures lag behind, but track well with CO2 levels. Thus the "Hockey Stick" warning by Hansen and popularized by Gore is so frightening. I and many others find it as frightening that it's comparable to 6 mile asteroid striking the earth in 2025. The consequences of status quote are no less dangerous.
Solutions? I'm pessimistic given current climate of debate. Scientist have come to an agreement, as has the UN (mostly), but a few vocal opponents seem to keep the debate alive.
No one wants to change.
Jun 30, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (6)
How does that compare with today's CO2 levels? Also at what stage in ppm of CO2 do all of the feedback mechanisms start, like the release of methane gas from all of the melting permafrost mass?
Jun 30, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (6)
http://blogs.kqed...-primer/
Jun 30, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Jul 01, 2011
Rank: 2.2 / 5 (5)
http://bobtisdale...-part-3/
Note the emphasis here, that temperature doesn't follow the PDO. Bastardi isn't saying that it does either. He's saying that it strengthens the instability in north america that causes severe weather when it swings from positive to negative. He's suggesting a transitional effect. I don't know if he's right or not, but it could be credible from looking at the data.
Jul 01, 2011
Rank: 2 / 5 (4)
The source here is the Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean. Probably more reliable than Climate Watch.
http://jisao.wash...edu/pdo/
Jul 01, 2011
Rank: 2 / 5 (4)
Jul 01, 2011
Rank: 2 / 5 (5)
They deliberately removed the portion of the data that shows the relationship to the warming trend. You see the term "detrended" used a lot in climate science these days.
Jul 02, 2011
Rank: 2.7 / 5 (3)
Howhot:
The message:'Act Now', is a message of urgency. The message calls for solutions.
"Solutions? I'm pessimistic given current climate of debate. Scientist have come to an agreement, as has the UN (mostly), but a few vocal opponents seem to keep the debate alive.
No one wants to change." - Howhot
The whole debate skirts with the psychological disposition of everyone. As if, we only have a one-shot-deal to deal with a pending potential containing more than one outcome.
As if asking, is CO2 the 'culprit of culprits'? As if asking, if CO2 is not the 'culprit of culprits' what other recourses turns the tide?
The 'Act Now' message is not helpful. Is there such a thing as 'confident levels' for solutions? Maybe it is not helpful to talk about the 'psychological dispositions' of 'solutions' bearing the weight of human existence or extinction. To which I disagree. I believe the more confidence assigned any solution the better.
Jul 02, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Jul 03, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Not about solutions. Every time a climate discussion/debate/thread discusses solutions, the discussions/debates derail.
If science is bias free, then the solutions science offers is bias free.
We are ready for and accept any change if we believe this.
Jul 03, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
http://wattsupwit...han-co2/
http://climategat...and-co2/
The preceding comments address a very short time period. Recent phases of warm and cool periods last about 25 to 30 years. The late 30s were warn, the 70s were cool, 1998 was warm. We are still recovering from the Little Ice Age of 1350 to 1850 when millions died form the cold. Maybe it will get as warm as the Medieval, Roman, Minoan, or other warm periods in the last 12,000 years, when humanity thrived. Maybe sea level will rise as high as it has before in the sa
Jul 03, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
Maybe sea level will rise as high as it has before in the same time period. And maybe CO2 will rise from the level seen only 300 million years ago.
http://www.iceage...ence.htm
Jul 03, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
http://www.co2sci...tory.php
Ideologues promoting population control, one world government, social justice, redistribution of wealth (poverty), and greedy researchers and capitalist have adopted the AGW alarmist agenda.
Hush1 refers to a search for a solution. One solution: spend $8 quadrillion to forestall global warming by 1 degree.
http://wattsupwit...re-39048
Climate Change alarmists $50 billion. Honest climate scientists; $19 million.
http://epw.senate...FACB61A7
Over 900 peer reviewed articles by thousands of scientists disputing AGW.
http://www.popula...ing.html
Jul 03, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Jul 05, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Not at all. It is necessary to understand what it means when they do that though. The way howhot's reference site used the graph above was not honest, since they were using a detrended graph to show the lack of a trend. You can't take temperature out of a graph and then claim that it doesn't match the temperature graph. Duh.
The detrended graph isn't a trick. It's honest science, and usefull for the purpose it was intended. For what climatewatch was trying to show, they should have been using a graph that included the sea surface temperatures, not the detrended version of the data. Garbage in, garbage out. Climatewatch is just a blog though, so you've gotta always watch what you read in a blog. Then, since they left out the caption which said that it was detrened, it makes it hard for readers to spot the error. On purpose, probably.
Jul 05, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
If you have a preconception, bring it to the conversation.
If you're unwilling to change your mind when presented with facts, go start yourself a religion.
That's about all there is to say on the matter going forward.
Jul 05, 2011
Rank: 1.8 / 5 (5)
It is never that clear. Here's an example: Forest fires. Burn the underbrush every few years and you prevent big fires every 50 years. Good deal, right? Only then you realize that the big fires are essential for certain trees, and also for killing off beetles and other parasites which survive the small fires in the canopy. But if you allow the big fires, then you risk loss of human life and property. Similar situation with flood control. The answeres aren't always as easy as defining the problem. In terms of co2 it's just as hard. If you regulate co2 in the US it will have a tiny effect. If you regulate it in India, then even more people will die of hunger and disease there. What is the least of several evils? Do we have the right to decide for the poor people of the world, when they are the ones who pay the biggest price?
Jul 05, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (4)
It's called systems thinking.
All unintended consequences can not be anticipated.
Jul 05, 2011
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (6)
The "green" power faction is like any other usurper party to seize the destiny of humanity for its own perverted gain. The remarkable danger of this party is that it hides behind politicized "science" and requires us to submit to a belief system as justification for laws that harm the people.
Their laws will inevitably restrain the liberty of all except the party elite, while redirecting the wealth and production of our lives to themselves so they may live as robber-kings.
The temptation of absolute power has become irresistible to these destroyers of human liberty, and they are rushing the lines.
To those who mindlessly assault this forum on behalf of these usurpers, why do you hate your own race so much that you assist your enemies? They will not be your friend when they come to power, so where will you be for all your help to them?
Jul 05, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (3)
Jul 05, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
Personally I was happy to finally see a level-headed discussion on the topic for once, most likely precisely because of the lack of politics.
Jul 05, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
"...it is the political nonsense that is preventing clarity on the topic." - SH
Clarity. Climate change is beyond a reasonable doubt. O.k.
In a related thread we have:
http://www.physor...ina.html
"While climate change is a major threat, more research is required before society attempts global geoengineering solutions," - Analysis by Simone Tilmes of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo."
Clarity. Again. O.k.
Besides continuing research, what do we want?
The will to change is universal.
The universal will is not unanimous.
Jul 05, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (3)
Jul 05, 2011
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (3)
...Greenpeace, WWF or carbon trading investors.
The united nations is very much a special interest group with a conflict of interests in this case.
Jul 05, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (8)
And has been happening for millions of years.
Jul 06, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (4)
Actually, more research is a very realist solution as there needs to be some thought placed in that field on how to deal with global environmental issues. Some that I've read about that are interesting are making concrete that sequesters CO2.
The best hope would be to bio-engineer a super diatom that uses twice the CO2 of an ordinary diatom.
Human intervention really needs to be made on the supply side of CO2. After all, it is WE that are the culprits in the release of so much CO2 all at once! An unfortunately our side (the good side IMHO) can not seem to make an argument that republicans (aka right fringe) just won't reject.
So given that stalemate and lack of logic in the discourse, there is no solution.
Jul 06, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (4)
Lastly Carbon Traders? Capitalists in the truest sense of the word and the builder of a cap and trade model for engineering a controllable model sustainable growth in non-renewable energies.
What are your solutions then if these players are evil?
Jul 08, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)