Germany set to abandon nuclear power for good
March 23, 2011 By JUERGEN BAETZ , Associated Press
In this March 18, 2011 file photo, a traffic sign stands next to the nuclear power plant of Biblis, Germany. Germany stands alone among the world's leading industrialized nations in its determination to abandon nuclear energy for good because of the technology's inherent risk. Europe's biggest economy is betting billions on expanding the use of renewable energies to meet its demand instead. The transition was supposed to happen slowly over the next 25 years, but now it is being accelerated in the wake of Japan's Fukushima disaster. Chancellor Angela Merkel said the "catastrophe of apocalyptic dimensions" irreversibly marks the start of a new era. (AP Photo/Michael Probst,File)
(AP) -- Germany is determined to show the world how abandoning nuclear energy can be done.
The world's fourth-largest economy stands alone among leading industrialized nations in its decision to stop using nuclear energy because of its inherent risks. It is betting billions on expanding the use of renewable energy to meet power demands instead.
The transition was supposed to happen slowly over the next 25 years, but is now being accelerated in the wake of Japan's Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear plant disaster, which Chancellor Angela Merkel has called a "catastrophe of apocalyptic dimensions."
Berlin's decision to take seven of its 17 reactors offline for three months for new safety checks has provided a glimpse into how Germany might wean itself from getting nearly a quarter of its power from atomic energy to none.
And experts say Germany's phase-out provides a good map that countries such as the United States, which use a similar amount of nuclear power, could follow. The German model would not work, however, in countries like France, which relies on nuclear energy for more than 70 percent of its power and has no intention of shifting.
"If we had the winds of Texas or the sun of California, the task here would be even easier," said Felix Matthes of Germany's renowned Institute for Applied Ecology. "Given the great potential in the U.S., it would be feasible there in the long run too, even though it would necessitate huge infrastructure investments."
Nuclear power has been very unpopular in Germany ever since radioactivity from the 1986 Chernobyl disaster drifted across the country. A center-left government a decade ago penned a plan to abandon the technology for good by 2021, but Merkel's government last year amended it to extend the plants' lifetime by an average of 12 years. That plan was put on hold after the March 11 earthquake and tsunami compromised nuclear power plants in Japan, and is being re-evaluated as the safety of all of Germany's nuclear reactors is being rechecked.
Germany currently gets 23 percent of its energy from nuclear power - about as much as the U.S. It's ambitious plan to shut down its reactors will require at least euro150 billion ($210 billion) investment in alternative energy sources, which experts say will likely lead to higher electricity prices.
Germany now gets 17 percent of its electricity from renewable energies, 13 percent from natural gas and more than 40 percent from coal. The Environment Ministry says in 10 years renewable energy will contribute 40 percent of the country's overall electricity production.
The government has been vague on a total price tag for the transition, but it said last year about euro20 billion ($28 billion) a year will be needed, acknowledging that euro75 billion ($107 billion) alone will be required through 2030 to install offshore wind farms.
The president of Germany's Renewable Energy Association, Dietmar Schuetz, said the government should create a more favorable regulatory environment to help bringing forward some euro150 billion investment in alternative energy sources this decade by businesses and homeowners.
Last year, German investment in renewable energy topped euro26 billion ($37 billion) and secured 370,000 jobs, the government said.
After taking seven reactors off the grid last week, officials hinted the oldest of them may remain switched off for good, but assured consumers there are no worries about electricity shortages as the country is a net exporter.
"We can guarantee that the lights won't go off in Germany," Environment Ministry spokeswoman Christiane Schwarte said.
Most of the country's leaders now seem determined to swiftly abolish nuclear power, possibly by 2020, and several conservative politicians, including the chancellor, have made a complete U-turn on the issue.
Vice Chancellor Guido Westerwelle said Wednesday "we must learn from Japan" and check the safety of the country's reactors but also make sure viable alternatives are in place.
"It would be the wrong consequence if we turn off the safest atomic reactors in the world, and then buy electricity from less-safe reactors in foreign countries," he told the Passauer Neue Presse newspaper.
But Schuetz insists that "we can replace nuclear energy even before 2020 with renewable energies, producing affordable and ecologically sound electricity."
But someone will have to foot the bill.
"Consumers must be prepared for significantly higher electricity prices in the future," said Wolfgang Franz, head of the government's independent economic advisory body. Merkel last week also warned that tougher safety rules for the remaining nuclear power plants "would certainly mean that electricity gets more expensive."
The German utilities' BDEW lobby group said long-term price effects could not be determined until the government spells out its nuclear reduction plans. Matthes' institute says phasing out nuclear power by 2020 is feasible by better capacity management and investment that would only lead to a price increase of 0.5 cents per kilowatt-hour.
In Germany, the producers of renewable energy - be it solar panels on a homeowner's rooftop or a farm of wind mills - are paid above-market prices to make sure their investment breaks even, financed by a 3.5 cents per kilowatt-hour tax paid by all electricity customers.
For a typical German family of four who pay about euro1,000 ($1,420) a year to use about 4,500 kilowatt-hours, the tax amounts to euro157 ($223).
The tax produced euro8.2 billion ($11.7 billion) in Germany in 2010 and it is expected to top euro13.5 billion ($19.2 billion) this year. The program - which has been copied by other countries and several U.S. states such as California - is the backbone of the country's transition toward renewable energies.
"Our ideas work. Exiting the nuclear age would also be possible in a country like the U.S.," Schuetz said.
Another factor likely to drive up electricity prices is that relying on renewable energies requires a huge investment in the electricity grid to cope with more decentralized and less reliable sources of power. Economy Minister Rainer Bruederle just announced legislation to speed up grid construction but gave no cost estimate.
And even if non-nuclear power is more expensive, Germans seeing images daily of Japan's crippled Fukushima nuclear complex seem willing to pay the higher price.
Ralph Kampwirth, spokesman for Lichtblick AG, Germany's biggest utility offering electricity exclusively from renewable sources, said since the Fukushima disaster it has been getting nearly three times more new clients than normal, up from 300 to more than 800 per day, despite prices slightly above average.
Sticking with nuclear power would also have its costs and require public funds.
The only two new nuclear reactors currently under construction in Europe, in France and in Finland, both have been plagued by long delays and seen costs virtually doubling, to around euro4 billion ($5.7 billion) and euro5.3 billion ($7.5 billion) respectively.
The disposal of spent nuclear fuel is also a costly problem, but it has no set price tag in Germany because the government has failed to find a sustainable solution.
Many decades-old reactors are highly profitable as their initial cost has been written off, but they now face higher costs as regulators push for safety upgrades in the wake of the Fukushima disaster. One of the most pressing - and costly - requirements is likely to be a mandatory upgrade to reinforce all nuclear power plants' outer shell to withstand a crash of a commercial airliner.
Utility EnBW pulled the plug for good on one reactor temporarily shut down by the government because the new requirements made operating it "no longer economically viable."
But even if Germany abandons nuclear energy, some of Europe's 143 nuclear reactors will still sit right on its borders.
Since France and other nations are firmly committed to nuclear power, shutting down all reactors across Europe won't happen, but Merkel is now pushing for common safety standards. The topic will be discussed at the European Union summit in Brussels on Thursday and Friday.
Merkel said the 27-nation bloc, which has standardized "the size of apples or the shape of bananas," needs joint standards for nuclear power plants.
"Everybody in Europe would be equally affected by an accident at a nuclear power plant in Europe," Merkel said.
©2010 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 1.5 / 5 (8)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (10)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 3.3 / 5 (14)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 3.5 / 5 (8)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 2.6 / 5 (5)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 4.6 / 5 (8)
The Japaneese are smart folks. They engineered for the earth quake (which it survived), but apparently not for the tsunami. In obvious retrospect this was a poor choice of location for a reactor, but then, that is a cheap shot now in light of their loss. We shouldn't panic and consider nuclear power to be an unviable source of energy. However, we should learn from this event and consider that with a national network of high voltage DC lines - reactors don't have to be in high risk or high population areas. When it comes to energy there are no silver bullets, just risk vs. reward.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (6)
See the following map of power plants in California:
http://(omit)
.energy.ca.gov/maps/POWER_PLANTS_STATEWIDE.PDF
California only has around five coal power plants and their days are numbered. California does not import any power from other states derived from coal. They stopped doing so several years ago.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 2.6 / 5 (7)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 2 / 5 (1)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (4)
I advocate H20, gravity engines, teleporters and fusion power no later than 2050!
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 4.2 / 5 (5)
So, good luck. We'll see you when you come back.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (6)
....
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 3.2 / 5 (5)
Probably all of that.
You can also include biomass, which means more deforestation and soil erosion and water pollution, and more hydro power which means more methane emissions and more ruined landscape and animal habitats.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 4.2 / 5 (6)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (4)
It's very incorrect, there is an arbitrary amount of fissile material with current breeder technology and reprocessing in the environment.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 2.6 / 5 (7)
And where will they be in 50 years when their energy requirements are exponentially higher than they are now? Will they cover the entire country in panels and wind turbines?
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (3)
But they're also perilously close to the limit of how much "random power" from solar and wind they can reliably sink into the grid. Part of the reason why they do export a lot of energy, while still being utterly dependent on natural gas from Russia.
In theory, Germany could power itself completely with renewable 'average power', but then nobody else in Europe could. Just like Denmark - by living next to a powerhouse ten times bigger than yourself who can easily pick up the slack that you can't.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 3.5 / 5 (2)
They already have 17 GW of solar power installed, and it is producing 1.34 GW on average as of 2010 which means that for every square meter in germany, you can get about 10 Watts throughout the year.
Germany has 357,021 sq-km so 1% of that could produce 35.7 GW or roughly all of the electricity that they're using right now.
The area isn't a problem. The daily and seasonal variability is.
If you couldn't sell it to other countries, where would you put half a year's worth of electricity on a national scale, and from where would you take it back when its winter time again and the sun is low?
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 1.8 / 5 (5)
Global energy usage is doubling every twenty years AND accelerating at the same time...do the math.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 4.3 / 5 (3)
Yes, they developed them in the 70's and 80's.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (6)
What nonsense is that?
The energy per household is decreasing, yes in other parts of the world like china energy consumption might be rising because their economies are growing, but that has nothing todo with Germany.
Think about the uprising of LED's, more energy efficient devices etc.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 2.8 / 5 (4)
"Subsidies".... really? When are people going to realize that subsides to assets that don't pull their own weight just ties up the money and stagnates the economy. The best thing you can do with subsidies is direct it into R&D. That or tax breaks to companies that demonstrate better effeciency(through innovation) for their customers. Why are are Spain and Italy cutting back on their energy subsides? http://www.google...;qscrl=1
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 2.6 / 5 (5)
False. Germany's along with EVERY other country on the face of the planet's energy consumption is rising steadily and will continue to do so as long as civilization continues to advance.
Ever heard of the Kardashev scale? It's a good general guide to "where your civilization is" because it's based on the basic defining factor of ANY technical civilization...power usage.
Here's the stats on Germany hope the spam filters don't mess it up...
http://data.un.or...mID%3aEC
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (3)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (4)
Can't read?
Here ya go.
Germany Electricity - total net installed capacity of electric power plants, public & self-producer 2007 Kilowatts, thousand 132,593
Germany Electricity - total net installed capacity of electric power plants, public & self-producer 2006 Kilowatts, thousand 131,584
Germany Electricity - total net installed capacity of electric power plants, public & self-producer 2005 Kilowatts, thousand 125,031
Germany Electricity - total net installed capacity of electric power plants, public & self-producer 2004 Kilowatts, thousand 124,574
Germany Electricity - total net installed capacity of electric power plants, public & self-producer 2003 Kilowatts, thousand 125,057
Germany Electricity - total net installed capacity of electric power plants, public & self-producer 2002 Kilowatts, thousand 126,255
There's plenty more but you can only do so much with 1000 chars.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 1.3 / 5 (3)
http://www.nation...ate=2004
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (4)
Still doesn't prove your point. Installed capacity is not the same as used capacity. The electricity use in Germany has gone up about 7.9% since 2003 in absolute terms, but for the past 4 years has stagnated and even gone down slightly.
Part of the reason is that the coefficient of power for renewable energy is absolutely s**t. Wind power makes 15-25% of its nominal capacity, solar power makes 8-9% of its nominal capacity. You have to overbuild massively to get energy out of it.
Another part is the fact that the EROEI of many sources of energy is decreasing, so to make an unit of energy takes more energy than before and that shows up indirectly as increased consumption, even though no more energy would be needed if you discounted the losses.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (6)
http://www.eia.do...0%29.pdf
For Europe, the average annual change has been estimated at 0.2% so 20 years from now we would use...
4% more energy than now! Wow, what a shocker!
Asia on the other hand would be at +74% of today's figures.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (4)
Yes. Its one of the main reasons for the explosive grow of solar in germany.
Think about the costs to the government of non-renewable energy, specificly medical costs, cleaning costs etc.
It makes the solar devices economicly viable, there are companies that "rent" peoples roofs to put their solar panels on.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 2.5 / 5 (2)
Also think about the greying of countries for ex the UK, that would put the energy consumption down alot.
But countries like Germany and the Netherlands see alot of settling immigrants, and a slight economical grow of Computer Technology(think Data Centers) that put the % slighty more up.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 3.3 / 5 (6)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (4)
Your opinions are biased by current technology. Germany intends to invest in new power generating technology.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (6)
If you breath in one piece of plutonium smaller that you can see it can get stuck in your lungs or throat and cause cancer and lead to death. Even though the radiation meter says it is reading low for this same piece of dust at one meter. Nobody has said what the dark cloud was yesterday coming from the plutonium reactor #3 blowing inland. Not measuring what is in that cloud is sloppy science which can lead to death. Germany is finally on the right path. No private investor will invest in nuclear because of the high liability. No insurance company will insure them. In the US the taxpayer is forced to pay the insurance and the cleanup for hundreds of years. The whole thing is insane.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (3)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 3.9 / 5 (7)
If anything, it should be spurring a new wave of reactor building, with every Gen II reactor being replaced with a Gen III+ or Gen V thorium reactors, eliminating the risk of Gen II reactors while providing for more, and greener, electricity.
Ban Gen II designs, mandate they all be off-line and demolished in five years, but don't go cold-turkey off nuclear until fusion is viable. Otherwise, you're just going to be burning more coal and natural gas.
Coal, working properly, releases sulfur, radioactive soot, and mercury. More men die coal mining every year than have ever died from nuke plant disasters. Fracking releases toxins and radioactivity into the water supply. And all fossil fuels are reaching, if they haven't already, their peak. We need dependable, long-term electricity, and it ain't wind or solar.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (5)
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
Not that huge. Part of the Pacific DC intertie goes through the very NW corner of some property I own in NW Nevada. See: h_t_t_p://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pacific_DC_Intertie
Actually HVDC is an excellent way to transmit power long distances (think of power plants in low population and low risk areas) and is a logical solution for system redundancy and a nation-wide power network.
Mar 23, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
Yeah. I check it out and you are right. I was thinking about Edison and Tesla back in the 1800s and how Tesla's AC won out over Edison's DC. But, today with the direct current solar cell systems, etc., HVDC is the way to go, unless the load/feeders are mainly alternating current. Plus, the power is cleaner with much less electromagnetic radiation pollution.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
lol
Thank you. An old folk German proverb:
They can only cook with water, as well.
Out of laziness, paraphrased.
We provided the notes, when our Italian neighbors excelled the world with Italian music instrument building craftsmanship. Always that artistic touch.
We have no idea if they overextended their handwork of the past with their cold fusion craftsmanship of today.
Cold fusion and superconductivity becoming viable at the same time staggers the imagination.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
I will wait to see how this develops before i judge this plan.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (3)
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 4.2 / 5 (5)
Solar, wind, wave and biomass (ther is enough 'garbage' biomass to fuel this so that no extra agricultural output is needed.
You don't like it when people export their high tech? Going green will create lots of jobs (green power is highly decentralized). It will also create a lot of know-how others will want once the oil/coal/nuclear runs out or becomes politically undesirable.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (4)
Kind of ironic. They invented it.
The test reactor leaked radiation and management tried to cover this up by blaming it on Chernobyl.
So, Pebbles aren't save and organizations cant be trusted. Two huge no's for nuclear energy.
J.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (5)
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (6)
That depends entirely on how you count.
Yes, you do have 17% of your capacity in renewable energy, but e.g. your solar capacity only produces 2% of the demand.
That's because, like I pointed out before, the coefficient of power for renewable energies is poor. You get 10% what it says on the nameplate on average.
Same thing in Denmark. They have over 20% of their capacity in wind power, yet only 3% of the country's demand is being met directly by renewable energy. Divide 3 by 20 and you get 15 which is quite close to the actual Cp of wind power. They do make a bit more out of wind, but they have to sell it to Norway because they can't use it directly.
You have to look through the smoke and mirrors to understand how these things work.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (4)
You're not actually exporting high tech. The subsidies for solar energy are, at the moment, leaking to China because people are buying cheaper older tech solar panels to get more profit from the subsidies.
The system has been rigged so that as solar power becomes more profitable and starts to break even economically, the subsidies would slowly vanish. The problem of this design is that if you can get solar panels cheaply somewhere, it pays you huge sums of money to install old tech panels in large quantities right now when the money is still flowing.
The end result is that tax payers lose money, don't get much electricity, and the technology isn't going anywhere because no money is spent on R&D.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (3)
Solar panels are actually the smallest part of the alternative energy generated over here. (Although their use doubled just in the last year they still only contribute 2% to the total)
Spending on R&D has nbeen slashed by 700million Euros this year. A wildly unpopular move. Expect that to be reversed come the next elections.
However, if you look at nuclear and calculate all costs (excluding accidents) you get an energy cost of 2EUR per kWh. This is WAY beyond any cost of alternative energy sources - subsidies or no.
Looking at coal/oil (and the possible costs due to global wwarming/rsiing sea levels) the figures don't look any better. alternative energy sources are, in the long run, a lot cheaper than the 'conventional' ones.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 4.3 / 5 (4)
Any reputable peer-reviewed articles on that one?
I have seen one crackpot document circulated around the net, but that's it.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (3)
That's true, but as of 2009 wind power contributed only 6.5% to the total demand, so it's not that much more.
And these are the particular technologies that the government is planning to use to increase the share of renewable energy in the grid.
Because the problem with agricultural waste and biomethane etc. is that there's just so much to go around. It's very low intensity energy that takes a lot to produce.
For example, if you would turn the toilet waste of every Swede into methane, you could power about 10,000 cars and that's it. No more. 9 million people pooping to power a handful of cars.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 4.5 / 5 (2)
A car uses a lot more power than you do (on average) in your home. And there are a lot more biofuel sources available than poop.
Plus: In germany total energy use has actually decreased over the past years (combination of declining population numbers, better effiency and the economics slump)
Off shore windfarms are just getting started. There is a LOT of potential there. And wave/current energy hasn't even been tried yet. The possibilites in those areas alone are huge.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
And have you yet solved the problem of how to use that energy, or do you just plan to sell it like Denmark does and then buy nuclear energy back from France?
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
A car would use about 2 MWh of energy per year directly, and turned into methane that would be about 6 MWh a year. 10,000 cars would therefore equal 60 GWh a year. The total energy consumption of Sweden is 376 TWh a year in 2010, so that would represent about 0.1% of their demand.
That puts things in scale.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
Like about 80% of the time, when you're talking about wind power. Let me quote:
http://en.wikiped...nd_power
There's a simple physical reason to that. The power of wind increases to the cube of its speed, so it works in a rather on/off fashion. Furthermore, the probability of windspeeds is towards the lower end of the spectrum, so you get the power surge effect. When it's turning, it really turns. When it doesn't, it doesn't do much. Most of the time it doesn't.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
http://www.nerc.c..._eng.pdf
They aren't trying to sugar coat it, because they have to deal with it.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
Finland, which has virtually no wind or solar energy, or the potential for biomass production except for the forest industry, produces 240 grams for every kWh.
Germany is at 600 g/kWh and Denmark is ironically at 840 grams per kWh according to the 2005 estimates of the IEA.
The correlation here is with the use of renewable energy - it seems the more a country tries to be ecological by employing renewables and shunning nuclear power, the more it fails.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
@Frago:
Glad to see you have joined a subject that is more important than talking about religious this and religious that. Skeptic Heretic and Ethelred should jump into this subject as well because there are so many politicians and many elite who are trying to pull a fast one. Natural gas power generation can pickup any slack that those nukeheads are trying to push over on us. There are other techs coming down the pike as well. Offshore wind turbines instead of offshore drilling sounds like a great idea. They may not be as attractive; however movie stars will not have to worry about gooey stuff getting stuck between their toes while walking along the beach with paparazzi following them.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
@Eikka:
Do you work for a nuclear forum getting paid to say these things? I wonder about people in the media as well getting paid under the table. I do not get your point. You are so negative towards anything but nuclear. What is your problem? Germans got sucker by Adolf Hitler and I guess the media pulled a fast one on the German public as well. Germany had decided to go green and then all the sudden they changed their minds and announced that they had scrapped their plans and where going to build bunches of nuke plants. I am glad to see they have come to their senses. Maybe the media over there should be reprimanded. At about the same time the UK changed their minds too. I wonder why the UK changed their minds?
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
Off shore it does. And if you spread your windmills accross the country then the wind blows somewhere, always. We already had a long running test of a grid connecting some twenty odd power plants all over germany including solar, wind and biomass to cover base loads all year round. It worked. Biomass was only used intermittently to tide over when wind. This urban legend of "wind doesn't blow, sun doesn't shine" just won't die - even in the face of tests and facts.
The larger your grid (and the grid over here is connected accross all of Europe) the less there is any variability due to _local_ lack of wind and sunshine.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 1.3 / 5 (4)
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (3)
Strike that, reverse it...
In the end the ONLY viable long term option is fusion. Fission will work fine too, but after the maturation of the technology will probably be more expensive and more "dangerous" than fusion.
Wind and solar, will NEVER provide enough energy for an advancing highly technical civilization. Burning bio matter lines the pockets of crazed religious zealots hell bent on raining nuclear fire on people who are likely to respond in kind and drag the rest of the world into it...
But it IS kind of funny to see people flailing about trying to make solar and wind into something it will NEVER be. Good luck with all that.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
Then why go there?
Maybe you should think about how to make coal clean or is that beyond your capability, not to say that is the only option?
continued
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
There are many more options!
Note: Fusion sounds like the best option. Let us all put our minds and money into the tech and make it a reality! But for the time being, let's forget about nuclear fission.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
h_t_t_p://www.duke-energy.com/power-plants/pumped-storage-hydro/bad-creek.asp
The energy stored in the water in the upper lake is used to generate power as needed. The down side in this particular instance is that you can't really use these smaller lakes for alternative purposes such as boating or sailing. Larger lakes though could benefit from this technique.
Mar 24, 2011
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Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
Hydropower is the keyword people who are interested should research. See the following Wikipedia link:
http://en.wikiped...dropower
Waterwheels, mini-dams are other keywords for people to search. There is gold in that water that people can make that they are watching going down stream.
Half-dams are good for those who want fish to go upstream.
Mar 24, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
http://en.wikiped...iki/DEMO
There is gold in that water that people can make that they are watching go downstream.
Half-dams are also good for boats that want to go up and downstream. I am making this up, though it does sound good.
Mar 26, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (5)
Why is this person leading a country?
Mar 26, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
The smile.
The irony.
The Sun.
Knows socialism first hand?
Is a woman?
Is a scientist?
Can be the first leader ever on maternity leave?
Takes the pill?
(Strike that last one - dunno)
Mar 26, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
Obama is trying to do the same thing with fission nuke electric power. It is a big time money business.
All one needs to do is to follow the money. See the following article about GE who makes nuke plants and owns one of the big media conglomerates:
http://(omit).thetakeaway.org/2011/mar/25/ges-tax-return-billion/
Chancellor Angela Merkel or her party is up for re-election. Physorg.com has some articles about that over the last couple of days. People who are concerned may want to connect the dots.
Mar 26, 2011
Rank: 3.4 / 5 (5)
Frajo, your statement is not restricted to the Germans only; it applies to everyone worldwide including yourself.
For this very reason, I recommend that you restrict your favor for nuclear to yourself.
Don't forget that the Germans lent a major contribution to the development of nuclear rechnology. You seem to have a high preference for some of their technological contributions while at the same time refuting others. On what basis do you make your decisions?
Mar 26, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
With FUSION nuclear power only two decades away and with the USA having all its natural gas reserves that could be used to power gas turbines, then why would anyone in their right mind start building 200 fission nuclear power plants as some in congress are proposing?
Mar 26, 2011
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Seriously though, I don't know anyone in their right mind. lol
Mar 26, 2011
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But why did you strip that quote of its context? With its context included you would be wrong.
Thanks for the recommendation, but what makes you think I favour "nuclear"?
Which German contributions? What makes you think so? Which German contributions did I refute? Which decisions?
Mar 27, 2011
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Mar 27, 2011
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Our attitude to this is much like the americans' atitude to criticism of what they do: Who cares what others think?
Whether that's right or wrong is up to each person to decide. Personally I think it's prudent to at least consider opinions of outsiders. But utimately people are individuals. So why should an entire people care (or be made responsible for) how some individuals think or behave?
Mar 27, 2011
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Mar 27, 2011
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Sind Sie Deutscher? Ich bin Deutscher.
(Are you German? I am German.)
Anyway, JFK's "Ich bin ein Berliner!" gaffe is still an all-time classic. I wonder to this day, if anyone one told him.
lol :)
Mar 27, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
Probably a lot, and ironically, it wasn't a gaffe.
He was speaking figuratively, so of course he had to use "ein".
Mar 27, 2011
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I've seen those tests by E.on as well, and it isn't quite how you make it seem. It takes an area of about a 1000 kilometers in diameter to have any sort of reliability for wind power, and the transmission losses at that distance are huge. That's why there's been proposals for the European supergrid using HVDC and superconductive power lines. Even so, you need pretty much the whole continent from north to south and even then it is somewhat probable that the grid will black out entirely at times.
And the problem of solar energy isn't that the sun doesn't shine, but that the sun only shines when it's daytime, and fixed photovoltaic panels are further limited to just a couple hours of that, because of their inherent limitations. (angle of incidence related problems)
Mar 27, 2011
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Mar 27, 2011
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Mar 27, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
Ah, none?
Maybe the gaffe threw them all of track. ;)
Mar 27, 2011
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(typo) (gaffe!)lol
Mar 27, 2011
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O.k. Interesting. I have never heard that explanation until now.
Mar 27, 2011
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Mar 27, 2011
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Urban legend. It was not a gaffe. It's correct german.
Only if you willfully try to superimpose the secondary meaning of 'Berliner' as the pastry of the same type is it a 'gaffe'. But in Berlin, where the speech was held, the 'Berliner' pastry is not known as a 'Berliner' - there it is referred to as a 'Krapfen'. So the crowd would not even have been aware of any _possible_ gaffe.
Mar 27, 2011
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That depends.
There is no consensus in psychology when exactly a denial phase begins or ends. ;)
Mar 27, 2011
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Sind Sie Zweisprachig?
It's not 'correct' German. You are rationalizing.
is being more than presumptuous.
Mar 27, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
Of all the power sources discussed, you all left out Geothermal.
WHY,WHY,WHY? Although initial outlay is substantial, utilizing "abandoned" wells are halfway 'there' already (?).
Because this energy source is EVERYWHERE, source to destination paths can be of minimal length. With a deep enough well, a coaxial pipeline can produce indefinitely.
I suspect a subsidy for initial development could be well worth the result compared to other subsidies. This ommision I myself find staggering.
Please, if any of you can answer constructively as to why this is not considered seriously beyond Norway, Iceland, Some locations in the US and the Phillopines, I would love to hear it.
Mar 27, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
Yes. And I am german, living in germany (english is my second language).
Saying that "Ich bin ein Berliner" is a gaffe would be like trying to say that:
"We'll have a gay old time..." (from the opening lyrics of the Flintstones cartoon) is a gaffe because 'gay' means 'fun' but also 'homosexual'.
When a citizen of Berlin comes up to you and says: "Ich bin ein Berliner" then what he means is not ambiguous and nobody in germany would laugh because of any possible double meaning of the word 'Berliner'.
Mar 27, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
The average ground heat is only about 0.1 Watts per square meter, and you have to drill kilometers down to get enough temperature to boil water, so it is only viable in places where the earth's mantle is already close to the surface because that gives off heat a lot faster.
On the average spot with a 2-3 km hole straight down, you could extract the heat for a couple decades before the rock cools down too much and you have to abandon the hole for the next hundred years.
Mar 28, 2011
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Mar 28, 2011
Rank: 2 / 5 (1)
Mar 28, 2011
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Mar 28, 2011
Rank: 4.3 / 5 (4)
For efficient use of nuclear fuel resources and management of new and existing "waste", and to provide energy for hundreds to thousands of years into the future, we need some fast neutron reactors.
In all likelihood, and as mentioned above, Germany's path to shut down their power plants will result in their importing more energy (from France perhaps, LOL!) and higher prices. Germany might be doing this to "advertise" alternative energy products they hope to be exporting to the world, but just as likely it is a bunch of frightened eco-minded special interest groups who are leveraging current events into a grab for political power.
However, I predict that as the studies come in and the numbers are crunched, this plan will slowly just fade away as different hot topics take attention away from it.
Mar 28, 2011
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I don't know why that is constantly being tossed between being 'orphaned' and adapted. Maybe there are reservations about the commitments involved.
Mar 28, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
Mar 28, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
Because it's not really dangerous at all, hence my quotes. Moreover we're probably 50-100 years away from realistic commercial fusion. We really should do something other than oil or coal in the mean time.
I don't think coal is "dirty"...non-sequitir. I don't care if we burn coal from now till hell freezes over, unless we start buying it from Islamic fascist psychopaths.
No, I propose to use fission rather than oil, which robs evil of it's money. What didn't you understand about that?
(cont).
Mar 28, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Such as...
No let's not forget about the most viable option open to us. It's safer than oil, or coal. Granted it's not as safe as solar or wind, but solar and wind are never going to cut it.
Mar 28, 2011
Rank: 2 / 5 (1)
There are a few areas that the industry needs to focus on to get our power requirements under control.
1. Efficiency of Production, solar mostly - Solar is the best possible source when you think about it. You just have to catch it, and football field sized solar farms are not possible everywhere. Increase to 50% and solar could be about all we need. The low end is about 6% and the high is 20% right now. When a skyscrapers roof covered in panels, and all the windows covered in solar film, can provide all of the power for lighting and heating/cooling, that would be great
Our buildings btw are very very bad. There is some work being done to make them more efficient but it has a long way to go.
2. Eff. of power use. If we used 1/3 of the power to do the same stuff, there goes your problem. Change your lights to cfs, don't buy cheap and you won't be sorry.
3. Power storage, ultra high capacity storage to deal with the days where its rainy.
Mar 28, 2011
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Fusion would be nice, but I don't see it happening any time soon. the timeline has been "in 30 years we'll have commercially available fusion" for the past 50 years or so.
Mar 28, 2011
Rank: 3.5 / 5 (2)
And while energy demand grows, the real winner is the fossil fuel mining and burning industry, which I suspect played a major behind the scene roll in sabotaging Nuclear and promoting "solar+wind".
Why promote "solar+wind" if your are the coal industry? Because people who don't understand base-load requirements and principles of energy density and flow design. Coal especially is going to be the "go-to" energy source when "solar+wind" doesn't deliver. And America has lots of coal!
If nuclear had progressed as most industries do, the reactors designed back in the 50's with slide rulers would have all been replaced with vastly more efficient and less polluting and safer reactors. But no, politics got involved and the environment is going to suffer because of it.
Mar 28, 2011
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Mar 28, 2011
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Articles like the one published March 27th by Physorg.com titled "Debut of the first practical 'artificial leaf'" will go a long way in the future to making homes self-reliant energy producers. See link:
http://.physorg.com/news/2011-03-debut-artificial-leaf.html
Solar cells and solar thermal panels have proven to work extremely well in many areas, and they are becoming more efficient every year.
PROTO fusion reactors are estimated to be commercially viable starting in 2050. With more interest and funds they could possibly become available sooner.
Right now, natural gas, coal gas and methaine gas are excellent sources for power generation.
Why make a few people rich with nuclear fission when the wealth can be spread around putting a lot of people to work?
Mar 28, 2011
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Mar 28, 2011
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"The Myth of the Hydrogen Economy" by Dale Allen Pfeiffer.
"Puncturing the Hydrogen Fuel Myth" by Brandon Keim.
"Hydrogen's Dirty Secret" by Barry C. Lynn.
Ug? Are you an Eskimo?
Mar 29, 2011
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Mar 29, 2011
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In germany (a heavily industrialized nation) energy demand has dropped in the past years.
Being an electrical engineer I am well aware of these things. But a recent large scale trial over here showed that a combination of solar, wind, water and biogas power plants can easily supply base loads all year round. If you factor in all the ecological fallout and ancillary costs from coal/oil/nuclear then this network of powerplants was EASILY cost competitive.
Mar 29, 2011
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kombikraftwerk.de/index.php?id=27
Mar 29, 2011
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(We agree)
I am German, as well.
I enjoyed this thread very much.
I especially found antialias and eikka comments insightful.
Mar 29, 2011
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There was also no analysis of how much hydro and bio-gas is available to compensate for when wind and solar aren't producing.
And one thing any industrialist will point out, it is always going to be more expensive when the inherent design is that there will be times of "idle", where your expensive equipment isn't doing anything.
Mar 29, 2011
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That is where natural gas can play a large role in at least the U.S., though it contibutes more to greanhouse gases.
Physorg had an interesting article today titled "Making Liquid Power." The link is as follows:
http://physorg.co...wer.html
Mar 29, 2011
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Mar 30, 2011
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Mar 30, 2011
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Haven't looked into that, yet. Off the top of my head I'd say it doesn't really solve the problem associated with coal (at least the CO2 issue). What it does in terms of other issues (radioactivity released into the atmosphere, etc. ) I honestly have no idea.
We might keep a few coal power plants around for prolonged periods of low output from alternative power plants. But when you start placing alternative power plants all over the place then those periods are ever more unlikely. Maybe the wind doesn't blow where a particular powerplant is - but it always blows _somewhere_.
Mar 30, 2011
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The problem I see is if the U.S. were to suddenly move away from coal, then a lot of people would be out of work. Yes, clean coal sounds sort of like a joke, but maybe there is a way to use some of it while it gradually fades away into new less polluting tech?
Mar 30, 2011
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So? Is that all the excuse you have in the face of inviting global disaster? Jobs? Are really saying this with a straight face?
And you think building alternative power plants, energy storage systems, maintaining them and refining/researching the tech won't create jobs and chances for export oriented businesses (something the US desparately needs. Can't rely on exporting nothing but weapons forever)?
Should the US have kept operator switchboards around just because atomatic switching of phone calls put switchboard operators out of a job?
Mar 30, 2011
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Almost anything is better than fission nuclear power. I was thinking more of gradually phasing out of the fossil fuel business, because none of these new techs are going to replace everything overnight. Electric cars sound great, but they cost $10,000 to $20,000 more and they have limited milage range if they are not hybrid. I do not see electric semi-trucks coming anytime soon, so natural gas, biogas and coal gas should be considered in the meantime to help clean the air ASAP. Then we could go on with trains, etc..
Mar 30, 2011
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Mar 30, 2011
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more
Mar 30, 2011
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This is change America cannot afford.
Corruption and stupidity are the keywords to this story.
Mar 31, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
You fill? Yes you do that a lot.
I FEEL that years from now we'll look back at the deriders and over regulators of nuclear power as people responsible for an economy in ruins due to the insane costs involved with other power production (excluding fossil fuels) and listening to left wing commie wannabe troglodytes who worship the environment as their God with their only mantra that solar and wind power will (somehow) power a civilization more technically advanced than Mid evil Europe....
Mar 31, 2011
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- take away all the subsidies (which are paid for by your taxes)
- include the cost for securing and storing all the resulting gunk (which are paid for by your taxes)
And this even EXCLUDES costs from possible misshaps, ecological fallout due to uranium mining, and the tax burden on a hundred generations into the future for the storage/security of the waste.
If you look at it in the light of total cost to YOU then we arrive at a figure in excess of 2$ per kWh.
Using alternative power sources is not only environmentally (and politically) beneficial - it also makes a lot of fiscal sense.
And since you're such a stickler for spelling: it's 'medieval'
Mar 31, 2011
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Mar 31, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
The "gunk" can be reprocessed and reused significantly reducing costs of both mining and sequestration. Over regulation is a huge problem for the nuclear industry too.
If you have some unbiased figures on the cost of nuclear power minus the heavy handed regulators and costs of sequestration vs. unsubsidized wind and solar be my guest. You talk the talk, do you walk the walk?
Mar 31, 2011
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Mar 31, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Indeed. Which post provided a link to such a source? Could you please re-post it?
Mar 31, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
Mar 31, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
You have a method of reusing radioactive waste? Let's hear it: the world is all ears.
You mean figures which are _even more_ biased in favor of nuclear energy? We coudl include all the ecological and ancillary costs of accidents and the costs of dismantling nuclear power planst (after letting them sit and cool off enough for thirty years - all the while guarding them)...and then you'll get a figure substantially higher than 2$/kWh.
Do you have any idea what Fukushima is costing Japan economically? And what it will continue to cost it in the future (all the food that will have to be imported, maybe even water for years to come. Land area totally unusable, loss in tourist revenue for the region around fukushim for the next few centuries, decline in fishing, ... )
Mar 31, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
I liked this German's take on Fukushima: YouTube v=m0uUtJz9RZY
I think solar is the long-term future, but it's not yet economical compared to wind. I don't see fusion ever working, nor is it "clean"... the intense neutron flux from D-T fusion makes everything radioactive. Tritium's also $20k/gram.
WRT coal... it's more nuclear waste per kwh than nuclear. It kills tens of thousands every year. Coal can make towns uninhabitable; see Centralia, PA. Bad juju.
Eventually I think nuclear will be relegated to niches like naval propulsion, deep space, etc. But it's the lesser evil for now.
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: 3.8 / 5 (4)
Spent fuel can be used directly in a CANDU reactor, or it can be re-enriched for PWR reactors.
Mostly it's U238 which is breedable to Pu239. Rest is short-lived transuranics / actinides that can be transmuted away with a breeder.
That's >99% of the "waste" recycled.
Transmutation: the power to make lead from gold! (irony)
Dismantling costs are; ancillary costs should be.
A lot less than the quake/tsunami. (btw, what do you think a hydro dam break costs?)
The area farms/fishing/tourism weren't very large-scale. The largest costs are the blackouts and lost productivity.
The radiation will disperse, not ruin it forever and turn it into Fallout 3. (see Hiroshima, Nagasaki, Pripyat)
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
It was a (failed) attempt at a PR stunt because 2 weeks after Fukushima happened there were two importnat state elections in germany (in both of which the CDU lost big time and the Green party won big time).
The minister of Economy (Brüderle) openly admitted to heads of industry in a leaked meeting minutes that it was all a PR stunt.
There's no way that in a 3 month moratorium you can check all nuclear rreactors for safety issues. that takes a year at least. Until now they haven't even specified WHAT they will be checking. She had hoped that everything would blow over in 3 months and that they could just go on like before.
Which is a REALLY bad idea. While U238 is already a bitch to store, PU239 is incredibly problematic. Once that gets out into the open then you have wide stretches of landscape (and ground water) which are unusable for millennia.
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
You think PU 239 is not waste?
Not really. Even with the 7 reactors curently offline germany is a net exporter of energy. If we follow the original (pre-Merkel) plan then we'll shut down the last reactor in 2021 (which I think is a reasonable timeline). Even without additional impulses to the solar/wind/biogas industry we'll have replaced those capacities by then.
Very little by comparison. Remember that you can use the land after a hydro dam break again almost immediately. If 5% of the Japanese agricultural land stays contaminated for thousands of years then you can do the math on how many trillions that is in lost income.
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
http://en.wikiped...ocessing
http://en.wikiped..._Reactor
That took five seconds of google time...
"The World" has known about this for a long time. Catch up.
So you don't have any then...
They don't exist, I've been there and done that too. You're a liar.
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
You don't have to store plutonium of any kind, IFRs can burn ALL actinides.
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
The figures for subidies to the DoE are available.
e.g. this source
nationalaglawcenter.org/assets/crs/RS22858.pdf
cites figures from the DoE that cumulative funding for nuclear has been, to date, 5 times that of solar funding.
Other sources cite the DoE as:
"The DOE has calculated that the US will spend more than 1,000 billion dollars over the next 70 to 100 years "
...for the storage alone. Given that we need to store stuff for hundreds of thousands of years and we have no clue how to build a container that is stable for more than, say, 500 (excluding accidental damage) this is all rather academic. The cost of something we cannot do is virtually infinite.
Apr 01, 2011
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No, I think Pu239 is a valuable isotope. Possibly the most valuable substance on the planet. It is the best isotope for weapons production and makes fine reactor fuel as well.
Won't you need energy storage for baseline demand? And what about replacing coal?
If you look at the Fukushima area and plot 10km, 20km, etc on Google Earth, it's not that much land. And how can it stay contaminated for thousands of years when Hiroshima and Nagasaki are fine and levels are dropping fast at Pripyat?
People fled Fukushima to Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Ironic, no?
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
Germany has lots of coal. Coal gas, clean coal technology is something Germany should consider.
H2O power and gravity engines will be the energy of choice within fifty years, as well as fusion.
Apr 01, 2011
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It would be foolish of me to call them impossible, but they would represent a very large jump in efficiency over current tokamaks. Surely you must admit their goals are at least very ambitious. I think that large of a jump forward cannot be predicted with confidence.
I think it will be very difficult for them to beat the other form of fusion power economically-- solar, where we sponge off the giant fusion reactor in the sky.
Everyone has lots of coal, other than maybe Japan. (see Hashima Island... pretty unreal pictures) But it's never truly clean. Even sequestered, still more nuclear waste than nuclear.
$10 says in 50 years we're still burning lots of coal. The dirty kind.
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
The soil won't be contaminated for thousands of years. The contaminating isotopes and the magnitude of contamination do not have half lives that would suggest the land would be useless for thousands of years as you suggest.
Not trying to downplay the event, but hyperbolic assumptions are unnecessary. The tsunami and earthquake impact far outweighs the impact of the nuclear event at this point.
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
I bet you are wrong.
My new motto is: Stop blowing your smoke and radiation in my face.
Apr 01, 2011
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Did you know in 1900 people were saying it would be hundreds to thousands of years before man would fly only to learn four years later that the Wright Brother did it? Go figure? You need to learn math and common sense.
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
I saw no problems, I read the un-sourced paragraph at the end where it says "some believe...". Not convincing at all. You must have selective reading (where they talked about Synroc etc)...
As it should be. Just like young earth creationists should be getting less research money than astrophysicists.
Which?
No we don't, we can burn it. Can't you read?
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
You misunderstand me.
If every prediction in energy was true, nuclear would give us power too cheap to meter, solar would cost almost nothing and be on every roof, cold fusion would generate crazy amounts of power, and fusion would be outperforming fission.
But you know what? We're still burning a lot of coal.
Really, I'm all for getting rid of coal. But I'm also skeptical and jaded.
If they manage to trot out commercial fusion, naquadah reactors, or zero point modules, or whatever, I'll be quite impressed. But I think it's far more likely that in 50 years, coal will still be used. Unfortunately.
Apr 01, 2011
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In fairness to zee German, we can burn it... but we don't. So we still have to do something.
Historically, yes. The US was the primary developer of nuke tech for a very long time. Back in the day we were developing fission rockets for space travel, nuclear powered cars, all kinds of crazy stuff. (and people say government funding never gets you anything)
Medical and industrial isotopes, even those neat little tritium keychain fobs... all the nuclear stuff you enjoy today, most came from US government research.
But currently? Solar has far higher subsidies per kwh and gets more R&D dollars. Cold war spending is irrelevant.
And it's not as if Germany never spent any cash here either. Reichmarks count too. The uranium club? Heisenberg? Norwegian D2O? Uncle Sam is in ur u-boat, readin ur enigmas.
Apr 01, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
http://en.wikiped..._ethanol
Apr 02, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (2)
We have to burn it. Why are we still talking about this?
Apr 04, 2011
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The radioactive isotopes that are spreading and are being detected at long distances from the reactors are iodine-131 and cesium-134 and cesium-137. The half lives of these isotopes are significantly lower than thousands of years (iodine is within weeks and cesium within ~30 years or so I believe... still long, but not thousands of years long).
Again, I'm not saying the current situation isn't serious and that there isn't contamination, but it won't be "thousands of years" before the land can be used. Just because you don't believe it doesn't make it untrue.
It is highly unlikely that there will be widespread contamination of farmland with long lived isotopes given the current situation in Japan.
Apr 04, 2011
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German leaders have considerable experience in apocalyptic catastrophy.
Apr 05, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
"Germany set to abandon nuclear power for evil"
There! I think that better captures the spirit of the thing...