Shining light on asteroid deflection
Asteroid Apophis was discovered on June 19, 2004. Credit: UH/IA
(PhysOrg.com) -- So you think global warming is a big problem? What could happen if a 25-million-ton chunk of rock slammed into Earth? When something similar happened 65 million years ago, the dinosaurs and other forms of life were wiped out.
A collision with an object of this size traveling at an estimated 30,000 to 40,000 mile per hour would be catastrophic, according to NASA researcher and New York City College of Technology (City Tech) Associate Professor of Physics Gregory L. Matloff. His recommendation? Either destroy the object or alter its trajectory.
Dr. Matloff, whose research includes the best means to avert such a disaster, believes that diverting such objects is the wisest course of action. In 2029 and 2036, the asteroid Apophis (named after the Egyptian god of darkness and the void), at least 1,100 feet in diameter, 90 stories tall, and weighing an estimated 25 million tons, will make two close passes by Earth at a distance of about 22,600 miles.
We dont always know this far ahead of time that theyre coming, Dr. Matloff says, but an Apophis impact is very unlikely. If the asteroid did hit Earth, NASA estimates, it would strike with 68,000 times the force of the atom bomb that leveled Hiroshima. A possibility also exists that when Apophis passes in 2029, heating as it approaches the sun, it could fragment or emit a tail, which would act like a rocket, unpredictably changing its course. If Apophis or its remnants enter one of two keyholes in space, impact might happen when it returns in 2036.
Large chunks of space debris whizzing by the planet, called Near-Earth Objects (NEOs), are of real concern. NASA defines NEOs as comets and asteroids that enter Earths neighborhood because the gravitational attraction of nearby planets affects their orbits. Dr. Matloff favors diverting rather than exploding them because the latter could create another problem debris might bathe Earth in a radioactive shower.
Dr. Matloffs research indicates that an asteroid could be diverted by heating its surface to create a jet stream, which would alter its trajectory, causing it to veer off course. In 2007, with a team at the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama, he investigated methods of deflecting NEOs. The team theorized that a solar collector (SC), which is a two-sail solar sail configured to perform as a concentrator of sunlight, could do the trick. Constructed of sheets of reflective metal less than one-tenth the thickness of a human hair, an SC traveling alongside an NEO for a year would concentrate the suns rays on the asteroid, burn off part of the surface, and create the jet stream.
To do that, it is necessary to know how deeply the light would need to penetrate the NEOs surface. A beam that penetrates too deeply would simply heat an asteroid, explains Dr. Matloff, but a beam that penetrates just the right amount perhaps about a tenth of a millimeter would create a steerable jet and achieve the purpose of deflecting the asteroid.
For the past year, Dr. Matloff and a team of City Tech scientists have been experimenting with red and green lasers to see how deeply they penetrate asteroidal rock, using solid and powdered (regolith) samples from the Allende meteorite that fell in Chihuahua, Mexico in 1969. Dr. Denton Ebel, meteorite curator at the American Museum of Natural History in New York City, provided the samples.
Assistant Professor of Physics Lufeng Leng, a photonics and fiber optics researcher, along with student Thinh Lê, an applied mathematics senior, used lasers to obtain optical transmission measurements (the fraction of light passing through the asteroidal material). Their research was supported by a Professional Staff Congress-City University of New York research grant.
To my knowledge, says Dr. Matloff, this is the first experimental measurement of the optical transmission of asteroid samples. Dr. Ebel is encouraging other researchers to repeat and expand on this work.
In a related study, Dr. Leng and her student (whose research was partially supported by City Techs Emerging Scholars Program) narrowed the red laser beam and scanned the surface of a thin-section Allende sample, discovering that differences in the depth of transmitted light exist, depending on the composition of the material through which the beam passes. From their results, they concluded that lasers aimed from a space probe positioned near an NEO could help determine its surface composition. Using that information, solar sail technology could more accurately focus the suns rays to penetrate the asteroids surface to the proper depth, heating it to the correct degree for generating a jet stream that would re-direct the asteroid.
For certain types of NEOs, by Newtons Third Law, the jet stream created would alter the objects solar orbit, hopefully converting an Earth impact to a near miss, Dr. Matloff states. However, he cautions, Before concluding that the SC will work as predicted on an actual NEO, samples from other extraterrestrial sources must be analyzed.
Dr. Matloff presented a paper on the results of the City Tech teams optical transmission experiments, Optical Transmission of an Allende Meteorite Thin Section and Simulated Regolith, at the 73rd Annual Meeting of the international Meteoritical Society, held at the American Museum of Natural History and the Park Central Hotel in New York City.
At present, he adds, a debate is underway between American and Russian space agencies regarding Apophis. The Russians believe that we should schedule a mission to this object probably before the first bypass because Earth-produced gravitational effects during that initial pass could conceivably alter the trajectory and properties of the object. On the other hand, Americans generally believe that while an Apophis impact is very unlikely on either pass, we should conduct experiments on an asteroid that runs no risk of ever threatening our home planet.
Provided by New York City College of Technology
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Feb 02, 2011
Rank: 4.3 / 5 (3)
lol, I like that one. I wonder who wrote that piece?
I always like to ask people this question when the whole asteroid collision subject comes up: If we posit that a "big impact" is about to happen, would you want to know about it as early as possible, just at the very end, or not at all? And part B of the hypothetical question is: What do you think the government would do? (assuming that preventing the impact is not an option)
Feb 02, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (4)
Feb 02, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (2)
To make a comparison: If the Earth was your head and the asteroid was a tiny bullet, it would pass within two feet of you. It would of course be moving very slowly at that scale though. Maybe something like 4 times the speed of the minute hand of a medium sized clock, if my cocktail napkin math is right. You could easily step around it. :)
Feb 02, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (3)
Most dinosaurs were probably long dead before Yucatan, though for reasons unknown it appears that some dinosaur populations survived for a substantial period after Yucatan.
You may find that something as simple as the evolution of flowering plants may have wiped out the dinosaurs. No food for the herbivores means no food for the carnivores. Ones numbers diminish and the rest get eaten then the predators starve, or eat each other then the survivors starve.
The post Yucatan populations may have been in areas where flowering plants did not arrive for millions of years, hence the survival of those populations.
A lot more research is needed.
As for Apophis why not divert it into the sun.
That would avoid the risk of future close encounters.
After all old Sol is aging and may appreciate a little added fuel to its fire (so to speak).
Feb 02, 2011
Rank: 3.6 / 5 (5)
Yes, I'd want to know so I would have time to get some good drugs. Then find a good spot to watch.
Feb 03, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
I would want to know too, but I don't think it would be wise to tell the public too early. I imagine people would stop working and society would just grind down to a halt. Gas and food would be gone in no time. Good luck finding drugs or alcohol, but I like your plan.