Revealed: Secret businesses which aimed to exploit vaccine fears
Andrew Wakefield, the disgraced doctor who claimed a link between MMR and autism, planned secret businesses intended to make huge sums of money, in Britain and America, from his now-discredited allegations.
The Wakefield scheme is exposed today in the second part of a BMJ series of special reports, "Secrets of the MMR scare", by investigative journalist Brian Deer. Last week we revealed the scientific fraud behind the appearance of a link between the vaccine and autism. Now Deer follows the money.
Drawing on investigations and documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, the report shows how Wakefield's institution, the Royal Free Medical School in London, supported him as he sought to exploit the MMR scare for financial gain.
It reveals how Wakefield met with medical school managers to discuss a joint business even while the first child to be fully investigated in his research was still in the hospital, and how just days after publication of that research, which triggered the health crisis in 1998, he brought business associates to the Royal Free to continue negotiations.
One business, named after Wakefield's wife, intended to develop Wakefield's own "replacement" vaccines, diagnostic testing kits and other products which only stood any real chance of success if public confidence in MMR was damaged.
Documents reveal the planned shareholdings of Wakefield and his collaborators, and how much Wakefield expected to receive personally. Financial forecasts made available for the first time today show Wakefield and his associates predicting they could make up to £28 million ($43,367,082; 33,290,350) a year from the diagnostic kits alone.
"It is estimated that the initial market for the diagnostic will be litigation driven testing of patients with AE [autistic enterocolitis] from both the UK and the USA," said a 35 page "private and confidential" prospectus obtained by Deer, aimed at raising an initial £700,000 from investors. "It is estimated that by year 3, income from this testing could be about £3,300,000 rising to about £28,000,000 as diagnostic testing in support of therapeutic regimes come on stream."
Deer's investigation also reveals today that Wakefield was offered support to try to replicate his results, gained from just 12 children, with a larger validated study of up to 150 patients, but that he refused to carry out the work, claiming that his academic freedom would be jeopardised. His research claims have never been replicated.
Provided by
British Medical Journal
-
From lemons to lemonade: Reaction uses carbon dioxide to make carbon-based semiconductor,
28 comments
-
Thioridazine kills cancer stem cells in human while avoiding toxic side-effects of conventional cancer treatments,
3 comments
-
SpaceX private rocket blasts off for space station (Update),
41 comments
-
Climate scientists say they have solved riddle of rising sea,
30 comments
-
Scotland passes turbine test to harness tidal power,
41 comments
-
Classical and Quantum Mechanics via Lie algebras
Apr 15, 2011
- More from Physics Forums - Independent Research
More news stories
Family history of Alzheimer's affects functional connectivity
(HealthDay) -- Cognitively normal individuals with a family history of late-onset Alzheimer's disease (AD) may display lower resting state functional connectivity in the default mode network (DMN) of the brain, ...
Medicine & Health / Alzheimer's disease & dementia
6 hours ago |
not rated yet |
0
Transvaginal mesh op restores pelvic organ prolapse at price
(HealthDay) -- Transvaginal mesh (TVM) procedures are effective for anatomical restoration of pelvic organ prolapse (POP), but patients report a worsening of sexual function following surgery, according to ...
6 hours ago |
not rated yet |
0
Travel to high altitudes tied to Crohn's, colitis flare-ups
(HealthDay) -- People with inflammatory bowel disease, which includes Crohn's disease and colitis, may be at increased risk for flare-ups when they fly or travel to high altitudes for skiing or mountain climbing, ...
Medicine & Health / Inflammatory disorders
7 hours ago |
not rated yet |
1
|
Tongue analysis software uses ancient Chinese medicine to warn of disease
For 5,000 years, the Chinese have used a system of medicine based on the flow and balance of positive and negative energies in the body. In this system, the appearance of the tongue is one of the measures used to classify ...
22 hours ago |
1 / 5 (1) |
0
|
Of mice and mental models: Neuroscientific implications of risk-optimized behavior in the mouse
(Medical Xpress) -- Regardless of an organism’s biological complexity, every encephalized animal continuously makes under-informed behavioral choices that can have serious consequences. Despite its ubiquity, ...
SpotterRF debuts Radar Backpack Kit (w/ Video)
(Phys.org) -- SpotterRF has announced a special radar backpack kit designed to enhance situational awareness for soldiers on the ground. The company says its special radar is designed for warfighters as part ...
Australia hails surprise super-telescope decision
Australia has hailed a surprise decision giving it a role in a radio telescope project aimed at revolutionising astronomy, vowing to draw on its decades of experience in space science.
Astronomers seize last chance in lifetime for Venus Transit
Astronomers are gearing for one the rarest events in the Solar System: an alignment of Earth, Venus and the Sun that will not be seen for another 105 years.
Thousands of shellfish found dead in Peru
Thousands of crustaceans were found dead off the coast of Lima following the mystery mass death of dolphins and pelicans, the Peruvian Navy said Friday.
SpaceX capsule has 'new car' smell, astronauts say
SpaceX's Dragon cargo vessel smells like a new car, said astronauts at the International Space Station after opening the hatches Saturday following the spacecraft's landmark mission to the orbiting lab.
Astronauts enter world's 1st private supply ship
(AP) -- Space station astronauts floated into the Dragon on Saturday, a day after its heralded arrival as the world's first commercial supply ship.
Jan 11, 2011
Rank: 4.6 / 5 (26)
Jan 11, 2011
Rank: 1.6 / 5 (28)
At least that is what AGWites expect us to believe.
Could the UKs health care system played a role in that they can't make a reasonable living as a MD?
Jan 11, 2011
Rank: 4.4 / 5 (20)
Mangyhole emissions from mangynowrintintin, exactly on time and off topic.
Go to sleep, moron.
Wakefield is just one more example of a scumbag devotee of mangynowrintintin's sacred "free market", who honors no god except Mammon, and hews to no ethics beyond the avid pursuit of profit.
Jan 11, 2011
Rank: 1.4 / 5 (22)
But he was a SCIENTIST.
Jan 11, 2011
Rank: 4.8 / 5 (21)
His reported results could never be replicated, no matter how much others tried. As soon as the first follow-up independent work was published scientists began to be skeptical. It was the public opinion (who wouldn't be irrational and paranoid when it comes to his own children?) and the media (lets make a fuss to get the ratings up!) who were in error.
Jan 11, 2011
Rank: 4.8 / 5 (23)
Or the bronze age bullies who force women to carry clusters of cells because their religious texts say that it's a baby. Perhaps you should work on standardizing a definition of what a child is based on medical science. Personally, I don't think a cluster of cells is a child, and your story book isn't going to sway me. Let me know when science has definitive definitions. Even then, in cases of rape and incest, I'd still favor scraping them like a fisherman's knuckle, rather than stripping human beings of their biological rights. I'd love to see you explain yourself to a raped women, so she could spit in your face.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 4.7 / 5 (13)
Whats funny about people like you is you pull stuff like this out of your butt but you would probably hit a dog with your car and forget about it a week later.
....Oh, and masturbation is genocide right?
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1.2 / 5 (26)
Not sure how you came to your analogies Caveman, but there is a difference: Abortion is PLANNED, knocking a dog is usually an accident. only if it was a planned, deliberate act could you equate the two.
As for masturbation - Jesus said whosoever looks on a woman with lust commits adultery.[Same applies to woman lusting after a man. Same sex stuff is by itself off the scale].
The point is that polluting the mind with lust is sin. Now since masturbation is definitely not an act devoid of vivid imagination and lust, it too is sin. Genocide doesn't even enter the picture.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 4.5 / 5 (17)
No, he used to be, then he decided he was more interested in profit than truth. He became a Marjon. So you believe in thought crime. That's totalitarian. Nice god you have there. Very Kim Jong Il.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1.4 / 5 (19)
We are told that we must believe all scientists who believe AGW because they are ...scientists.
The AGWites trot out surveys of scientists (any scientist) who believes AGW and uses that as justification to do all sorts of govt mischief.
Al Gore added to his millions with his carbon credit trading scheme. How many scientists joined in his profits?
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 4.4 / 5 (13)
Your supposed to trust peer reviewed and unconflicting research only. And then if any only if it is current.
Actually the only real survey I've seen often recommended as authoritative is the fraudulent one conducted by Frederick Seitz on the topic and that was the 32,000 anti-agcc survey.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 3.2 / 5 (9)
Since everyone else is using circular reasoning, I figured I would too. :)
In re the article above: I just see this as another example of the lengths people will go to when millions of profit are at stake. For every one of these that we catch, I wonder how many we don't?
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (4)
Cite to the evidence that the "32,000 anti-agcc survey" was "fraudulent", please?
All I've seen contradicting this "fraud" was a claim that one scientist who was on the list said he didn't sign it (and there are lots of scientists with the same name) and others who say that not all the signers are climate scientists, even though many thousands are.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (6)
Oh, please, that "rape and incest" canard was old a generation ago. Most of those opposed to abortion on demand are quite willing to accept them in the cases of rape, incest, and "life of the mother" (not the phony "psychological health of the mother, which is just a way to get around any restrictions whatsoever.)
Stats published by pro-abortion groups show that less than 5% of all abortions are due to "rape, incest and the health of the mother, even including the "psychological" BS. The rest are totally for the convenience of the mother; i.e., she didn't love the father anymore, she was too scared to carry to term, she wasn't ready financially, she thought it might hurt her "career", ad nauseum.
Those same stats also show that a majority couldn't be bothered with birth control, or were apparently too stupid to know that putting the condom on that banana, like they are taught in third grade, wouldn't stop them from getting pregnant.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 4.5 / 5 (8)
Here's a video breakdown on "Dr. Seitz and his 32,000 list".
http:/www.youtube.com/watch?v=Py2XVILHUjQ
It's all sourced and it's short, about 10 minutes in total.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (7)
Well, for one thing, that wouldn't work with government employees, because they already get 26 weeks vacation, plus a month of paid sick days, and 53 federal holidays every year, including Cabbage Patch Doll Day, National Buggy Whip Remembrance Day, and St Karl of Marx' Birthday (formerly DWEM (Dead White European Male) Presidents Day), all of which can be carried over and cashed in in the last year before retirement, along with a ton of overtime and promotions granted specificially for the purpose of making their pension three times their highest year's base salary. At age 52 no less, with dollar one health, dental and vision coverage for the rest of their lives.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (4)
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1.1 / 5 (8)
Please stop making up what you want others to think I said, and show me where I said that any of the 32,000 were "not scientists". I said they were not "CLIMATE scientists" but were instead from other legitimate disciplines like biology, chemistry, etc.
However, many thousands ARE climate scientists, computer scientists (and "modeling" is a big part of the whole AGW religion), meteorologists, atmospheric scientists, oceanographers, etc, whose disciplines are intimately involved with "climate", no matter how you want to re-define it to fit your narrative.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 3.3 / 5 (7)
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (6)
My point, god wouldn't have proven health benefits from sex if we weren't meant to have it. In fact, reproduction should be sinful to you people. Don't hump the ladies that urge is primitive and lustful. Masturbate instead, this way you aren't burdening anyone with your sexual desires. Eat bland nutrient paste for every meal for the rest of your life, lower your co2 exhale.
Imagination is optional, once you've played with yourself for a while you don't really have to think or have any. There is no lust involved here, sex has been proven to have positive benefits (health-wise) in monogamous relationships, prove to me that hands count too.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (4)
Since people get life in prison for murder, do the math, they should get HALF of their life in prison for wasting the Lord's Gift of Seed, which is HALF a zygote!
Munkey-Shpankers MUST PAY for their SINS!
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Effectively it's half a genocide, which means we have to half hang you to death. So all those auto-erotic asphyxiators are actually doing the UN's job.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
"Do you not see the seed which you have spilled at your feet? Focus grasshopper..."
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (6)
What the hell are you talking about? The "others" are the spinners who are claiming that not all the signers are "climate scientists". The signers had to name their degrees. Did you read the breakdown of the degrees, and see how many thousands were relevant to climate research?
No? Why am I not surprised? Oh, that's right, you have a short video by an AGW True Believer that "proves" it's all just a fraud.
You do realize that not all "scientists" can be classified as "climate scientists", but can still be "scientists" with degrees in science and who work in scientific fields? And some "scientists" who are not technically "climate scientists" are scientists whose work is still integral to "climate science", like computer scientists, oceanographers, atmospheric scientists, etc, etc?
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 4.4 / 5 (7)
"The vast majority of people on there had a Bachelor's of science. If you think that makes anyone an expert in anything call one when you have...lung cancer."
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (5)
31,000 signatures with 9,000 Phds
"3,805 scientists trained in specialties directly related..."
"935 scientists trained in computer and mathematical methods"
"5,812 scientists trained in the fundamental physical and molecular properties of gases, liquids, and solids"
I see no lawyers, economists, or fakes. All this BS comes from your "video". Somebody here is making sh*t up, and I'll bet it was your video.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (7)
There is dogma, the questioning of which is heresy. There can be no doubt or uncertainty about it, the debate is over, no criticism is tolerated, and skeptics will have their reputations smeared and their careers destroyed.
It explains everything, it cannot be falsified, everyone who doubts is stupid, or a shill, or a fraud.
Well, you are losing in the realm of public opinion, and rightfully so. A reasoned, honest, honorable approach to this issue might have resulted in a different outcome, but your rigid religion has brought this upon itself, even if it is correct.
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (5)
How will they make more money?
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (6)
And besides, that still leaves plenty of room for the ~16,000 BS or "equivalent" degrees, and other nonsense.You wouldn't actually be expecting a propaganda site to undercut its own marketing by honestly publishing data that contradicts its own claims... would you??
Jan 12, 2011
Rank: 1.6 / 5 (7)
Anyone else recall the CRU email enjoining the collectors of signatures not to check or ask for credentials of potential signers and to "just get the names because no one is going to check or care who has a Ph.D."?
I remember reading it. How soon people forget...
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (5)
I think about my ghod smiting sinners when I rub one out, does that count as lust?
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 4.5 / 5 (8)
So you haven't watched it, nor read any of the sources sited within, nor done any of the minimum research necessary to be educated on both sides of the topic. It is sad. It appears you don't want to debate whatsoever. You'd rather assume correctness.
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 2.1 / 5 (7)
Science is not about opinion. It is about a theory that can be supported with data.
AGW is a theory that cannot be supported with data, which is one reason the name has been changed to GCC.
But the politicians and taxpayers are expected to agree with the OPINIONS of scientists simply because they claim to be 'objective' scientists.
I can personally attest to one 'scientist' from Harvard, Anderson, who is less than objective.
Regarding main issue of an MD trying to make money, ALL scientists are not a skeptical and objective as one would hope.
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 3.3 / 5 (7)
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 4.2 / 5 (5)
Too bad the "religious" are anti-birth control as well. As well as Anti-Sex Education. If the "Religious" had their way those women and men would never hear about condoms and other forms of birth control in school.
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 1.6 / 5 (7)
He didn't say that the "theory" was revised, he said the "name" was revised, and he is absolutely correct.
It's gone from "Global Warming" to "Climate Change" to "Global Climate Disruption" to "Climate Chaos" in just the last several year, not to account for "observations that were poorly explained" but to cover up the last 15 years of no warming and to overcome the PR problem this whole religion has been having with the general public, who continue to leave the church in droves.
I suppose you believe that that is why the general public is running from the Obama administration and its agenda, only because they've just done a poor job of explaining it to the rubes, who are just too stupid to understand otherwise.
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 3.3 / 5 (6)
I look forward to your published paper on the topic.
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (6)
Bull crap. The religious hierarchies perhaps, but I doubt if you would find that the general religious population would have any problem with sex education or contraceptives, unless you believe that the pharmas are making tens of billions just selling them to the atheists.
They might have a problem though, with giving out condoms as early as third grade, and teaching the banana tricks in early grade school, and having cross-dressing days, and a lot of what passes for "sex education" these days.
Funny but when I went to grade school in the 1950's, there was no sex education and no contraceptives, and yet, there were very few teen pregnancies, hardly any STDs, and almost no abortions, back alley or otherwise. Thanks liberals, for making it soooooooo much better.
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (6)
No you don't, because even if I did, your side would have someone create a 10-minute video smearing me and my family, and boycotting the journal that published it. That is the way leftists roll, after all.
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (6)
You never disappoint jokester.
Demonstrably false. Complete bullshit buddy.
To be continued shortly.
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 1.5 / 5 (8)
And you LIED about having seen "law school students and economists and non-scientists" on the the Petition site. You also LIED about the types of degrees represented, because you LIED about having even looked at the site. All you were going on was your video. Even wikipedia, a known biased pro-AGW site is not as critical as you about the Petition Project.
I didn't watch your video. But I didn't lie about it either.
Whatever respect I had for you or your opinions is gone. It is difficult to get that back when you are caught red-handed being dishonest.
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 4.4 / 5 (7)
Ok, so in the 50's teen pregnancy was 50% higher than it is today. The only difference here is the old habit of forced marriage. What is on the increase is non-marital childbearing, and that's happening in all age groups as women have gained comparitive equality in pay in the work place (still some work to do on that one but it's close, ladies).
Women are not needing men as much. This is one of the reasons why the anti-abortion rhetoric is getting louder. Men are wanting more control over women as manufacturing jobs are vanishing and service jobs are increasing. This means you no longer need to be physically strong to earn a good days wage.
As for STDs did you know incidences of syphillis were about 1000% higher in the 50's? In the 90's alone, infections of syph dropped 90%. The only difference here is now you're hearing about STDs rather than having them hushed up. This educates the populace and lessens the spread through education.
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 4.4 / 5 (7)
The current list of 31,072 petition signers includes 9,021 PhD; 6,961 MS; 2,240 MD and DVM; and 12,850 BS or equivalent academic degrees.
So that's primarily Bachelor's of Science. That's one place I didn't lie, and look at that, a lot of veterinarians. Then how are you so sure of what's in it?
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
What governnent are you talking about and who are the workers? I am a government worker and a survey done by the government itself notes that I am compensated at a rate that is 20% of the usual rate.
Jan 13, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (3)
Overpopulation is fixable? When we have numnuts advocating bigger and bigger families because godsezso? Public opinion is the most massive roadblock to human happiness, because (LISTEN UP) the easiest way to get rich and powerful is to spew carefully crafted lies.
I really don't think climate scientists wish climate change on us. I fail to see the mechanisms where corporations are working to avoid climate change. Actually, they're hiring (proven) shills to be clever and obstructive to rational thought on the Internet forums. Like this one.
Have you seen the ad from adbusters with the little girl with a noose almost tight around her neck, standing on a melting iceberg?
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (3)
Well, there's the IPCC claim that the majority of contributors to the assessment reports agree with the IPCC's summary for policy makers. Actually, most of the contributors have at least a small problem with at least a small part of the policy maker documents. As with most things in life, it's not 100%-0%; it's not black and white. The 'concensus' is not a solid brick wall as some people make it sound. Most climate scientists disagree with each other about some small part in the very least. If you look at projections, there are a wide range of potential results of doubled co2 for example. Some say 1.5 c and others say 7 c temp increase in 90 years. Each group has different views. That isn't a concensus, and such a wide range of opinion means that the theory behind the estimate isn't as strong as it needs to be... yet.
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (6)
As to why there's such a wide range on simulations, that's because of two reasons.
1) we're comparign simulation from the 50's all the way through to the present. I expect a wide variety of results based on the hardware on which the model was run alone.
2) when the IPCC document came out, in 97, the various feedback mechanisms were not well understood. That is almost an entirely different landscape now a days. Most models now agree with significance, and most forcing have a strong body of support in their weighting now.
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 3.9 / 5 (7)
This behavior was used as a marketting tool by people at odds over our money. People like Enron and Al Gore, Shell Oil and Frederick Seitz. They all tried to play us, don't let them win.
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (6)
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 2.8 / 5 (4)
That gets into word games. I could call a theory a scientific opinion and then we could question what the term 'scientific' means.
I'm a cautious skeptic, so bearing that in mind here's my take:
From what I have read from official (non-biased) sources; The data supports GW. Some data suggests that AGW is part of the GW. Other data suggests natural GW is happening too. And a third portion of data is inconclusive or incomplete to the extent that more time, more work or more technology is needed before conclusions can be drawn. I have to qualify my statement with the following though: What I just said is grossly oversimplified and overgeneralized. The terms AGW theory and natural GW theory are very broad and actually cover a multitude of different AGW and NGW theories. Some are stronger than others. Many related fields overlap here.
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 2.3 / 5 (6)
But it justifies the hysteria in the media, including physorg.com?
It justifies state control of a gas all living things exhale?
It justifies increase govt control of the world economy?
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 4.2 / 5 (5)
Those were very good posts and quite accurate. I especially like the part where you suggest that people reading an article about science track down the sources before they buy into what they read. I have started doing exactly that, and have found that almost everything we are told contains a good measure of BS piled on top of the truth, sometimes to the point where you can't even see the truth any more. Cetain fields are worse than others in that regard though. I've noticed the biggest culprits on this site being in the areas of: climate change, materials, quantum computing, condensed matter, and of course Psychology. It seems like they always leave out some important detail or have a set of blinders on when they write articles about that stuff. They have wild headlines and long-shot predictions designed to attract readers who are easily led to the fantasy of 'space-age technological wonder'. I'd call it the 'Popular Mechanic Effect' if I had to name it.
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (5)
Obviously not.
AGW doesn't justify it, but economics and demographics do. It makes sense to be more efficient, cleaner and sustainable.
I'm not sure what that means. If you are talking about the Chinese government taking over the world economy then I'm not sure what we can do about it or what that has to do with AGW. If you read any of my posts, you KNOW I'm against cap and trade. It's not working for the EU or NZ, and Japan says they may back out of it. The cap and trade system that NY and a few other states formed isn't working either, and one of those states is backing out too. Maybe it would have worked before the global recession, but not now and not in the next few years at the least.
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (5)
Yes, both sides do this. Both sides also lobby in washington and bribe politicians. You won't get the truth out of the official spokesperson for any organization who is strongly advocating either the left or the right in this debate. Not the whole, complete, up-to-date truth anyway. You'll hear partial truths or subsequently disproven old truths or circumstantial truths or probabilities described as certainties and on and on.
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 1.6 / 5 (7)
Christians men don't "control" or want to control their wives. Excluding cults like mormons or the UPC, women do whatever they want really.
If they really bother to do what scripture says, then they love their wife more than their own life.
Oh yeah, in America today, women actually have extreme advantages under the law, even unconstitutional advantages in the case of divorce, whereby the man is effectively her slave for the rest of her life anyway.
the real heart of this argument is that liberals believe it's ok for everyone to run around acting like a free harlot, sleeping with a different person every week, or even every night, in some cases, and as long as you wear a condom, it's ok, fine and dandy.
Adultery and fornication are wrong by definition. Consequences are not what make a thing wrong. Consequences are what happens BECAUSE a thing is wrong.
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (6)
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 3.9 / 5 (7)
And choosing to get pregnant when they choose because that's what being a woman is about... Prove it. Because if there was no hell, you wouldn't be kissing ass right now...Or...you have no idea what you're talking about and have a serious psychopathy problem. I don't cheat on my wife because it's a crappy thing to do. God can suck rocks. I'm faithful because I want to be faithful. "His will", is a fairy tale YOU need.
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (8)
Wow, that's like the sort of thing I knew since I was born. "Don't be an asshole for no reason" is built in to me. What's wrong with you that you need your mum to tell you a story so that you understand that simple rule?
Here's your entire religion, morality-wise, in a nutshell....
"Don't be a douchebag."
So ends the New, New Testament of The Skeptical Heretic, hallowed be my name.
Now go forth and have fun, take care of each other, and above all else....
"Don't be a douchebag". Amen.
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (4)
Isn't that basically Wheaton's Law?
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 4.2 / 5 (5)
"Don't be a dick!"
Yes, exactly. This is something that we all know. We can say there is one universal rule to humankind... Wheaton's Law of "Don't be a dick!"
The only problem, as everyone will point out shortly is, "dick" is subjective. Hence all the other social contract crap we have to layer upon it...
But you know what? I'd rather go through all the bullshit to reach common ground than just force my will on other people...
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (5)
That is in direct conflict with your support of govt regulations.
Jan 14, 2011
Rank: 4.2 / 5 (5)
....if you listen closely, from afar away in the mangyhole, you can hear mangynowrintintin tittering at its own jest, contentedly picking at the encrustations upon its backside...
Jan 15, 2011
Rank: 2.6 / 5 (5)
Siqh! What is the difference between science and religion? Scientists test theories. Passing one test does not mean that the theory is true, just that it hasn't been falsified yet. But failure in a single well designed test, sends a scientist back to the starting gate. Not to propose a different test, but to figure out why his theory is wrong.
In a religion, you have unquestionable dogma. Even attempting to test dogma can lead to excommunication.
There have been quite enough papers by AGW believers advancing testable predictions. Many of those predictions have proved incorrect. It is considered good form for the authors to withdraw such papers, and bad form to publish papers that just point out such failures.
Jan 15, 2011
Rank: 0.7 / 5 (47)
Jan 16, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Only for men apparently lol
Jan 16, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
Judging by the down votes, seems they don't get the joke ;-)
Jan 16, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (4)
Jan 16, 2011
Rank: 2.2 / 5 (9)
Himalayan glaciers gone by 2035. -IPCC AR4. (They found out that this was based on mistake that was missed in propagandistic WWF literature; the real prediction was 2350 in the original paper).
And, then, there was the prediction that in summer 2008 all the Arctic ice would be gone. That was up-revised as 2008 came and went with unexpected increases in Arctic Ice.
This then was followed by another prediction based on actual climate modelling that the "Arctic Ocean could be free of ice in the summer as soon as 2010 or 2015" and in another place somewhere between 2010 and 2015.
2010 came and went and still we had no iceless Arctic. Let's see where 2015 and in between goes...
I'd link to these predictions but Physorg.com apparently does not allow linking anymore because of the spammers.
Jan 17, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Glad someone did ^^
Jan 17, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (3)
Not scientific, this was Al Gore and carried by the media. Again, this is the media, not science. None of which were science.
Simply remove the H of http. Not providing links is a cop out.
Jan 17, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (3)
It might be a bit severe to compare the IPCC to PM -- the IPCC staff has good credentials in climate science. It is true that the review board that went over the IPCC's work was critical on a fair number of points, particularly the Himalayan glaciers goof -- but the end assessment of the review was that the IPCC's conclusions were generally valid.
Jan 17, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
Jan 17, 2011
Rank: 1.8 / 5 (5)
Jan 17, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (2)
So, why would you be so outspoken about the science if you're not paying attention to it?
Jan 17, 2011
Rank: 2.7 / 5 (7)
Skeptic_Heretic,
Looks like you got teken in by another MikeyK sockpuppet. Note carefully the difference between my username Skepticus_Rex and the directly above Skepticus_Rex_.
I just sent up a complaint to management about his repeat antics of abuse.
Jan 17, 2011
Rank: 4 / 5 (4)
Neat trick, man!
As far as providing links -you can do like I did a few posts above- a solution, among others, proposed by both frajo and Ethelred.
Jan 17, 2011
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (6)
You, of course, would know a lot about stuff like... :)
Tried several different methods, none of which worked. The new spam filter stopped them all until I removed the offending text. Believe whatever you want, though...you already do...
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (3)
Not really. No chicanery here (bit of sarcasm, though). If I take exception to your position, I'll let you know directly- you won't have to worry about sockpuppets and the like.
Hey -I offered a solution to your difficulties there. Does it matter that someone else provided it? I had exactly the same problem with the spam filter. I wasn't accusing you of lying, if that's what you mean by that comment.
Why should I care? Well....I don't, really, but I saw that I was in a position to provide assistance, so I did.
Is that a crime, now, too?
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: 1.6 / 5 (7)
Dont let the IPCC hear you say that. They insist that their report was peer reviewed.
Nope. It was not Al Gore.
Nope, the report came directly from the organization to the media. I do agree with you that it was not science, however.
I agree with you there. But, it had nothing to do with Al Gore. The name of the fellow who made the 2010 prediction was Louis Fortier, who "holds the Canada Research Chair on the response of arctic marine ecosystems to climate warming. He sits on the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada since 2005."
Tried that for the two links I tried to provide. It did not work. I tried several other methods, too. None worked.
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (6)
htp://www.arcticnet.ulaval.ca/news/y2007.php
See the news item dated "15 November, 2007."
I quote it here in case the link does not make it.
I cannot say whether or not he still stands by that prediction or has modified it since. Should I find out, however, I will let you know. :)
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (5)
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
Awww, you missed me. How sweet.
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (3)
Then who? Link it.Mr Fourtier never claimed an Ice free artic. He claimed that we were seeing record ice loss in 2007 in an article run by the Ottawa Citizen which cited no scientific research what so ever. Fourtier said we were "seeing large melt... passages open that haven't been open for years...recommended strategic shipping control strategy and further study."
No statements of an ice free artic from scientists, just a journalist. Next time, follow the source of the rumor.
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: 1.7 / 5 (6)
Actually, the IPCC allows for citation of non-peer-reviewed material, with specific rules for use.
See Annex 2 in htp://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles-appendix-a.pdf
Note carefully the review process for suitability. Close enough for government work...
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: 1.8 / 5 (5)
Dr. Olav Orheim, "distinguished glaciologist, climatologist and polar expert who has spent more than thirty years studying the effects of global warming," who at the time of the announcement was "Executive Secretary of the Norwegian International Polar Year," "a renowned authority on climate change and its effects on the planet's poles," and "Senior Adviser to the Norwegian Ministry of Environment," that's who.
Al Gore just picked up on his research and public statements and used them for his own stuff.
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: 1.8 / 5 (5)
Tried again...still not working...
You are thinking of the wrong article and information. Fortier went beyond that stance in his followup article, which most definitely stated that all indications led him to believe that there would likely be an ice free Arctic in 2010 or between 2010 and 2015. The link to his information also still is keeping my post in the spam filter.
I'll keep trying but no promises... In the meantimem believe what you want. No skin off my nose. :)
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: 1.8 / 5 (5)
Well, actually, I did forget about it but got reminded of it just a few moments ago. Thought I would share. :)
Jan 18, 2011
Rank: 3.7 / 5 (3)
Couldn't help but notice your "subtle" conflation of ice-free Northwest Passage with ice-free Arctic Ocean. Nicely done, slick.
Incidentally, you might find this ironic:Above quoted from nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
What objectively verified prediction shall we be ridiculing next?
Jan 19, 2011
Rank: 2 / 5 (4)
Jan 19, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (5)
Here is a photo of the area from 2010:
htp://i.usatoday.net/communitymanager/_photos/science-fair/2010/09/13/arctic-icex-large.jpg
Looks like there still was some ice there. Can you say "fail" for another prediction? Doesn't "ice-free" mean NO ice? I see some there...
Or, do we need another redefinition of the meaning of "ice-free"?
Jan 19, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (5)
htp://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/45000/45766/nwpassage_amo_2010252_lrg.jpg
Careful not to confuse clouds and ice. But, you sill see that it hardly qualifies for "ice-free" and would appear to be another fail in prediction. Close but no cigar, slick. :)
Jan 19, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (2)
Just as you said, try not to get clouds and ice confused.
Jan 20, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (4)
I didn't--but apparently you did. Look again.
Jan 20, 2011
Rank: 3 / 5 (4)
Here is another link as I couldn't tell the difference between ice and cloud. This shows the ice free gap in the North West passage....Dohh! ( :- {I} )
Jan 20, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (4)
htp://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/45000/45766/nwpassage_amo_2010252_lrg.jpg
The place was open but hardly ice-free. Remember, the prediction was for an ice-free passage. There was ice there. That prediction failed. End of story.
Let's see what the next prediction brings.
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
Pathetic.
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: not rated yet
You're going to have to produce the article that makes that claim seeing as you've now found the ability to link things.
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
The passage was navigable but there still was ice there. "Ice-free" means "no ice." Anything else is something other than ice-free. I understand that you have reading comprehension problems but please don't latch your problems onto others by projection. It is rather unbecoming.
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
Ice-free Arctic 2010:
htp://www.canada.com/victoriatimescolonist/news/story.html?id=1aaab4cd-0ca4-4b28-8a71-f442545a9d23
This same story was picked up by several papers in Canada at the time. I'll try to find another link and post as soon as I can. But, no matter what you think, the two I originally have tried over and over to post here still will not post through the spam filter. I am wondering whether it has something to do with content of codes in the URLs.
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
"Expert: Arctic polar cap may disappear this summer [2008]":
htp://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-03/01/content_7696460.htm
The first attempt did not get past the spam filter. Here is the second attempt.
Edit: Well, at least you get to read these. :)
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
PM me the links and I'll post them for you or at least be able to evaluate your sources.
As for your other source, it's completely unsourced from the Chinese State News Agency.
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (3)
htp://www.physorg.com/news115053247.html
The claim has been repeated by him and others since he made it.
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
You just don't have a source, do you? You never investigated what the paper printed and instead swallowed it whole cloth.
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (1)
For example I can point to the infamous hockey stick graph by Michael Mann. The flawed graph can be found in lots of places, including the cover of the IPCC draft report. (Or here: ttp://www.john-daly.com/hockey/hockey.htm with a discussion of the whole issue including a correct graph showing the MWP from the 1990 IPCC report.) But the flawed paper it appeared in has been withdrawn. If you want to find a paper copy, look for: Mann M.E. et al, "Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, and Limitations", AGU GRL, v.3.1, 1999, but I have no idea where any cached copies from before it was withdrawn can be found on line.
Does the Mann paper count as a prediction? Sure. It was predicting that the MWP was limited to Europe, which numerous cites that can be found above contradict.
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (4)
Well, anyway, here is another reference to the claim and an article publishing it, with no clarifications, refutations, or retractions, and this one is on the ArcticNet website.
The original article that was linked there is no longer there or even linked, however. So, don't expect me to post that one either because in this case it no longer exists. I was unable to pull it up using archive.org as well.
"23 November, 2007
The Gazette; Earthtimes.org, Science News Editor - November 23, 2007 – Prof. Louis Fortier, scientific director of ArcticNet, says the worst-case scenarios about melting sea ice are coming true and the Arctic Ocean could be ice-free in summertime as soon as 2010 or 2015. The detrimental consequences of climate change on Inuit culture and their way of life are discussed."
htp://www.arcticnet.ulaval.ca/news/y2007.php
Seriously, I am done with this. Fortier made the claim. Many picked it up. '.'
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (4)
So, with all the dickering over the link it does not matter anymore. Even I do not have access to this presentation of information.
However, someone you know (or who someone else here knows, or even someone visiting the site who actually attended the presentation) might have access to it in printed form, or even in outline form for the presentation. Ready? Here goes.
The title of the presentation was: "Climate Change: the Arctic on the Line of Fire."
It was scheduled to be presented by Dr. Louis Fortier at 1030 hours on NOVEMBER 15, 2007, during the segment of the conference entitled "Defence and Security of the North American Continent: the Driving Force behind Innovation."
See what you can find. Hopefully, someone has a printed copy of the presentation information lying around somewhere. I don't and I did not think to save the information to my hard drives.
I know. "Convenient." :)
Jan 21, 2011
Rank: 1 / 5 (4)
The Conference was at Château Frontenac, in Quebec, Canada, during November 13-16th, 2007. The conference was "Defence Security Innovation 2007" or "DSI 2007."
Hopefully, that will be enough detail for someone to pick up on and obtain additional information. :)
Jan 22, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)
If the paper is withdrawn, it's not part of the body of scientific knowledge. We don't debate big bang vs steady state theory because Hoyle published a paper predicting something different than observation. Similarly, if a paper is withdrawn in a field like, I don't know, AGCC, the status quo folks tend to harp on it for decades. So if the status quo folk are going to come on here and state that "there are utterly ridiculous predictions in the science, all of which are false" but those predictions/papers no longer exist, then they're not part of the science and not part of the scientific debate.
The collective ignorance of the average person in this field of science is the only thing that pumps this conversation. This is the exact same sort of marketing bullshit that the Creationist lobby employs
Jan 22, 2011
Rank: 1.5 / 5 (2)
Jan 23, 2011
Rank: 5 / 5 (1)