Researchers Say Outlook Indicates Active 2008 Hurricane Season

April 9, 2008
Hurricane Katrina in the Gulf of Mexico

According to researchers at North Carolina State University, the 2008 hurricane season looks to be an active one; however, the number of storms that will have the potential to make landfall is close to that for an average year.

According to Dr. Lian Xie, professor of marine, earth and atmospheric sciences at NC State, and graduate student Elinor Keith, the outlook for 2008 is for an active season, with the possibility of 13-15 named storms forming in the Atlantic Basin, which includes the entire Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea.

Of those named storms, 6-8 may grow strong enough to become hurricanes. The southeastern coast of the U.S. could see 1-2 named storms make landfall, and there is a better than 50 percent chance that at least one of the storms will be a hurricane.

The Gulf of Mexico is most likely to see storm activity this year, as Xie's research indicates that 2-4 named storms, including one hurricane, are likely to make landfall along the Gulf Coast.

Xie's methodology evaluates data from the last 100 years on Atlantic Ocean hurricane positions and intensity, as well as other variables including weather patterns and sea surface temperatures, in order to predict how many storms will form and where they will make landfall.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

Source: North Carolina State University

Explore further: Former Tropical Cyclone Kate examined by GPM, RapidScat and GOES-East

Related Stories

Grids that are smart enough to weather tomorrow's storms

November 2, 2015

At the end of October 2012, Hurricane Sandy swept across the northeastern United States at speeds of 150 kph (more than 90 mph). Millions of people were left in the dark. In an era of climate change, energy management systems ...

NASA spots Kate speeding away from the Bahamas

November 10, 2015

NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite and NOAA's GOES-East satellite both saw strong thunderstorms circling Tropical Storm Kate's center of circulation as the storm sped away from the Bahamas.

Seagrass restoration paying off for eastern shore

October 30, 2015

Seagrasses are crucial to the health of shallow coastal marine environments, in Virginia and worldwide. Seagrass meadows provide habitat and serve as nursery and feeding grounds to a diverse range of sea creatures – crustaceans, ...

Recommended for you

Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change?

November 26, 2015

More than 190 countries are meeting in Paris next week to create a durable framework for addressing climate change and to implement a process to reduce greenhouse gases over time. A key part of this agreement would be the ...

Revealing glacier flow with animated satellite images

November 26, 2015

Frank Paul, a glaciologist at the University of Zurich in Switzerland, has created animations from satellite images of the Karakoram mountain range in Asia to show how its glaciers flow and change. The images of four different ...


Adjust slider to filter visible comments by rank

Display comments: newest first

2.3 / 5 (7) Apr 09, 2008
Think we'll hear about it if it turns out to be a normal season like last year?
3 / 5 (6) Apr 09, 2008
I've said what I was told to,can I have my grant now please?
2.2 / 5 (6) Apr 10, 2008
What criteria? The lottery?
3.4 / 5 (5) Apr 10, 2008
Sigh. Here we go again. I wonder if they changed their software from LAST spring or if they just rebooted?
3 / 5 (6) Apr 10, 2008
If they keep guessing this every year, they will eventually be correct and then the media will make a big to do about it and as mikiwud states, they will get a big grant.
not rated yet Apr 17, 2008
Rick69- Bingo. I'm setting up a wet-sock and barometer in the backyard. My application for federal funding of studying the increased huricane activity for 2009 is in works. Mine is tied directly to man-made global warming, and the cover has a picture of a young person holding a puppy. The puppy is panting - planting a subliminal message about the affects of GW.
not rated yet Sep 25, 2008
They seem to be more accurate than expected so far, it may exeed thier predictions.
not rated yet Sep 25, 2008
Yep, a pretty average season so far.

Please sign in to add a comment. Registration is free, and takes less than a minute. Read more

Click here to reset your password.
Sign in to get notified via email when new comments are made.